Rockets forward Amen Thompson has broken out as a sophomore, and while he had an off night on Tuesday, I'm expecting him to bounce back today.
My NBA picks for tonight are also betting on Atlanta's Zaccharie Risacher while fading Portland's Toumani Camara. Here are my best free NBA player props for Thursday, January 30.
Best NBA player props today
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Risacher Over 3.5 rebounds (-110 at bet365) -
Thompson Over 27.5 pts + rebs (-120 at bet365) -
Camara Under 10.5 points (-115 at bet365)
NBA player props for January 30
Zaccharie Risacher Over 3.5 rebounds (-110 at bet365)
The Atlanta Hawks got some devastating news when they found out forward Jalen Johnson (18.5 points and 10 rebounds per game) is out for the season with a shoulder injury. However, that should be an opportunity for Zaccharie Risacher to earn a bigger role.
The first pick overall in last year's draft, Risacher missed six games due to an adductor strain before returning to the lineup on Monday and grabbing seven boards in 20 minutes. Risacher has now pulled down 4+ rebounds in seven of his last 10 contests, and he should get more playing time in his second game back from that injury.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have the best record in the NBA but they've been subpar on the glass, sitting 19th in rebounding rate. They are also eighth in the league in pace, so there will be plenty of possessions in this contest. There will also be more available boards up for grabs with Atlanta missing Johnson and center Clint Capela (9.0 rpg) tonight.
Amen Thompson Over 27.5 points + rebounds (-120 at bet365)
I bet the Over 28.5 points + rebounds for Amen Thompson on Tuesday, and he finished with just 11 points and five boards in 31 minutes. That said, I'm going back to the well for that play tonight with the number ticking down to 27.5.
Thompson has been on fire since entering the Houston Rockets' starting lineup to replace the injured Jabari Smith at the beginning of January. Despite his off-night on Tuesday, he's putting up 18.5 ppg and 10.9 rpg in 38.6 mpg this month.
The fourth pick overall in the 2023 draft, the ultra-athletic Thompson excels in transition and loves to attack the rim. He should thrive tonight against a Memphis Grizzlies squad that plays at the fastest tempo in the league and ranks 24th at defending the rim, per ShotQualityBets.
With Thompson logging 30+ points + rebounds in 10 of his last 14 starts, expect a bounce-back performance from him here.
Toumani Camara Under 10.5 points (-115 at bet365)
The Portland Trail Blazers are coming off a 125-112 win against the Bucks. They got big contributions from DeAndre Ayton, Anfernee Simons, and Deni Avdija who all scored more than 20 points and took at least 17 field goal attempts.
Even sixth-man Shaedon Sharpe got in on the action, dropping 17 points on 6-14 shooting. However, that meant fewer shots for Toumani Camara who finished with eight points on 3-6 shooting despite logging 40 minutes.
Camara has put together a handful of high-scoring games in January but in all of them Ayton or Avdija were sidelined. Avdija has seen his offensive role expand over the last month while Ayton has dropped 20+ points in back-to-back games while seeing his usage rate rise. That's good for Portland but it's not good for Camara's scoring numbers with the forward now the fifth or sixth scoring option.
Tonight, Camara and the Blazers host the Orlando Magic who play at the second-slowest pace in the NBA and are third in defensive rating. That's more than enough for me to fade him on his points prop.
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NBA odds today
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