Today’s NBA Player Prop Picks: Westbrook Shines Against Former Team

Russell Westbrook has started to find a groove in Los Angeles Clippers offense, and we're backing the former MVP when he faces his old team tonight in Hollywood. Find out more in our daily NBA player props.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Mar 21, 2023 • 11:20 ET • 4 min read
Russell Westbrook Los Angeles Clippers NBA
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It’s a great night of NBA action with six games on the board for hungry bettors to dig into. 

Tonight, I hone in on a could of double-doubles at tantalizing plus money, while taking advantage of one player’s point total being over-inflated.

Here are my best NBA player prop picks for Tuesday, March 21.

NBA player props for March 21

Picks made on 3/21/2023 at 12:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Today’s best NBA player props

The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.

Magic Man

Wendell Carter Jr. has been a double-double machine down the stretch for the Orlando Magic, and he’ll have a great chance to keep that going when they host the Washington Wizards on Tuesday night.

Carter looks like an important piece to this Magic core moving forward. The Magic big man is averaging 15.6 points per game while shooting 52.7% from the floor. He’s also adding 8.9 rebounds per contest as well.

But Carter has taken his game to the next level recently, bumping those numbers up to 16.3 points and 10.4 rebounds over his last 10 games, recording seven double-doubles over that stretch.

The Wizards will be without one of their top rebounders in Kyle Kuzma, who is out with an ankle injury. In Carter’s lone meeting against the Wizards this season, he missed a double-double by just one rebound.

Given Carter’s increased usage rate and his proclivity for cleaning the glass, I’m riding with him to record his eighth double-double in his last 11 games.

Wendell Carter Jr. prop: To record a double-double (+145 at bet365)

Fading Brandon

It looks like the San Antonio Spurs are throwing in the white flag tonight when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans.

There won't be a single reliable starter available for Gregg Popovich in this Western Conference matchup. As a result, the Spurs are massive 13-point underdogs against a Pels team that desperately needs to start stringing together wins.

While a blowout is certainly in the realm of outcomes here tonight, I think Brandon Ingram’s point total is getting a little too much of a boost in this spot.

Ingram is having a solid season for the Pels (when he’s been on the court), averaging 23.2 points per game which includes shooting a solid 39.3% when shooting from 3-point range.

That said, oddsmakers are giving him a bit too much respect in this matchup, setting his point total at 27.5. That’s a number he’s eclipsed just twice in his last nine games. 

Look for the Pelicans to spread the ball around in this matchup as they play to an easy victory. Ingram won't need his best output and may not even play in the fourth quarter if this one gets out of hand. 

Brandon Ingram prop: Under 27.5 points (-120)

Backing Brodie

Russell Westbrook faces off against his former team when the Los Angeles Clippers host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday night, and I’m betting the former MVP will stuff the stat sheet. 

After a bit of a rocky start to his Clippers tenure, Westbrook has settled into his new role as Los Angeles has won five of its last six games. Westbrook is averaging 13.1 points while shooting 45% from the floor and adding 7.8 assists, and 5.2 rebounds per game. The veteran point guard has recorded four double-doubles over 11 games as a member of the Clippers but has narrowly missed out on many more.

The Thunder are an undersized team that ranks just 26th in rebounding rate and dead last in opponent rebounds per game. Their high rate of play also tends to lead to more high-scoring games. 

Westbrook’s final game with the Lakers also came against the Thunder, where he went for 27 points and eight dimes. At +225, it’s worth backing him to record a double-double tonight.

Russell Westbrook prop: To record a double-double (+225)

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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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