Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Player Prop Picks: Can Towns Hold Onto the Rock?

There is just one lonely NBA playoff game on the board tonight: Game 6 between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Minnesota Timberwolves. But despite this, we have still dug up three player props we love for this pivotal matchup. 

Can Ja Morant continue to do it all for the Grizz as they attempt to eliminate the T-Wolves? Or will Anthony Edwards shoot Minnesota to another victory and force a Game 7? That is if Karl-Anthony Towns doesn’t cough it up too much...

Find out in our favorite NBA player prop picks for Friday, April 29.

Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves player props for April 29

• Morant Over 17.5 assists + rebounds (+102)
• Towns Over 3.5 turnover (+110)
• Edwards Over 3.5 made threes (+110)

Picks made on 4/29/2022 at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Today’s best NBA player props

The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.

More and Morant

Let’s start with arguably the biggest and most important name in this series — Ja Morant. He will obviously be a key player if the Grizzlies hope to knock off the Timberwolves tonight, and there’s some sneaky value in one of his props markets. 

Morant has done it all for his team in just his second career playoff series. The electrifying point guard is averaging 22.4 points with 10.4 assists and 8.8 rebounds per game over the first five games of this series. And that’s with Patrick Beverly hounding him all game long. 

Now, Morant’s assist total has been a cash machine in the first several games in this series, but books have adjusted the number to a stop-and-make-you-think 9.5. But his assists + rebounds total is much more attackable. 

The Wolves have been an OK rebounding team this series, ranking ninth among the 16 playoff teams in terms of rebounding percentage, but Morant has been putting in work on the glass over the last four games, hauling down 9, 10, 8, and 13 boards over that stretch.

Since a lackadaisical Game 1, Morant assists + rebounds numbers have looked like this: 19, 20, 23, and 22. Since assists + rebounds total for Game 6 is 17.5.

Expect Morant to keep stuffing the stat sheet against a Wolves team that ranked 27th in opponent assists per game and 23rd in opponent rebounds per game in the regular season.

Pick: Ja Morant Over 17.5 assists + rebounds (+102 at FanDuel)

Talk of the Towns

For the Timberwolves, it’s Karl-Anthony Towns who is likely the key if Minnesota wants to stave off elimination. But while KAT is averaging 22.6 points and 11 rebounds in this series, Minnesota's big man may be trying to do too much.

That means Towns has been a bit of a turnover machine of late. He has averaged five turnovers per game this series, coughing it up 3, 5, 4, 6, and 7 times through the first five games. That’s a lot of turnovers. But it really shouldn’t be that surprising, considering the Grizzlies ranked fourth in NBA in steals this season.

Don’t expect much to change in a win-or-go-home game for the Timberwolves. KAT should continue to force the issue here, resulting in more giveaways to a steal-hungry Grizzlies team. Mix in a number of 3.5 at plus money, and this is a must-bet.

Pick: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 3.5 turnovers (+110 at Draftkings)

Ant raids

Another thing the Timberwolves will need to keep their season alive is the Anthony Edwards’ shooting. The big stage of the playoffs hasn’t been too much for Minnesota's sophomore star in his first series.

After a year where Ant shot 35.7% from 3-point range on 8.4 attempts per game, he’s been even better in the playoffs. Edwards is shooting 40.4% from beyond the arc on a big 9.4 attempts per game through the first five games of this series.

So, Ant has been able to consistently get his shot up against this Grizzlies defense that has given up the fourth-most 3-point attempts during the playoffs.

This means we're getting excellent value on the Over 3.5 made threes when it’s sitting at plus-money, particularly when you consider Edwards has hit four or more threes five times in his last six games and in nine of his last 12 overall.

Pick: Anthony Edwards Over 3.5 made threes (+110 at BetMGM)

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