George Mason vs Marquette Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Tonight’s College Basketball Game

Despite a 40-point win already under their belt, Shawn Wronka believes the Marquette Golden Eagles can kick it into another gear vs. George Mason and cover yet another double-digit spread.

Shawn Wronka - Contributor at Covers.com
Shawn Wronka • Betting Analyst
Nov 8, 2024 • 14:59 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 27 mins
MARQ
76 %
GMU
24 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Marquette -12.5 (-110) Marquette -12.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Kam Jones Marquette Golden Eagles NCAAB
Photo By - Imagn Images.

George Mason and Marquette both secured convincing opening-night wins in the round-robin Marquette Challenge tournament. However, despite Marquette's 40-point victory, my George Mason vs. Marquette predictions suggest there is still significant room for improvement, and that's why I believe Marquette will cover the spread on Friday night.

Continue reading for free college basketball picks on Friday, November 8.

George Mason vs Marquette prediction

My best bet
Marquette -12.5 (-110 at bet365)

My analysis

Marquette opens this season by hosting the Marquette Challenge, a round-robin tournament between Marquette, George Mason, Stony Brook, and Central Michigan.

Marquette won the first game of the tournament rather convincingly, but tonight brings something a little more special.

Adding some juice to this game is the fact that this game will not be played from the Fiserv Forum (the Golden Eagles' usual home court), but from the Al McGuire Center right on campus. The game is also only available to students, and the late start (8:15) ensures those students will be a bit more "rowdier" than usual.

And despite winning by 40 points on Wednesday night, Marquette shot just 29% from three - an entirely six percent worse than their clip last year (35.2%).

And while George Mason's 17 point win over North Carolina Central was a strong start to the season, it took 41 trips to the free throw line to even maintain that margin.

Twelve players took the court for George Mason in that game, but only one (Darius Maddox) made a three.

Without a perimeter presence, assuming George Mason can't get to the line 40 times, and especially given the potentially rowdy atmosphere, this might be a long night for George Mason.

George Mason vs Marquette same-game parlay

Marquette -12.5

Kam Jones Over 21.5 points

Darius Maddox Under 2.5 assists

Marquette's Kam Jones scored a game-high 32 points on Wednesday night, shooting 14-16 from the field including 4-6 from three.

His point prop sits at 21.5 tonight, more than four points above his average of 17.2 last year. But Jones has seen his involvement and his scoring increase each of his four years, and he improved to a 40%+ shooter from three on high volume (6.5 attempts per game).

George Mason's 34.7% three-point percentage allowed was bottom-third in the nation last year, and that was of course against teams typically weaker than Marquette.

On the other side, George Mason relied most on Darius Maddox as he scored a game-high 17 points, but he didn't exactly generate much for others as he finished with zero assists.

His line sits at 2.5 tonight, which is a bit peculiar as he hit that mark all of just six times last year across 29 games. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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George Mason vs Marquette odds

George Mason vs Marquette live odds

George Mason vs Marquette opening odds

  • Spread: George Mason +12.5 | Marquette -12.5
  • Moneyline: George Mason +550 | Marquette -800
  • Over/Under: Over 149 | Under 149

Odds courtesy of bet365

George Mason vs Marquette betting trend to know

Marquette went 21-15-1 ATS last year, good for a 58.3% cover rate that was 58th in the nation last year. Find more college basketball betting trends for George Mason vs. Marquette.

How to watch George Mason vs Marquette

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Date: Friday, 11-8-2024
Tip-off: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: Peacock

George Mason vs Marquette key injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Shawn Wronka - Covers
Betting Analyst

Shawn Wronka is an analytics-based sports bettor who was drawn to analytics at an early age via the stats on the back of sports cards. He began sports betting in 2016, and took an immediate interest in UFC before finding his way towards other major sports.

After years of casual betting, he took an interest in the numbers-based approach and specialized in learning and applying those techniques to niche markets such as player props, the NFL and NBA drafts, and F1. Shawn finds writing a good way to balance the time he spends on numbers, giving him an outlet to paint quantitative edges into qualitative narratives.

A graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison, his work has been seen in dozens of publications including the National Post, Financial Post, Calgary Herald, Vancouver Sun, and The Province.

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