The Toronto Raptors appear to be just running out the clock on the 2023-24 NBA season.
Toronto has lost seven games in a row, covering the spread just twice over that stretch. Things won’t get any easier tonight, as the NBA odds have them as double-digit home underdogs against the visiting Sacramento Kings.
Can the Raps put up a fight, or will they get crowned by the Kings? Here are my NBA picks and predictions for Kings vs. Raptors on Wednesday, March 20.
Kings vs Raptors odds
Kings vs Raptors predictions
I have spent much of 2024 harping on the fact that the Toronto Raptors have been terrible defensively. In fact, the only team with a worse defensive rating than the Raptors since January 1 is the Utah Jazz.
But with the injury to Scottie Barnes, it’s not just the defense that is suffering. The offense has cratered as well, with Toronto ranking dead last in offensive rating and 25th in effective field goal percentage over nine games in March.
The Raptors are putting up just 107.4 points per game over that stretch. In addition to Barnes' absence, Jakob Poeltl has been sidelined, RJ Barrett is currently away from the team due to personal matters, and now Immanuel Quickley is out as well.
Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings are playing surprisingly good defense at the moment. They rank sixth in the NBA in D-rating this month, allowing 111.6 ppg.
The Raptors’ team total is sitting at 110.5. They have played below this number in three straight and in five of nine games played this month, and the Kings have held opponents below that number in four straight contests.
Things are ugly in Toronto right now and you’ll be able to tell by looking at the scoreboard tonight.
My best bet: Raptors team total Under 110.5 (-115 at PointsBet)
Kings vs Raptors same-game parlay
Raptors team total under 110.5
Domantas Sabonis over 15.5 rebounds
Malik Monk Over 18.5 points
The Raptors are doing a lot of things poorly right now, but one of the areas they struggle the most is on the glass. The Raptors rank next to last in rebounding rate and 25th in opponent rebounds per possession since January 1.
It may seem nuts that Domantas Sabonis has a rebounding prop sitting at a sky-high 15.5, but I’m here to tell you it may not be high enough. Sabonis is averaging 16.9 rebounds over his last eight games, hauling down 16 or more boards five times in that stretch.
With all the potential bricks the Raptors could be firing up tonight, this big number isn’t scaring me away from the Over. Plus, our Covers prop projections have him at 15.8 rebounds tonight.
Let’s close this SGP out with Malik Monk to eclipse 8.5 points. Monk is already averaging 19.6 points per game since the start of February and should get more of a run with Kevin Huerter out.
Did I mention the Raptors’ defense stinks?
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Kings vs Raptors spread and Over/Under analysis
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The Raptors opened this matchup as 11-point home underdogs. They were briefly bet to +11.5 but have since returned to the opening number.
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The Raptors are just 2-8 ATS in their last eight games. However, the Kings are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as double-digit favorites.
- The total opened at 231.5 and has been bet up to 233. The Raptors have played below the total in six of nine games this month.
Kings vs Raptors betting trend to know
The Raptors have hit the team total Under in 26 of their last 39 home games (+11.25 units and a 25% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Kings vs. Raptors.
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Kings vs Raptors game info
| Location: | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON |
| Date: | Wednesday, March 20, 2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TSN, NBCSCA |
Kings vs Raptors latest injuries
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