An old Big 12 in-state rivalry has been renewed in the SEC. These two teams will meet for the second time this season when the Texas A&M Aggies travel to Austin to take on the rival Texas Longhorns on January 25.
Find out why my Texas A&M vs. Texas predictions and college basketball picks see the Aggies dominating the glass, as they did in the first matchup.
Texas A&M vs Texas prediction
My best bet
Zhuric Phelps Over 4.5 rebounds (-160 at bet365)
My analysis
The Texas A&M Aggies outrebounded the Texas Longhorns 39-27 in the first matchup between these two. That was certainly not an anomaly for Buzz Williams’ squad, as they are one of the best rebounding teams in the country.
The Aggies rank first in the country in offensive rebounding and seventh in total rebounding. They also rank 57th in defensive rebounds allowed and 11th in total rebounding percentage.
While the Longhorns are not a terrible rebounding team, they certainly struggle on the offensive glass, ranking 261st in the nation.
This game should see plenty of rebounding opportunities despite the typically slow play from both teams. Both defenses are excellent at forcing missed shots. The Longhorns rank 61st in opponent field goal percentage, at 41.1%, while the Aggies rank 16th, at 38.9%.
In their previous game, the Aggies attempted 57 shots, and the Longhorns attempted 52. That was six fewer total shot attempts than in an average Texas A&M game and five fewer than in an average Texas game.
Despite that, a few players rebounded above their season averages for the Aggies. The one I am focusing on is Zhuric Phelps.
He had seven total rebounds in that game, six of them on the defensive end. He is second on the team in rebounding at 5.1 per game but is their leading defensive rebounder at 3.8 per contest. In SEC play, he is averaging 5.0 defensive rebounds and 6.7 total rebounds per game, which both lead the team.
Phelps has had at least five boards in each of the last eight games and 12 total games this season. The juice is a little heavy here, but given his performance in conference games, this is an extremely safe play.
This is also a good matchup for him, and he should have plenty of opportunities on the defensive glass.
Texas A&M vs Texas same-game parlay (SGP)
Zhuric Phelps Over 4.5 rebounds
Under 141.5
Texas A&M moneyline
These two teams combined for 140 points in their last game, with Texas A&M scoring five points above its season average.
On the road, the Aggies only average 68.3 points per game, and the totals have been 125, 158, 150, and 125. Both higher totals came against faster-paced teams than Texas.
I am surprised to see the Aggies as underdogs even with being on the road. They really dominated every facet of the first matchup, and they have advantages in several different statistical categories. The Longhorns would need to have the game of their lives from downtown shooting to make up for everywhere else.
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Texas A&M vs Texas odds
Texas A&M vs Texas live odds
Texas A&M vs Texas opening odds
- Spread: Texas A&M +1.5 | Texas -1.5
- Moneyline: Texas A&M -105 | Texas -115
- Over/Under: Over 141.5 | Under 141.5
Odds courtesy of bet365
Texas A&M vs Texas betting trend to know
Texas A&M have covered the spread in 20 of their last 36 games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Texas A&M vs Texas.
How to watch Texas A&M vs Texas
| Location | Moody Center, Austin, TX |
| Date | Saturday, 1-25-2025 |
| Tip-off | 2:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN2 |
Texas A&M vs Texas key injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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