Raptors vs Pelicans Picks and Predictions: Siakam & Co. Start New Winning Streak

Fresh off an extremely tight loss to the Denver Nuggets, Pascal Siakam and the Toronto Raptors look to right the ship against the New Orleans Pelicans. We like the Raps to cover in our betting picks as they jumpstart a new winning streak in NOLA.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Feb 14, 2022 • 17:33 ET • 4 min read
Pascal Siakam Toronto Raptors NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Raptors head to the Big Easy to face off against the New Orleans Pelicans tonight. NBA betting lines hit the board with the Raps installed as 4-point road favorites with the Over/Under at 223.

Here are our best free Raptors vs. Pelicans NBA betting picks and predictions for February 14, with tipoff at 8 p.m. ET.

Raptors vs Pelicans odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

This line hit the board with the Raptors installed as 4-point favorites with the Over/Under at 222.5. As of 10:30 a.m. ET, both the line and total have held steady with some books shifting ever-so-slightly to Raptors -4.5. 

These teams last played against each other on January 9 when the Raptors won 105-101 but failed to cover as 7.5-point home faves. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Raptors vs Pelicans predictions

Predictions made on 2/14/2022 at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Raptors vs Pelicans game info

Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
Date: Monday, February 14, 2022
Tip-off: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: BSN, Sportsnet

Raptors vs Pelicans betting preview

Key injuries

Raptors: None.
Pelicans: Zion Williamson PF (Out), Larry Nance Jr. PF (Out), Kira Lewis PG (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Raptors are 5-0 against the spread in their last five road games. Find more NBA betting trends for Raptors vs. Pelicans.

Raptors vs Pelicans picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

The Pelicans are 22-34 SU (27-28 ATS) and are coming off back-to-back home losses, most recently falling 124-114 to San Antonio on Saturday. Trade deadline acquisition C.J. McCollum caught fire against the Spurs, dropping 36 points on 62.5% shooting while adding 11 rebounds and five assists.

McCollum and his 20.8 points per game should provide an offensive boost to the Pels, who rank just 25th in the league in offensive rating and desperately need better outside shooting. That said, he doesn't do much on the other end of the floor for a New Orleans team that sits 20th in defensive rating.

The Raptors are fresh off a 110-109 loss to the Nuggets, which snapped an eight-game winning streak where they went a perfect 8-0 ATS. The Raptors shot the ball well in that contest and turned the ball over just seven times but they got massacred on the glass by Nikola Jokic & Co. Toronto is now 31-24 SU (33-22 ATS) and in seventh place in an extremely competitive Eastern Conference. 

Toronto struggled earlier in the season when it was dealing with injuries to key players and a COVID-19 spread in the locker room. But since getting healthy, the Raptors have surged up the standings. Since December 31, they have gone 17-7 SU and 18-6 ATS while ranking sixth in the NBA in offensive rating and 10th in defensive rating over that span. 

The Raps are clearly the better team in this matchup and they have gone a sizzling 14-4 ATS when installed as a favorite of seven points or less. Their last five wins have also all been by at least seven points. Meanwhile, seven of the Pelicans' last eight losses have come by double digits. Grab Toronto on the spread. 

Prediction: Raptors -4 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

When these teams faced off a month ago, they combined for just 206 points, going well below the total of 221. Now, we're seeing a slightly higher number and while McCollum does make New Orleans better on offense, we're not sure how much he elevates a squad that averages just 105.8 points per game. 

Sure, the Pels combined for 238 points with the Spurs on Saturday, but they got sucked into San Antonio's up-tempo style and now they're matching up against a Raptors squad that ranks 26th in the league in pace.

The Pelicans are also a Bottom-10 team in terms of pace and have gone a commanding 7-1-1 to the Under in their last nine games. 

With Toronto limiting opponents to 106.9 ppg and forcing the most turnovers per possession in the league, back the Under.

Prediction: Under 222.5 (-110)

Best bet

Raptors big man Pascal Siakam has been on fire lately. He dropped 37 points while shooting 16 for 22 from the field against the Nuggets and has now scored at least 24 points in six straight contests. He has also been excellent on the glass, where he has pulled down at least nine rebounds in six of his last seven. 

When Siakam faced off against the Pelicans on January 9, he scored 29 points while adding 10 boards. Raptors coach Nick Nurse has become increasingly reliant on his All-Star forward, with Siakam averaging a whopping 40.3 minutes per game in his last 26.

Expect Siakam to log plenty of minutes against the Pels tonight and take the Over 30.5 on his total points and rebounds.

Pick: Siakam Over 30.5 points + rebounds (-105)

NBA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NBA Raptors vs. Pelicans predictions and picks in a single-game parlay, you could win $61.16 on a $10 bet?

Use our NBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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