Houston vs Baylor Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Cougars' guard Milos Uzan will have plenty of drive-and-kick opportunities to pile up the dimes against Baylor.

Jeremy Jones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Jeremy Jones • Betting Analyst
Mar 8, 2025 • 13:15 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Milos Uzan Houston Cougars NCAAB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Houston guard Milos Uzan.

The Baylor Bears currently find themselves fighting for both seeding in the Big 12 Tournament and to secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament.

However, my Houston vs. Baylor predictions see Cougars' guard Milos Uzan picking the Bears apart with his passing.

Read all about it in my college basketball picks below.

Houston vs Baylor prediction

My best bet
Milos Uzan 5+ assists (+125 at bet365)

My analysis
These two teams last met back on February 10 in H-Town, and the Houston Cougars won that game 76-65 despite allowing Baylor to shoot 57.9% from the field.

Meanwhile, the Cougars had 17 assists to only seven turnovers. While Houston is not an offensive powerhouse, they are extremely efficient, ranking 10th nationally in KenPom’s offensive efficiency. 

The Cougars rank third in the country shooting 39.6% from three despite ranking 293rd in 3-point attempts. They also only turn the ball over 9.3 times per game, third best. 

Conversely, Baylor ranks 62nd in defensive efficiency and allows its opponents to shoot 35.2% from three, which ranks 285th nationally. It also allows 15.0 assists per game, ranked 302nd 

The best assist man for the Cougars is guard Milos Uzan. He averages 4.5 assists per game on the season and 4.1 in conference play. Uzan had six assists in the last matchup with Baylor and has gotten at least five assists in half of his games this season. 

There should be plenty of assist opportunities for Uzan in this matchup as Baylor allows you to drive and kick for open threes. As long as Houston hits their open looks — which it did well in the last game shooting 10-for-24 from deep — then I love Uzan to get at least five dimes. 

Houston vs Baylor same-game parlay (SGP)

Milos Uzan Over 4.5 assists

LJ Cryer Over 2.5 threes

Houston -4

LJ Cryer shot 4-for-7 from downtown in the last matchup and had made at least three in three of his past five games. 

I will also add Houston to cover the spread on the road. The Cougs are a perfect 9-0 straight up on the road, and their style matches Baylor's style so well. 

They are also 7-2 against the spread in those nine games and the only two failed covers were double-digit spreads. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Houston vs Baylor odds

Houston vs Baylor live odds

Houston vs Baylor opening odds

  • Spread: Houston -4.5 | Baylor +4.5
  • Moneyline: Houston -205 | Baylor +170
  • Over/Under: Over 131 | Under 131

Odds courtesy of bet365

Houston vs Baylor betting trend to know

Houston has covered the spread in eight of their last 10 away games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Houston vs. Baylor.

How to watch Houston vs Baylor

Location Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX
Date Saturday, 3-8-2025
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Houston vs Baylor key injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Jeremy Jones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jeremy Jones was born and raised in Lexington, Kentucky and has been a massive Wildcats fans since the moment he came into the world. He wrote his first sports article at the tender age of 11 after attending a local AHL hockey game, and a few years later was writing professionally for sites such as Sports Rants, BetAmerica, and TwinSpires.

Jeremy holds a Masters in Sports Administration from Eastern Kentucky University and utilizes all seven betting options available in Kentucky to shop for odds and promos and find the greatest EV in every wager he places.

His best piece of sports betting advice is to stick to consistent unit sizes for every wager. He acknowledges there will occasionally be a bet that has a huge EV and you can play multiple units in one bet, but cautions against raising your unit size, because you can quickly lose all your winnings if you hit a minor cold streak.

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