As the Golden State Warriors try to stay above the No. 7 seed and avoid playing in the NBA Play-In Tournament to make the playoffs, they take on a Portland Trail Blazers squad reeling from losses in three straight.
My Trail Blazers vs. Warriors predictions and NBA picks for Monday, March 10 expect Steph Curry & Co. to keep cooking while adding to Portland's misery.
Trail Blazers vs Warriors prediction
My best bet
Warriors -12 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
The Golden State Warriors have been on a heater as of late. They're 9-1 straight up in their last 10 games — 7-3 against the spread — and they’ve managed to cover in nine of their last 13 games (69.2%).
Their hot play has helped them climb the Western Conference standings, and they should only add to their record tonight against the Portland Trail Blazers, who've failed to cover in three straight games and lost by 36 to Golden State earlier in the season.
As much as the Trail Blazers have improved this year, their offense is still inconsistent under Chauncey Billups. Portland is 24th in points per game with 110.5 and 24th in offensive rating (111.4) behind an attack outside the Top 20 in the league in field goal percentage, 3-point percentage, and free throw percentage.
Portland’s shooting issues will only worsen with third-leading scorer Deni Avdija out for the game with a quad injury. That should help Golden State’s defense lock in on Anfernee Simons and Shaedon Sharpe.
Steve Kerr’s team has been impressive defensively this season, ranking eighth in defensive rating (111.9) and allowing the ninth-fewest points per game (111.2) while giving up the 10th-fewest 3-pointers per game and the eighth-fewest 2-pointers.
Even with Brandin Podziemski and Jonathan Kuminga expected to be out, the Warriors shouldn’t have many problems quieting the Trail Blazers offense.
Scoring should also come easy to the Dubs with how well this offense has played since the beginning of February. While Golden State is just 16th in ppg this season (113.3), it's averaging 119.2 points per outing in its last 16.
The addition of Jimmy Butler has also paid off as of late, with the six-time All-Star coming off back-to-back 25+ point outings. He and Steph Curry should push a Blazers defense in the bottom half of the league in field goal percentage allowed, 3-point percentage allowed, and made 2-pointers per game.
Trail Blazers vs Warriors same-game parlay
Warriors -12
Steph Curry Over 28.5 points
Donovan Clingan Over 1.5 blocks
Curry made his name in March while at Davidson, so it’s no surprise the former All-American has been at his best lately. The 11-time All-Star put up 32 and 40 the last two times he was on the hardwood, and he’s only a few games removed from that 56-point outing against the Orlando Magic.
Curry is poised to keep up his madness in March against a Blazers defense allowing the fifth-most points per game to point guards. Speaking of the NCAA Tournament, Donovan Clingan is no stranger to stepping up this month either.
A two-time national champ at UConn, Cling Kong is alive and well as a rim protector. The rookie is averaging 1.5 blocks per game and the Warriors are the sixth-most blocked team per game in the NBA (5.6) with 2.28 of those coming from centers.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Trail Blazers vs Warriors odds
Trail Blazers vs Warriors live odds
Trail Blazers vs Warriors opening odds
- Spread: Portland +12 | Golden State -12
- Moneyline: Portland +475 | Golden State -650
- Over/Under: Over 232 | Under 232
Odds courtesy of bet365
Trail Blazers vs Warriors spread and Over/Under analysis
- Golden State opened at -12 at bet365 and remains there as of writing.
- The Warriors and Trail Blazers have been strong bets ATS this season with Golden State 33-29-2 and Portland 36-28-1.
- The Over/Under opened as high as 232, but has slowly trickled down to 230.5 with both teams expected to be missing at least one key player.
- The Warriors and Blazers have been a toss-up when it comes to betting the total with Golden State 32-32 and Portland 31-31-3.
Trail Blazers vs Warriors trend
The Golden State Warriors have hit the moneyline in six of their last seven games at home (+7.35 Units / 25% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Trail Blazers vs. Warriors.
How to watch Trail Blazers vs Warriors
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Monday, 3-10-2025 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | KUNP/KATU 2.2, NBC Sports Bay Area |
Trail Blazers vs Warriors latest injuries
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