College Football Odds Week 11: Opening lines and sharp money

Quarterback Kyle Trask and Florida hope to avoid a flat spot this week against Arkansas, after a big win over Georgia. PointsBet USA opened the Gators -16.5 and moved to -17.5 Monday.

Patrick Everson • SPORTS BETTING INDUSTRY INSIDER
Nov 14, 2020 • 18:25 ET
Florida Gators QB Kyle Trask
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

College football odds for Week 11 are on the betting board and getting action, though the schedule is a bit lackluster. No. 5 Florida, which just rolled over Georgia, plays host to Arkansas, while the Alabama-LSU game was postponed by COVID.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on college football Week 11 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups. Covers will update this action report with college football sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.

These are the current College football Week 11 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of November 9. Click on each matchup in the table below to get updated in-depth information on the opening lines, sharp money, public betting and odds movement as we get closer to kickoff.

Matchup Time Spread Over/Under
Arkansas at (5) Florida 7 p.m. ET Friday Florida -16 61
(6) Texas A&M at Tennessee PPD OFF OFF
(2) Notre Dame at Boston College 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday Boston College +11.5 51.5
(9) Miami at Virginia Tech Noon ET Saturday Virginia Tech -2 68
(3) Ohio State at Maryland CANCELED OFF OFF
(23) Northwestern at Purdue 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday Purdue +3 49.5
(20) USC at Arizona 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday Arizona +15 67.5
(12) Oregon at Washington State 7 p.m. ET Saturday Washington State +9.5 57.5
(19) Southern Methodist vs Tulsa 7 p.m. ET Saturday Tulsa +1.5 64.5
(1) Alabama at LSU PPD OFF OFF

Opening line

Florida -16.5, Over/Under 60.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET FRIDAY: Florida moved from -16.5 to -17.5 at PointsBet USA, but is now down to -16, with ticket count almost dead even and only 55 percent of money on the Gators. The total bounced around within a small range, from 60.5 to 62.5 to 59.5 to 61, though 85 percent of bets and 90 percent of dollars are on the Over.

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: William Hill US nudged the Gators from -17 to -17.5 Monday afternoon, and the line stuck all week, with 58 percent of tickets and 54 percent of bets actually landing on road underdog Arkansas.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Gators moved from -16.5 to -17.5 by Monday at DraftKings, where ticket count is 2/1 and money 4/1 on the sizable home favorite. The total is up to 62.5 from 60.5, but the large majority of tickets and bets at this point are on the Under. 

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Florida, coming off a big win over Georgia, jumped a point to -17.5 early Monday afternoon at PointsBet USA. "It's very lopsided toward Florida," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said of early ticket count and money on the spread. The total is already up two points to 62.5.

Opening line

Tennessee +13, Over/Under 54

Why the line moved

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: News out of College Station, Texas, on Tuesday helped explain why this line took a big drop Monday. This game was postponed until Dec. 12, after Texas A&M had at least two players test positive for COVID-19 and others subsequently entered contact-tracing protocol.

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This line saw significant early movement at PointsBet USA, from Texas A&M -13 to -8 by Monday afternoon, though A&M is taking the bulk of light early action. "Tickets and money about a 65/35 split toward the Aggies," PointsBet's Eichner said. The total also fell a notch from 54 to 53, likely due to Tennessee's uncertainty at quarterback, with starter Jarrett Guarantano suffering an apparent concussion in Saturday's loss at Arkansas.

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Opening line

Boston College +13.5, Over/Under 50.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Shortly before kickoff, Notre Dame is at -12.5 at FanDuel, after dropping as low as -10.5 earlier today from a high of -13.5. It's two-action to be sure, slightly leaning toward Boston College, which is getting 53 percent of tickets and 51 percent of bets. The total moved from 50.5 to 48.5 to 51.5, with ticket count almost 5/1 and money beyond 6/1 on the Over.

UPDATE NOON ET SATURDAY: The Fighting Irish moved from -12.5 to -13.5 at PointsBet USA, then dropped to -11.5 Friday afternoon, with 59 percent of bets on Notre Dame and 58 percent of money on Boston College. The total fell from 50.5 to 48.5, but is now up to 51.5. "Overwhelming amount of action on the Over in this one, with 88 percent of bets and 89 percent of handle."

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: PointsBet USA posted Notre Dame a 12.5-point chalk and got to -13.5, but the line started trending downward this morning and is now -11.5. "It will be interesting to see which key number this line closes closer to: 10 or 14," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said. "Definitely some reverse-line movement, with 60 percent of the bets on Notre Dame, plus 62 percent of the handle."

