Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Picks and Predictions: Dallas Doubles Down on ATS Losses

The Dallas Mavericks are coming off of a lopsided loss at the hands of the Golden State Warriors and the team now has to turn around quickly and face the Portland Trail Blazers Wednesday night. Chauncey Billups’ team is playing some solid basketball right now, so this should be a hard-fought game. 

Will Dallas go out and pick up a big road win over Portland? Keep reading our Mavericks vs. Blazers NBA picks and predictions for January 26 to find out. 

Mavericks vs Trail Blazers odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

After the total opened at 216 in this exciting Western Conference game, the number has since gone up to 217 on most books. Meanwhile, the Mavericks were 4-point favorites when this first became available and it has mostly stayed the same, outside of one site offering 4.5. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Mavericks vs Trail Blazers predictions

• Prediction: Blazers +4.5 (-110)
• Prediction: Over 215.5 (-110)
• Best bet: Blazers +4.5 (-110)

Predictions made on 1/26/2022 at 3:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

Mavericks vs Trail Blazers game info

• Location: Moda Center, Portland, OR
• Date: Wednesday, January 26, 2022
• Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ROOT Sports Northwest, Bally Sports Southwest

Mavericks vs Trail Blazers betting preview

Injuries

Mavericks: Tim Hardaway Jr. G (Out), Sterling Brown G (Out).
Trail Blazers: Cody Zeller C (Out), Larry Nance Jr. F (Out), Damian Lillard G (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Mavericks are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games. Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers.

Mavericks vs Trail Blazers picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

The Blazers are coming off a two-point loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday, but the team was still able to cover the spread in that one. Portland is now 8-4 against the spread in its last 12 games, and that number is an even better 5-1 when the team is playing at home. Don’t be surprised if the Blazers continue to be a winning ticket for bettors at the Moda Center. 

With the Mavericks having to deal with the emotions of losing Hardaway Jr. to a significant foot injury last night, it wouldn’t be surprising if the team really struggles to get up for this one. Hardaway is a key player for a Dallas roster that already lacked depth, and the team had to quickly hop on a flight and get ready for this tough road game. That’s not a recipe for success for the Mavericks, and it’s hard to imagine how this Dallas team is going to space the floor for Luka Doncic. The Mavs star is going to put up numbers in this one, but he won’t have much room to operate. That could mean that he’s due for a somewhat inefficient night, and this offense could stall out, in general. 

Despite the fact that the Blazers couldn’t contain Anthony Edwards last night, this team has been much better on the defensive end over the last 12 or so games. Portland should be able to do just fine against this version of Dallas. Of course, Doncic is plenty capable of going off, but the Blazers will focus on limiting Jalen Brunson’s damage here. The team will also be careful when shooters like Reggie Bullock are on the floor. 

Offensively, the Blazers will have to work for everything against a very good Mavericks defense. Fortunately for Portland, CJ McCollum is a very good isolation scorer, capable of hitting tough shots late in the shot clock. And Jusuf Nurkic is another great option to play through, as he can score or find others out of the post. That should be enough for this team to hang around and cover. 

Prediction: Blazers +4.5 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

The Over is 27-13 over the last three seasons when the Blazers are trying to avenge a home loss versus an opponent. The Over is also 7-0 in the last seven games in which the Mavericks have played against teams with losing straight-up records. And along similar lines, the Over is 7-1 in Portland’s last eight games against teams with winning straight-up records. 

Overall, it’s rather hard to see a scenario in which these teams don’t go Over here. This total is just extremely low given where these teams are right now. Dallas’ defense has been great this year, but the team was picked apart by Golden State last night. Portland’s guard should be able to get some good looks against this defense, and the Blazers will surely give up their fair share of open attempts here. 

Portland would also be wise to try to up the tempo in this one, as Dallas is going to be tired and somewhat shorthanded in this game. 

Prediction: Over 215.5 (-110)

Best bet

This line is surprisingly big for a Mavericks team that is on the second night of a road back-to-back and also happens to be without its third-best scorer. Hardaway Jr. might be considered overpaid, but he’s a good shooter and gives Dallas some much-needed off-ball juice next to Doncic. It might take some time for this team to adjust to losing him, barring somebody like Bullock stepping up and playing to his fullest potential — he has been a disappointment after having a great year for the New York Knicks last year. 

There’s just not a whole lot to suggest that Portland isn’t capable of hanging around in this game. Portland is also 8-6 against the spread when avenging a same-season loss against an opponent this season, and that record is a more impressive 7-4 against the spread when the loss was by 10 or more points. 

Pick: Blazers +4.5 (-110) 

Pages related to this topic