There is no NBA action tomorrow, so the Association has crammed 15 games onto tonight's slate. With all 30 teams playing, there is no shortage of NBA player props! I’ve done my due diligence to select three plays with the best value.
My NBA picks for November 4 feature a New Orleans Pelicans star shouldering the load for an injury-riddled team and a young Denver Nuggets guard shining with an expanded role.
Best NBA player props today
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Ingram Over 36.5 PRA (-115 at bet365) -
Braun Over 15.5 PA (-110 at bet365) -
Gafford Over 16.5 PRA (-105 at bet365)
Picks made on 11-4 at 9:15 a.m. ET.
NBA player props for November 4
Prop bet #1: Brandon Ingram Over 36.5 points + rebounds + assists
The New Orleans Pelicans injury woes have been incredibly unfortunate this season, and the hits keep on coming. It was announced late last week CJ McCollum and Herb Jones will each miss at least two weeks. They join Dejounte Murray and Trey Murphy III on the injury report for tonight's tilt with Portland.
Brandon Ingram was off to a hot start even before the injuries started piling up, and he’s in a great spot to cash the Over on this prop while handling a sizeable workload. The New Orleans’ star forward is averaging 24.3 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 4.1 assists this season, and he’s hit the Over on his PRA line in each of his last two.
Portland has been a surprisingly competitive team this season, and this is unlikely to be a blowout. These two teams have a combined 8-6 record to the Over, so I expect Ingram to get plenty of opportunities to rack up the points, rebounds, and assists.
Prop bet #2: Christian Braun Over 15.5 points + assists
The Denver Nuggets have gotten off to a rocky start to open the 2024-25 campaign — limping to a 3-3 record — and two of the team’s wins were in overtime against the Raptors and Brooklyn Nets. Denver and Toronto face off again tonight, though the Nuggets are 9.5-point favorites at home.
The Raptors allow the most points per game to opponents this season, which makes this a favorable matchup for Christian Braun. Braun is averaging 14.5 points and 2.0 assists per game in Year 3, taking advantage of his new role as a starter and his monster bump in playing time to 35 minutes per night.
He’s hit the Over on this line in four of six matchups, including Saturday’s win over Utah. Braun posted 17 points in that game, tying his season-high in points he posted when the Nuggets first faced the Raptors. I’d take the Over on this one even if he was available, but Jamal Murray’s absence tonight only sweetens the deal.
Prop bet #3: Daniel Gafford Over 16.5 points + rebounds + assists
Daniel Gafford is playing just 18.8 minutes per game this season, but that’s all it’s taken for him to average 17.7 PRAs. He’ll simply need to be average against the Pacers tonight to cash the Over on this line.
The Dallas big man has hit the Over on this prop in four of six games, and he’s in a phenomenal position to do so again. The Pacers recently lost Isaiah Jackson to a torn Achilles after James Wiseman suffered the same injury earlier. Indiana is at a clear size disadvantage in the frontcourt, and Gafford can exploit this matchup.
Indiana allows the fourth-most points, the seventh-most points in the paint, and the seventh-most rebounds to opponents. This matchup figures to be fast-paced and high-scoring, which should work to Gafford’s advantage as he collects the counting stats needed to hit the Over.
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NBA odds today
Here are the full NBA odds for all of today’s matchups.
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