Championship Week is here. Across the country, teams will not only be playing for conference titles, but for the opportunity to go to prestigious bowl games and — for a select few — the chance to play in the College Football Playoff. In fact, it can be argued that no team is 100% certain of a playoff bid yet in the case of a championship game loss.
For my main parlay, we’re going to be looking at a few playoff contenders, including two that should clinch a bid with a win. The Michigan Wolverines have to contend with the insufferable football of the Iowa Hawkeyes, while the Florida State Seminoles take on the Louisville Cardinals in a bid to cap off an undefeated season. For my same-game parlay, I’ll check the college football odds for the SEC Championship Game, which pits the Georgia Bulldogs against the Alabama Crimson Tide.
Are you ready for the slate of title games this weekend? Read on to see my free college football picks for Saturday, December 2.
Championship Week college football parlay picks
- Michigan/Iowa Under 34.5 + Florida State ML + Oklahoma State +15.5 = +563
- Georgia -5.5 + J. Milroe anytime TD + J. Milroe Under 220.5 pass yds = +617
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Best college football parlay Championship Week
Michigan/Iowa Under 34.5
Florida State moneyline
Oklahoma State +15.5
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While I’ve dipped my toes into the Group of Five plenty of times this season, I’m sticking with the big boys for Championship Week. That starts with a look at Michigan, which can clinch a CFP berth with a win over Iowa.
The Wolverines will have to deal with the nearly unwatchable brand of anti-football that the Hawkeyes bring to the table. There’s no doubt that Michigan should win this game easily, and score some points doing it. However, it’s unclear if Iowa will score at all — and no team has put up more than 31 points against the Hawkeyes, who are allowing 12.2 points per game. I’m taking Iowa to hit the Under yet again for what will be the eighth straight game of football it has played to a total of less than 30 points.
Florida State is 12-0 and sits at No. 4 in the CFP rankings. The Seminoles are favored over Louisville, but the odds are much tighter due to the injury of star quarterback Jordan Travis, who is out for the year. That makes this a tough game against a Cardinals team that has looked like an elite squad at times this year, but Florida State should have just enough to win this game outright. I’m taking the Seminoles on the moneyline.
Finally, the Texas Longhorns are hoping that a big win in the Big 12 Championship Game — combined with some help in other championships — will get them into the College Football Playoff. They have a favorable matchup against the Oklahoma State Cowboys, who are 9-3 on the year and are less than a month removed from a 45-3 loss to the Central Florida Knights.
Will the Longhorns win here? They should, but I’m not expecting a blowout. Texas was only able to get by the Iowa State Cyclones, TCU Horned Frogs, Kansas State Wildcats, and Houston Cougars by 10 points or less, and lost at home to the Oklahoma Sooners. Oklahoma State rates similarly to that caliber of team, so I feel good about getting 15.5 points with the Cowboys.
Best college football SGP Championship Week
Georgia -5.5
Jalen Milroe anytime TD
Jalen Milroe Under 220.5 passing yards
The Alabama Crimson Tide are still an elite team. Anyone who was concerned about their early season struggles now has to admit that 10 straight wins and an undefeated SEC campaign means this team can play.
On the other hand, Alabama needed a miracle to get past the Auburn Tigers last week, the kind of close call Georgia has not had to deal with this year (though it’s worth noting that Auburn arguably gave the Bulldogs their toughest test this season as well). Alabama is excellent, but this isn’t a vintage Nick Saban team, and Georgia is on another level. I like the Bulldogs to cover a spread that’s less than a touchdown.
For the rest of my same-game parlay, I’m focusing on Alabama quarterback Jalen Milroe. Even though I expect Georgia to win this game, Milroe is the single player I most expect to score a touchdown, owing to his 12 rushing scores this season, and I’m taking him as an anytime touchdown scorer in this game.
However, Georgia should be able to clamp down on the Alabama passing attack. Georgia is allowing just 176.5 passing yards per game, as well as only 5.6 yards per attempt through the air. The oddsmakers have set Milroe’s passing yardage prop at 220.5 yards, a number he has already failed to surpass five times this year. This will be the toughest defense he’s faced yet this season, and I’m predicting the Bulldogs keep him under that number on their way to victory.
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