Today’s NBA Player Prop Picks: Lillard Shooting out of Slump

As usual, it's a packed slate for Wednesday night in the NBA. We've combed through the flood of betting markets to find the best NBA prop picks for tonight, including Damian Lillard to keep letting loose from long range.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Nov 8, 2021 • 11:33 ET • 3 min read
Damian Lillard Portland Trail Blazers NBA props
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We’ve got an absolutely loaded NBA slate tonight with a whopping 13 games on the board. That, of course, means there are a ton of NBA player prop bets to dive into.

Today, we focus on Portland Trail Blazers superstar Damian Lillard as he continues to try and shoot his way out of his early-season funk, while Grayson Allen has stepped up for the Milwaukee Bucks in the absence of some of his teammates.

Check out our NBA prop picks for Wednesday, November 10, as we bank on some of the NBA's best sharpshooters to do their thing.

NBA player props for November 10

Picks made on 11/10/2021 at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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The Toronto Raptors head into tonight’s road matchup with the Boston Celtics having lost two in a row, but the early returns out of The Six have been promising.

The Raptors have been getting most of their praise on the defensive end of the floor. Toronto ranks ninth in defensive rating, is fourth in scoring defense, and leads the Association in deflections by a wide margin. 

The Raps also do a great job cleaning up the glass, ranking third in rebounding percentage. They will be missing Khem Birch for this matchup, but we are going to focus on Raps’ rookie sensation Scottie Barnes.

The kid with a high basketball IQ and a ton of energy is averaging 8.7 rebounds per game this season, and we're getting his rebounding total at 6.5 for this matchup against the Celtics. This is a number he’s gone Over this number of boards seven times in his nine games.

Oh, and the Celtics? They're one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA. They rank 28th in rebounding percentage and 29th in opponent rebounds per game. Sign us up for the Over, please, and thanks.

Pick: Scottie Barnes Over 6.5 Rebounds (-120 at DraftKings)      

The Milwaukee Bucks will be playing the second half of a back-to-back as they travel to Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks tonight. 

With no Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez, and Donte DiVincenzo, the Bucks are lacking a bit of firepower that is much needed in these back-to-back scenarios. That said, one guy they have been able to rely on, outside of Giannis Antetokounmpo of course, has been Grayson Allen.

The shooting guard has thrived in his first season with the Bucks and their let-it-fly-from-deep style. Allen is shooting 41.5 from deep on a whopping 8.5 attempts per game. Wednesday, he goes up against a Knicks team that really struggles to defend the perimeter. 

New York allows the second most 3-point attempts per game and ranks 23rd in opponent 3-point shooting percentage. With Allen hitting three or more threes in seven of his last eight games, he’s a great bet to go Over 2.5 makes tonight against the Knicks.

Pick: Grayson Allen Over 2.5 Made Threes (-132 at FanDuel)

It looks like Damian Lillard has decided the only way to get his way out of his early-season slump is, of course, to shoot his way out of it.

After beginning the season hitting just 21.7 percent of his 3-point attempts over his first nine games, Lillard has taken 27 threes over his last two games, hitting 10 of them. You can expect him to keep letting it fly as the Portland Trail Blazers visit the Phoenix Suns tonight.

The Suns, a little surprisingly, have been one of the worst teams in the NBA when it comes to defending the 3-ball this season. Suns opponents are taking 37 attempts from deep per game, and hitting 38.7 percent of those attempts. Only the Detroit Pistons are giving up a greater opponent 3-point percentage.

Lillard hit just two threes the last time he faced the Suns back on Oct. 23, but he only attempted seven shots from beyond the arc. He should have double-digit attempts in this one as he continues to shoot his way out of this funk.

Pick: Damian Lillard Over 3.5 Made Threes (-115 at DraftKings)

NBA parlay

Did you know that if you played today’s NBA props as a parlay, you could win $50.24 on a $10 bet?

Use our NBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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