Suns vs Grizzlies Picks and Predictions: Suns Shine on Short-Handed Grizz

The Top 2 teams in the West face off tonight, but one of them isn't bringing much of a fight. With Memphis sitting most of its starters, find out why Phoenix should cruise in this game as we break down our Suns vs. Grizzlies picks.

Zachary Cohen - Contributor at Covers.com
Apr 1, 2022 • 10:21 ET • 4 min read
Chris Paul Phoenix Suns NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Phoenix Suns won a tight game against the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday, and the team has now won nine in a row. Now, Devin Booker and Co. will look to make it 10 straight with a victory over a Memphis Grizzlies team that is missing some key pieces on Friday. 

Will Phoenix stay hot and win its 63rd game of the season, which would be a franchise record? Keep reading our April 1 Suns vs. Grizzlies NBA picks and predictions for our favorite bets. 

Suns vs Grizzlies odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Suns opened as 7.5-point favorites in this meeting with the shorthanded Grizzlies, but the line is mostly down to 6.5 or 7 as of writing. The total, meanwhile, opened at 229.5 and is either 228.5 or 229. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Suns vs Grizzlies predictions

Predictions made on 4/1/2022 at 9:15 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Suns vs Grizzlies game info

Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Date: Friday, April 1, 2022
Tip-off: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: NBATV

Suns vs Grizzlies betting preview

Key injuries

Suns: Cameron Johnson F (Probable), JaVale McGee C (Out), Frank Kaminsky C (Out), Dario Saric F (Out).
Grizzlies: Tyus Jones G (Doubtful), Desmond Bane G (Doubtful), Jaren Jackson Jr. F (Doubtful), C Steven Adams (Doubtful), Ja Morant G (Out), Killian Tillie C (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Suns are 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 games following an ATS loss.  Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Grizzlies.

Suns vs Grizzlies picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Spread analysis

With Morant out and Jones doubtful, the Grizzlies are going to be really weak at the point guard position tonight. Against a team that has Chris Paul, that’s not a great spot to be losing players. Memphis is just going to be low on guys that can create shots for others in this one, as Adams is another good passer in the rotation.

That will leave Kyle Anderson as the only guy in the lineup that really looks to make the game easier for teammates, but the Suns have wings that can make the game tough on a slower player like Anderson — perhaps Defensive Player of the Year candidate Mikal Bridges gets that assignment. 

Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are also seemingly losing their best three-point shooter in Bane, and they lose even more court spacing with Jackson likely to miss this one. If Memphis isn’t hitting threes at a relatively high clip, it’s just hard to see the team hanging around against a Phoenix team that is as good as it gets on the offensive end. Dillon Brooks is a guy that could end up having a huge game for the Grizzlies in this one, but it’s hard to see where the help is coming from for him. 

On the other end of the floor, Memphis is tasked with defending a Phoenix team that is third in the league in offensive rating. The Suns are also coming off of a dismal performance against the Warriors on the offensive end, so they’ll be looking to take that out on the Grizzlies here.

After shooting 41.4% from the field in that game, this prideful Phoenix group is likely to bounce back in a big way. The Suns are also 13-2 against the spread when facing an opponent that beat them in their last game this season, so they’ll be eager to get revenge on the Grizzlies. 

Prediction: Suns -6.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

Over/Under analysis

Both the Suns and the Grizzlies are in the Top 10 in pace this season, so both of these teams will be looking to get up and down the floor — and both of these advanced offensive systems prioritize the right types of shots on the floor. Phoenix should have no trouble scoring around 120 in this game, which is something the team had done in seven consecutive games before failing to do so against the Philadelphia 76ers and then the Warriors.

Meanwhile, even with less-talented players filling out the rotation in this game, the Grizzlies should be able to score a decent amount of points because of the way this team likes to play. 

The Over is actually 5-1 in the last six Phoenix road games and it’s also 7-3 in the last 10 games in which the Suns are coming off an ATS loss. On top of that, the Over is 12-4-1 in the last 17 games that the Grizzlies have played at home against teams with winning records on the road. 

Prediction: Over 228.5 (-110 at BetMGM)

Best bet

Paul has dished out 11.7 assists per game in the three games since returning from injury, so it’s a bit odd to see his assist total at 10.5 in this meeting with the Grizzlies. This game has a relatively high point total, so Paul should be able to do his part offensively in a game that figures to have quite a bit of scoring. 

Paul is also averaging 12.5 assists per game in two meetings with Memphis this season, and Morant and Jones are both out for this one. That likely leaves Memphis in a position where De’Anthony Melton will be the one defending Paul. Melton is a good defender for a smaller player, and he’s going to work really hard to make sure Paul doesn’t get good looks. With that, the Point God could look even more to get his teammates involved. This could be a game where he breezes by the number.  

Pick: Chris Paul Over 10.5 Assists (-107)

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