Just in the case the rest of the Pacific Division didn’t know already, the Golden State Warriors are reminding their California rivals just who the best team is on the West Coast.
The Warriors have picked up recent wins over the Sacramento Kings and L.A. Lakers and now go for the Cali trifecta when they visit the Los Angeles Clippers on Valentine’s Day. The NBA betting odds have Golden State installed as a 6-point favorite in its second straight game inside the Crypto.com Arena after edging the Lakers on Saturday.
Here are our free NBA betting picks and predictions for Warriors at Clippers on February 14.
Warriors vs Clippers odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Warriors opened as low as -5.5 and have jumped to -6 as of Monday morning. The total hit the board at 222.5 points and has slimmed to 220.5 with early action on the Under.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Warriors vs Clippers predictions
Predictions made on 2/14/2022 at 11:45 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Warriors vs Clippers game info
• Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
• Date: Monday, February 14, 2022
• Tip-off: 10:30 p.m. ET
• TV: BSN, NBCS-BA
Warriors vs Clippers betting preview
Key injuries
Warriors: Draymond Green F (Out), Andre Iguodala F (Out), James Wiseman C (Out)
Clippers: Paul George F (Out), Kawhi Leonard F (Out), Norman Powell G (Out), Luke Kennard G (Questionable), Semi Ojeleye F (Questionable)
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 35-17 in the Warriors’ last 52 road games. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Clippers.
Warriors vs Clippers picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
It’s been rough sledding for Warriors bettors in recent games, with the club posting a 0-4-1 ATS mark in its last five outings. Golden State has run into some stronger defensive opponents in that span and that’s led to shorter outputs for an offense still finding its way with Draymond Green sidelined.
The Dubs still have plenty of star power on the floor, especially with Klay Thompson rounding into form and coming off his biggest scoring output since returning from injury last month. Between Thompson, Stephen Curry, and Andrew Wiggins, the Clippers just can’t bottle up all of those options.
Golden State has struggled as a smaller lineup with Draymond and James Wiseman on the shelf, most notably getting beaten up on the boards. The Warriors have allowed 14.2 second-chance points per game since the start of 2022 (24th) and have allowed an average of 12.4 offensive rebounds over this five-game ATS skid.
Luckily for the Warriors, L.A. is one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA, boasting a rebound rate of just 48.4% (28th) on the season and putting up an NBA-low 9.9 second-chance tallies per contest.
Monday’s matchup will be a grinder and the Clippers won’t allow any easy buckets, but the Warriors’ star power will be enough to get them over this 6-point spread and snap the team’s current ATS funk.
Prediction: Warriors -6 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
The Warriors have run into some stingy opponents in recent games and the Clippers are another challenge on the defensive end, playing gritty basketball without superstars Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. Los Angeles sits 10th in advanced defensive rating and does a good job pressuring the perimeter and getting its heels above the 3-point arc.
The Clips give up only 11 made triples per home game and rank fourth in 3-point defense as hosts, checking sharpshooters to just 32.3% inside the former Staples Center. Los Angeles is also very disruptive in the passing lanes, sitting ninth in assist per field goal allowed (0.586) and clamping down to just 0.484 over the past three contests.
The Dubs are no defensive pushovers either, ranking tops in the league in advanced defensive rating and giving up only 105.5 points per road game. Golden State and Los Angeles rank middle of the road in offensive pace on the year but have slowed things down this past month, sitting 20th and 21st in tempo.
Prediction: Under 220.5 (-110)
Best bet
The Warriors are one of the best Under bets when hitting the highway this season, going 10-16 Over/Under as visitors (61.5% Unders). Their point production dips more than six points per game away from home and their output from beyond the arc sinks to 13.7 makes an outing.
Los Angeles is coming off a two-game series split with Dallas on the weekend, checking the Mavericks to 97 points on Saturday. The Clippers played sound half-court defense and dragged possessions deep into the shot clock but gave up the offensive rebound on 13 misses and allowed Dallas to reset.
Golden State is often pushed around on the glass but will be able to scoop those loose balls and get extra possessions, leading to a slower pace and primarily half-court basketball.
Pick: Under 220.5 (-110)
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