The NBA odds for the Golden State Warriors saw some adjustments heading into Thursday's matchup with the Los Angeles Clippers as the Warriors will be without Draymond Green... who is suspended indefinitely.
In case you missed it — in the Warriors' game on Tuesday against the Phoenix Suns — Draymond Green was ejected after accidentally punching Jusuf Nurkic in the face. I think that's the best way to describe it, although Green claims he wasn't trying to hit him.
The problem for Green is that this isn't his first offense: he has an entire highlight reel on X that's over a minute long of all his previous altercations on the basketball court. Green was literally just suspended for five games for putting Rudy Gobert in a chokehold. Yes, you read that correctly, a chokehold.
The NBA responded to the situation late on Wednesday night and announced an indefinite suspension for Green. So what does this mean for the Warriors, who are below .500 and surrounded by drama? My answer might shock you as I share my free NBA picks for the Warriors vs. Clippers on Thursday, December 14.
Warriors vs Clippers odds
Warriors vs Clippers predictions
Give me the Golden State Warriors on the spread!
I bet the Warriors earlier this morning at +6 (-113), and while the number has moved down to Warriors +5.5, the fact the +5.5 is available at -107 means these prices aren't too far off from each other.
I know Golden State is struggling and surrounded by drama, but I think this will work in its favor, while the market is pricing it the other way. I believe the Los Angeles Clippers should be closer to a 4-point favorite than a 5.5-point favorite, and I think we're stealing an extra point and a half because of the narrative.
The Warriors just defeated the Clippers at the end of November and then should've defeated them once again on December 2 if not for blowing a 20-plus point lead. Golden State was also without Andrew Wiggins and Chris Paul in these matchups.
I think it's officially do-or-die time for several players on the Warriors, and it gives me confidence they won't come out flat. The Dubs have been married to the lineup that has won them championships, but I think that time is officially over.
We just saw Steve Kerr leave Wiggins and Klay Thompson on the bench in a competitive game against the Phoenix Suns in favor of Jonathan Kuminga and Brandin Podziemski.
Everyone on this Warriors roster is essentially playing for a starting position on Thursday against the Clippers, and I just don't see how you don't get maximum effort out of several of their guys because of it. I'm not necessarily talking about Thompson and Wiggins; I think players such as Kuminga, Podziemski, and Moses Moody are chomping at the bit knowing they have a chance to be a starter.
If I believe Golden State should only be catching four points against the Clippers, that means we can price the spread of Warriors +5.5 at -124. Based on this projection, this bet is showing a positive expected value of 7%.
My best bet: Warriors +5.5 (-107 at Pinnacle)
Warriors vs Clippers same-game parlay
Warriors +5.5
James Harden Over 7.5 assists
Andrew Wiggins Under 1.5 assists
If you also read my NBA player props bets for Thursday, it'll be pretty easy to see why James Harden Over 7.5 assists made it into my SGP as one of the legs. This is a bet I have as a straight bet as well, along with Golden State on the spread.
Harden and the Clippers just played the Warriors in back-to-back games at the end of November, and Harden had 14 and 18 potential assists in those two games. I agree with the line of 7.5 for Harden: I just believe the juice should be a little shorter than -120.
As for Wiggins, I just think his time with the Warriors has expired, and we are going to see a ton more of Podziemski, Kuminga, and Moody on Thursday. Wiggins is more than capable of playing 30 minutes and not recording two assists, so I just don't see how he gets to this number if I think his minutes could be way down against the Clippers.
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Warriors vs Clippers spread and Over/Under analysis
The Clippers opened as a 5.5-point favorite at DraftKings, and while it did touch Clippers -6 at one point, we have now seen the line move back to L.A. -5.5 at most sportsbooks. However, DraftKings is sitting at Clippers -5 with increased juice on their side of the spread.
The total opened at 230.5 at FanDuel and is now trading at 232. While FanDuel has the highest total at 232, this is not the consensus number in the market. Most sportsbooks are trading this total at 231, so make sure to shop around before placing a bet on the game total.
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Warriors vs Clippers betting trend to know
The Golden State Warriors have hit the first-half moneyline in 28 of their last 45 away games (+15.70 Units / 24% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Clippers.
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Warriors vs Clippers game info
| Location: | Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date: | Thursday, December 14, 2023 |
| Tip-off: | 10:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBCS-BA, KTLA |
Warriors vs Clippers latest injuries
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