Raptors vs Hawks Picks and Predictions: Siakam Leads Dinos to Road Victory

Fresh off a triple-OT victory against Miami, the Raptors now go on the road to play the Atlanta Hawks, who may be without Trae Young. Our Raptors vs. Hawks betting preview breaks down how Pascal Siakam & Co. will take advantage en route to a victory.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Jan 31, 2022 • 15:10 ET • 4 min read
Pascal Siakam Toronto Raptors NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Raptors are coming off a thrilling triple-overtime victory over the Eastern Conference-leading Miami Heat. But the Raptors will need that same effort if they hope to slow down the suddenly high-flying Atlanta Hawks.

The Hawks have won seven straight games to climb into the 10th and final play-in spot in the East but if they want to make it eight, they might have to do so without Trae Young. Can Toronto take care of business as a slight road favorite?

Find out in our free NBA betting picks and predictions for Raptors vs. Hawks on January 31.

Raptors vs Hawks odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Raptors opened this Eastern Conference matchup as 1-point underdogs and got up to +2 before Trae Young was listed as questionable. But sportsbooks believe Young is leaning towards not playing as the line has jumped the fence to Raptors -1.5.

The total hit the board at 219.5, rose to 221.5, but has also dropped with the news of Young’s potential absence, now sitting at 215.5.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Raptors vs Hawks predictions

Predictions made on 1/31/2022 at 2:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Raptors vs Hawks game info

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Date: Monday, January 31, 2022
Tip-off: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: Sportsnet, Bally Sports Southeast

Raptors vs Hawks betting preview

Injuries

Raptors: Khem Birch C (Out).
Hawks: Trae Young PG (Questionable), De'Andre Hunter SF (Questionable).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 6-1 in the Raptors' last seven games overall and is 4-0 when the Hawks play without Trae Young this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Raptors vs. Hawks.

Raptors vs Hawks picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

The Raptors are still trying to find some consistency this season and are hoping the triple-overtime victory over the Eastern Conference-leading Miami Heat could be a launching point for them. 

The Raptors are 24-23 and sit in eighth place in the East but haven’t won back-to-back games since a six-game winning streak came to an end back at the beginning of January.

But despite the inconsistent results, the Raptors have played well in 2022, ranking 11th in net rating since the start of January while Fred VanVleet and Pascal Siakam are both making strong cases for All-Star appearances. 

The biggest problem for Toronto is their depth. They only have about six players they can rely on, on a regular basis. (Look for Masai Ujiri to address that depth at the trade deadline). But that might not be an issue for a Hawks team without its best player.

Yes, the Hawks have won and covered seven games in a row and the offense has been humming, but that was with Trae Young on the court. While the Hawks have managed to go 2-2 SU without Young this season, the offense has stalled in those spots, putting up just 97.8 points per game.

While it’s the Raptors who sometimes struggle with depth, they are facing a Hawks team potentially without Young and playing its second game in as many nights. Back the Raps to cover as short road chalk.

Prediction: Raptors -1.5 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

When it comes to the total the number reopened at 215.5 but that number still might not be low enough. 

As noted, the Hawks offense has struggled without Young this season, putting up less than 100 points per game with the Under going 4-0 in those matchups. Now, they’ll face a tenacious Raptors defense known for causing deflections and steals. Toronto also ranks 10th in defensive rating since the start of January, giving up just 106.4 points per game.

On the other side, the Raptors' offense is still not as efficient as they would like it to be and rank 26th in effective field goal percentage in January while scoring just 109.5 points over that span. (And that number is a little higher than it should be thanks to the 3OT game versus the Heat). 

Additionally, the Hawks probably won’t play at as high a tempo without Young on the court and the Raptors rank 27th in pace. Bet on this one to stay Under the number.

Prediction: Under 215.5 (-110)

Best bet

With how the Hawks struggle without Young, and the Raptors still not being an efficient offense, the Under looks like a solid bet, so that will make the list of best bets for this one, but we’re not stopping there because there looks like some value on a Siakam prop for this one.

Siakam is playing his best basketball since 2019 averaging 23 points on 48.5% shooting while adding 9.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game over 18 games dating back to the middle of December.

Now, the Hawks have played better on defense as of late but still rank 21st in defensive rating since the calendar flipped over to 2022. The Hawks also rank 14th in rebounding percentage and give up the fourth-most assists per game.

That means Siakam could be in for another well-rounded performance. His points + rebounds + assists Over/Under is on the board at 34.5 and he has gone over this number 12 times over his last 18 games.

Pick: Under 215.5 (-110)

Pick: Pascal Siakaim Over 34.5 points + rebounds + assists (-110)

NBA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NBA Raptors vs. Hawks predictions and picks in a single-game parlay, you could win $69.58 on a $10 bet?

Use our NBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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