The Golden State Warriors are staying in the Lone Star State as they head to AT&T Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday night.
The Warriors have the second-best record in the league while the Spurs are 13 games below .500. But with the Dubs resting key players including Stephen Curry, oddsmakers are expecting a San Antonio victory with NBA betting lines installing the Spurs as 4-point home favorites.
Here are our best free NBA betting picks and predictions for Warriors vs. Spurs on Tuesday, February 1, with tipoff at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Warriors vs Spurs odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
This line originally opened with the Warriors at -2 with the Over/Under at 227. After reports came out that Curry along with several other starters would sit, the spread jumped the fence to favor the Spurs at -4 while the total dropped to 220.
When these teams clashed in December, the Spurs upset the Warriors 112-107 as 9-point road underdogs.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Warriors vs Spurs predictions
Predictions made on 2/1/2022 at 3 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Warriors vs Spurs game info
• Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX
• Date: Tuesday, February 1, 2022
• Tip-off: 8:30 p.m. ET
• TV: KENS, NBCSBA
Warriors vs Spurs betting preview
Injuries
Warriors: Stephen Curry PG (Out), Klay Thompson SG (Out), Andrew Wiggins SF (Out), Otto Porter Jr. (Out), Andre Iguodala SG (Out), Nemanja Bjelica PF (Questionable), Draymond Green PF (Out), James Wiseman C (Out).
Spurs: Zach Collins C (Out), Keita Bates-Diop F (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a favorite. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Spurs.
Warriors vs Spurs picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
The Warriors are fresh off a 122-108 win in Houston last night, where Stephen Curry exploded in the fourth quarter to finish with 40 points. Golden State now has the league's second-best record at 38-13 (28-20 ATS) and leads the NBA with a net rating of plus-8.3.
While the Dubs struggled without defensive anchor Draymond Green when he was sidelined by an injury in early January, they have since adjusted to his absence by winning six games in a row. That said, it won't be easy to keep that streak going after it was announced that Curry, Klay Thompson, and Andrew Wiggins would sit out today for rest.
The Spurs are coming off a tough three-game stretch, where they lost to the Grizzlies and beat the Bulls at home last week before falling to the Suns on Sunday. They've actually been very competitive lately, going 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS in their last nine games.
San Antonio was missing its best player in Dejounte Murray (19.4 points, 9.1 assists, and 8.4 rebounds per game), along with key starters Jakob Poeltl and Derrick White, against the Suns but none of them are on today's injury report. That's huge for the Spurs, who have gone 4-15 SU this season in games where at least one of those players were sidelined while going a respectable 15-17 with all three on the court.
With the Warriors rolling with a skeleton crew tonight on the tail-end of a back-to-back, grab the Spurs on the spread.
Prediction: Spurs -4 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
This total has plummeted since reports came out that the Dubs would be resting half their team, but we're still taking the Under.
The Spurs play at a fast tempo but rank just 25th in the league with an effective field goal percentage of 51.1 over the last month.
The Warriors play at an average pace and rank first in the league in both opponent eFG% (49.3) and points per game allowed (102.1). The absence of Curry, Wiggins, and Thompson will hurt offensively. However, they still have strong defensive players such as Jordan Poole, Gary Payton II, and Kevon Looney, who will get even more playing time.
The Under is a sizzling 20-6 in Golden State's last 26 games as a road favorite while going 4-1 in San Antonio's previous five contests as an underdog. Follow the line movement and take the Under tonight.
Prediction: Under 220 (-110)
Best bet
Warriors guard Jordan Poole has seen his minutes and shot attempts drop once Thompson rejoined the team after a 941-day absence. But with Thompson, Curry, and potentially Wiggins out tonight that's about 46 shots that are up for grabs.
Poole is averaging 16.6 ppg in 29.1 minutes per game but now that he's the top scoring option, those numbers will balloon. Especially with the Spurs playing at a speedy pace and surrendering 113.4 ppg at home, the second-highest number in the league.
Pick: Jordan Poole Over 20.5 points (-115)
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