The Phoenix Suns are cooking, improving to 9-2 with a win over the Utah Jazz on Tuesday.
Although they will be without the services of Kevin Durant when they take on the Sacramento Kings tonight, my Suns vs. Kings predictions expect the rest of the roster to pick up the slack as notable road dogs.
Read more in my NBA picks for Wednesday, November 13.
Suns vs Kings prediction
My best bet
Suns +8 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
The Sacramento Kings are playing this one without a key offensive contributor in Malik Monk, and we saw his absence haunt the Kings in Monday’s loss to the Spurs.
Sacramento struggled to shoot the ball, hitting on just 26.3% of its threes, and it was demolished on the boards by a strong frontcourt that limited the Kings to mid-range looks and heavily contested 3-pointers.
The Phoenix Suns are a team that profiles very similarly. It ranks sixth in defensive rebounding rate and ranks 11th in rim defense, something that will test a Kings team that likes to operate inside the arc and run the offense through the hands of Domantas Sabonis.
The Suns have defended both the mid-range and rim with excellence, and despite missing Kevin Durant and potentially Jusuf Nurkic, there’s enough here for me to question this hefty line. The Kings’ offense didn’t do enough to inspire confidence against the Spurs on Monday, and the Suns can still lean on the defense of Tyus Jones to keep De’Aaron Fox at bay — as well as rely on the contributions of veteran center Mason Plumlee inside.
Phoenix has looked the part of an acceptable offense without Durant, pushing Sacramento to overtime without him just a few games ago. These lineups are pretty evenly matched, and the Suns’ depth can’t be overlooked.
Suns vs Kings same-game parlay
Suns +8.5
Bradley Beal 3+ threes
DeMar DeRozan Over 23.5 points
Bradley Beal has taken a total of 17 shots from deep in two games without Durant, and the star guard has now taken seven or more in his last three contests, which puts him in an excellent position on Wednesday against a Kings team ranking just 25th in defending the 3-pointer according to Cleaning the Glass.
Meanwhile, DeMar DeRozan has been driving the Kings' offense this season, putting up 34 points in his latest matchup against the Suns. Boasting 24+ points in five of his last seven contests, he's one member of the Kings who could take advantage of Durant's absence on defense.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Suns vs Kings odds
Suns vs Kings live odds
Suns vs Kings opening odds
- Spread: Phoenix +7 | Sacramento -7
- Moneyline: Phoenix +240 | Sacramento -300
- Over/Under: Over 225.5 | Under 225.5
Odds courtesy of bet365
Suns vs Kings spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Kings were quickly bet down to seven-point favorites and moved again to 7.5 – where they remained most of Wednesday afternoon before a late move to -8.
- A commanding 71% of the bets and 72% of the money is on the Suns to cover.
- After a quick move down to 225.5 points, the total has remained stagnant for the majority of the day.
- The Over has accounted for 74% of the tickets and 88% of the handle.
Suns vs Kings trend
Sacramento has hit the game total Under in 24 of its last 33 games (+14.10 Units / 39% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Kings.
How to watch Suns vs Kings
| Location: | Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA |
| Date: | Wednesday, 11-12-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | AZ Family Sports, NBC Sports California |
Suns vs Kings latest injuries
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