Suns vs Hawks Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Young Shines Despite All-Star Snub

Trae Young's made a habit of picking apart the Suns, and without a quick guard to stay in front of him, our NBA picks are seeing more of the same as the Hawks host tonight.

Eric Rosales - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Feb 2, 2024 • 09:23 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The Phoenix Suns are on the home stretch of a monster seven-game road trip, with stop six taking them to Atlanta, a city that’s been a basketball graveyard for them of late.
 
The Hawks will look for their 10th straight home win against the Suns at State Farm Arena, hoping to keep building on a modest two-game win streak.
 
Phoenix is surging, taking wins in nine of its last 11, helping it climb into a Top-6 spot in the West, as a 3.5-point road favorite in the NBA odds Friday night.
 
What wager should you be targeting? Check my free Suns vs. Hawks NBA picks and predictions for February 2.

Suns vs Hawks odds

Suns vs Hawks predictions

Atlanta has been a mess for much of the season, and that’s overshadowed what’s been an impressive Trae Young campaign. 
 
Young is a Top-10 scorer, pumping in 27 points per game, but it’s his continued growth as a set-up man that has our attention against the Suns Friday night.
 
Ice Trae currently sits second in the NBA in assists per game, trailing only Indy All-Star Tyrese Haliburton, the two lone players averaging double-digit dimes.
 
If he can keep up his current clip of 10.9 assists per game this campaign, that would mark it as six straight years he’s upped his assist numbers.
 
Last time out, Young finished with 26 points and 13 assists in a 138-122 drubbing of the Lakers, which came a game after wearing out the Raptors with 30 points and 12 assists in a 126-125 win.
 
That makes it five times in the last six games Young has had 11 or more assists.
 
He’s been a beast against these Suns, though this will be his first chance to square up against this iteration of Phoenix that features Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, and Bradley Beal.
 
If his 10-game sample size against Phoenix is any indication, Young should be keeping his teammates well-fed. 
 
In their series sweep of the Suns last season, Young had 12 assists in each game. In fact, he’s had at least 12 dimes in six career games against Phoenix, and seven double-digit assist games overall.
 
Phoenix doesn’t have the personnel to contain smaller guards, meaning Booker will probably have to match up at some point, with Josh Okogie or Jordan Goodwin also getting major minutes on the Hawks PG.
 
All of those are mismatches, and Young should be able to pick them apart once he gets by the initial defender and puts the Suns into rotation.

My best bet: Trae Young Over 10.5 assists (-130 at DraftKings)

Suns vs Hawks same-game parlay

Trae Young Over 10.5 assists

Trae Young Over 2.5 3-pointers

Bradley Beal Under 1.5 3-pointers

Let’s stick with Young when building out a same-game parlay. He’s shooting it at a respectable 36.8% from 3-point range this year, but he struggled some from 3-point range, hitting at a 31.9% clip.
 
There’s optimism with a turnaround, starting with his last game against the Lakers, where he drilled 6-for-9 beyond the arc, one less than the total number of triples he had hit in his previous four games.
 
There’s also the sight of the Suns, whom he has torched from distance, hitting 18 of his last 30 from 3-point range over the last four matchups, a sizzling 60% mark. He has hit at least three triples in each of those games, clearing his 2.5-make line for Friday.
 
Conversely, I’m taking Phoenix third-wheel Beal’s Under from beyond the arc, set at 1.5.
 
The good news is he played 16 games in January, doubling his output from before the new year, but the bad news is the ex-Wizard is nowhere near the force he was while putting up big numbers on bad teams.
 
Beal is currently hitting at a 34.7% clip from beyond the arc, which is currently the second-worst hit rate in his 12-year career.
 
He’s coming off a 1-for-3 mark from distance against the Nets, the third time in four games he’s made fewer than two 3-pointers.
 
In fact, he’s only had two or more 3-pointers in six of 16 January contests, including six games where he went 0-fer.
 
The percentages suggest Beal is in for another rough one from beyond the arc Friday.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Suns vs Hawks spread and Over/Under analysis

Save for a few books making this a 2.5-point spread, most sites have settled in at Suns -3.5.
 
Both these teams are awful against the spread. The Suns are just 18-28-2 ATS, while the Hawks have covered just 12 of their 478 games on the season.
 
Atlanta owns this recent head-to-head though, winning the last three and covering the spread each time. The Hawks are 7-3-0 ATS vs the Suns in the last 10.
 
The total has been set at a lofty 248.5 points, with no books going sub-247.5. Such is the case when a matchup involves Atlanta, the third leading scorer in the NBA at 120.6 points per game.
 
No surprise then that the Over is a crisp 27-20-0 in their games this season. Phoenix is split down the middle, at 24-24.

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Suns vs Hawks betting trend to know

Seven of the last eight games between the Suns and Hawks have hit the Over.  Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Hawks.

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Suns vs Hawks game info

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Date: Friday, February 2, 2024
Tip-off: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: Peachtree, AZ Family

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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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