Today’s NBA Player Prop Picks: Greece Owns the Glass

We're rolling into the weekend with another daily edition of our NBA prop picks! Check out tonight's predictions to see why Giannis will dominate the boards against the Thunder — and more!

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Nov 19, 2021 • 13:04 ET • 4 min read
Giannis Antetokounmpo Milwaukee Bucks NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

There’s no better way to kick off the weekend than with some winning NBA player prop bets and with nine games on today’s board, there is plenty of betting value to be found.

Today we focus on a pair of rebounding props. One for a guard who is trying to do it all for his team and another for the guy who does it all better than anyone, the Greek Freak himself, Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

Those and much more in our NBA prop picks for Wednesday, November 17, as we bank on some of the NBA's best to do their thing.

NBA player props for November 19

Picks made on 11/19/2021 at 12:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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LaMelo Ball finally looks like the star Michael Jordan has always wanted for the Charlotte Hornets. Now, Ball leads the red-hot Hornets into a matchup against the visiting Indiana Pacers in an Eastern Conference showdown Friday night.

Ball has led Buzz City to four straight wins, but it’s Pacers point guard Malcolm Brogdon we will focus on in this prop. While the Hornets are all the buzz right now, one place they still need to improve on is their play on the boards.

Charlotte is primarily a small-ball team, and as a result, ranks 28th in the NBA in rebounding percentage and 29th in opponent rebounds per game. And while Ball does it all for the Hornets, Brogdon does the same for the Pacers and is finding his rhythm after a slow start to the season.

Not only does Brogdon average 22.2 points and 6.5 assists but he also hauls down 7.1 rebounds per game. And with a rebounding total set at 5.5 for this game, Brogdon is the Pacer presenting the best value in this matchup after grabbing eight or more boards in three of his last four games. 

Bet on Brogdon to keep cleaning up the glass in this one.

Pick: Malcolm Brogdon Over 5.5 Rebounds (-130 at DraftKings)

The Los Angeles Clippers are still adjusting to life without Kawhi Leonard, but they are trying to make up for his loss in a few ways. One, by playing lights out defense. And two, by having some key role players step up and help out Paul George. Namely, Reggie Jackson.

The Clippers’ guard is averaging 18.1 points per game this season and has really picked up the scoring over the last few weeks. Jackson is averaging 20.7 points and is jacking up 9.4 threes per game over the last nine games. 

Tonight, Jackson and the Clippers will visit the New Orleans Pelicans, who are still awaiting the return of Zion Williamson. Without their star, the Pels haven’t been able to take flight, and are really struggling on the defensive end of the floor.

New Orleans ranks dead last in the NBA in defensive rating, 29th in opponent field goal percentage, and 26th in points allowed per game. Jackson has scored 19 points or more seven times in the last nine games and the Pelicans should give the Clippers’ guard plenty of opportunity to get buckets in this one. Take the Over on his points.

Pick: Reggie Jackson Over 18.5 Points (+100 at DraftKings)

The Milwaukee Bucks are suffering from a little bit of a championship hangover, along with weathering numerous injuries. The defending NBA champs have begun the year a middling 7-8, but you can’t blame Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

The two-time MVP is averaging 28 points 11.1 rebounds, 5.5 assists, and 1.6 blocks for the season and he’ll look to have another big performance when the Bucks welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder to town Friday night.

The Thunder have been a competitive team this season, considering their roster, and are 8-6 ATS, but an area where The Greek Freak can take over this game is on the glass. The Thunder are a below-average rebounding team, ranking 18th in rebounding percentage and 28th in opponent rebounds per game. 

So, getting Antetokounmpo’s rebounding total at 10.5 with plus money seems like great value. Particularly, considering he has played more at center and on the inside with Brook Lopez still sidelined. 

Pick: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 10.5 Rebounds (+105 at DraftKings)

NBA parlay

Did you know that if you played today’s NBA props as a parlay, you could win $62.54 on a $10 bet?

Use our NBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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