The Golden State Warriors take their 21-5 record to the Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Monday. NBA betting lines have the Warriors as 4-point favorites with the Over/Under at 214.5.
Here are our best free NBA betting picks and predictions for the Warriors vs. Pacers on Monday, December 13, with tipoff at 7 p.m. ET.
Warriors vs Pacers odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
The Warriors opened as 3.5-point favorites for this game with an Over/Under total at 215. Early money came in on the Warriors and the Under, moving the line to Warriors -4 and the total to 214. These teams last faced off in February with the Warriors winning 111-107 as 2.5-point road dogs.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Warriors vs Pacers predictions
- Prediction: Pacers +4 (-110)
- Prediction: Over 214 (-110)
- Best bet: Curry Under 6.5 made threes (-125)
Predictions made on 12/13/2021 at 10 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Warriors vs Pacers game info
• Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
• Date: Monday, December 13, 2021
• Tip-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
• TV: NBATV
Warriors vs Pacers betting preview
Injuries
Warriors: Klay Thompson SG (Out), James Wiseman C (Out).
Pacers: T.J. McConnell PG (Out), T.J. Warren F (Out), Justin Holiday SF (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Pacers are 12-4 against the spread in their last 16 games as an underdog. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Pacers.
Warriors vs Pacers picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
Not only do the Warriors have the second-best record in the NBA but they have gone a sizzling 17-8-1 ATS. That said, they are fresh off a 102-93 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers and have lost two of their last four games, going 1-3 ATS during that span.
Led by Stephen Curry and his 27.1 points per game, the Dubs are fourth in the NBA in offensive rating. More surprising has been their play on the other end of the court with Golden State leading the league in defensive rating.
The Pacers are four games below .500 but have won three in a row (2-0-1 ATS), and this will be their sixth consecutive contest at home. That's an important factor to consider with the Pacers just 3-10 SU on the road but 9-6 with an average scoring margin of plus-4.7 points per game at home.
The Warriors have also been significantly worse offensively on the road, averaging 106.8 points per game on 45.1 percent shooting in 10 away contests.
Indiana doesn't have the greatest depth at the moment with several key rotation players out with injuries, but they have a strong starting lineup with a pair of big men in Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner who will provide matchup problems for Golden State. With the Pacers going 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog, take them with the points.
Prediction: Pacers +4 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
The Warriors play at a fast pace and Indiana will have a tough time defending Curry, Jordan Poole, and Andrew Wiggins on the perimeter.
However, it also won't be easy for Golden State to deal with Sabonis and Turner, the latter of whom has been playing very well despite being linked to multiple trade rumors. The Pacers rank 10th in the league with 111 ppg at home and have gone 7-1 O/U in their last eight contests at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Indiana also shoots the ball very efficiently inside of the arc, ranking third in the league by shooting a sizzling 54.9% from two-point range, with that number going up to 56.2% at home.
Prediction: Over 214 (-110)
Best bet
It almost goes without saying that Curry is the greatest 3-point shooter in NBA history and he could set the league record for career 3-pointers tonight, as he trails Ray Allen by just six triples. However, the Over/Under of 6.5 on his 3-pointers made seems a tad too high.
Curry is averaging a career-high 5.4 threes per game this year but that number drops to 4.9 on 37.9% shooting on the road. He has also connected on seven or more shots from beyond the arc eight times in 25 games this season, including in just two of his last 10 contests. Bet on Curry to fall short of Allen's record tonight.
Pick: Curry Under 6.5 made threes (-125)
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