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings' initial move on this game was from Fighting Irish -13.5 to -12.5, but the line reached -14 this afternoon. That's despite Boston College landing 87 percent of early bets and 93 percent of early money on the spread. The total moved from 50.5 to 48.5 to 50, with early tickets and money more than 9/1 on the Over.

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The Fighting Irish dipped to -12.5 shortly after FanDuel opened this game Sunday and stayed there until Monday afternoon, before returning to -13.5. Notre Dame is drawing 55 percent of early tickets, but 70 percent of early dollars are on underdog Boston College. The total fell from 50.5 to 48.5 Monday, with 77 percent of bets on the Over, but 90 percent of early cash on the Under.

Opening line

Virginia Tech -1.5, Over/Under 62.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET SATURDAY: PointsBet USA opened VaTech -2.5, briefly touched -3, dropped to -1 and is now -2, with 62 percent of bets and 59 percent of money on Miami. The total zoomed from 62.5 to 69.5 and is now 68, with tickets and money 2/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 10 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Virginia Teck moved from -2.5 to -3 in short order at BetMGM Nevada books, then went back to -2.5 for most of the week before dipping to -1.5 this morning. Tickets are running 3/1 on Miami.

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: VaTech opened -2.5 and quickly went to -3 Monday at William Hill US, but the number receded to -2 Thursday, with ticket count 2/1 and money 3/1 on Miami.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The home underdog Hokies moved from -1.5 to -2.5, back to -1.5 and are now -2 at DraftKings. Miami is drawing 78 percent of point-spread tickets, but VaTech is attracting 58 percent of point-spread money. The total opened at 62.5 and got as high as 68.5 Tuesday evening, then ticked to 67.5 today, with 80 percent of bets and practically all the money so far on the Over.

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Miami is 6-1 SU but a road underdog against Virginia Tech. In fact, the first move at FanDuel was toward the Hokies, from -1.5 to -2.5, then back to -1.5 Monday afternoon. Tickets are running about 4/1 and money 2/1 on the Hurricanes. The total shot from 62.5 to 66.5, with 88 percent of bets and 82 percent of money on the Over.

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Opening line

Maryland +26.5, Over/Under 71.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Earlier today, this game was canceled due to several Maryland players testing positive for COVID-19 over the past week. The game will not be rescheduled.

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Maryland is coming off a stunning rout of Penn State, but the Terrapins are still hefty underdogs against Ohio State at FanDuel. However, this line tightened a couple of points Monday to Buckeyes -24.5, with tickets 3/1 and money almost 2/1 on Maryland. The total is up to 72.5, with 89 percent of early tickets and almost every early dollar on the Over.

Opening line

Pick 'em, Over/Under 50.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Northwestern moved from -1 to -3 at PointsBet USA, but it's two-way action on this game, with 52 percent of bets on the Wildcats and 59 percent of money on the Boilermakers. The total bounced around a bit, from 50 to 49 to 51 to 49.5, with 62 percent of tickets on the Over and 56 percent of money on the Under.

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Wildcats are up to -3 from an opener of -1 at William Hill US, where Northwestern is drawing 60 percent of bets and 58 percent of dollars on the spread.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Northwestern opened -1.5 and quickly stretched to -3.5 at DraftKings, before receding to -2.5 this afternoon. Underdog Purdue is getting the lion's share of point-spread tickets and dollars, at 64 percent and 73 percent, respectively. The total opened at 50.5, fell to 48.5, then jumped to 51.5 before returning to the opener today, with ticket count 3/1 and money more than 9/1 on the Over. 

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This game opened pick 'em and was up to Northwestern -2.5 by Monday afternoon at FanDuel, where 60 percent of bets and 57 percent of money are on the Wildcats. The total was jumpy early, dropping to 48.5 and rebounding to 51.5, with 56 percent of bets/79 percent of money on the Over.

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Opening line

Arizona +12.5, Over/Under 63.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: USC is up to -15.5 from an opener of -12.5 at FanDuel, with 65 percent of bets and 71 percent of dollars on the Trojans. The total opened at 63.5 and peakend at 68.5 before dipping to 67.5, with 52 percent of bets on the Under and 54 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Southern Cal is up to -15 from an opener of -13.5 at PointsBet USA, with ticket count almost 3/1 and money beyond 6/1 on the Trojans. The total jumped from 63.5 to 68 and is now 67.5 on some intriguing betting splits: 59 percent of bets are on the Under, and 61 percent of the money is on the Over.

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Southern Cal was at -14 all week at William Hill US, then edged up to -14.5 this morning. The Trojans are taking just 57 percent of tickets, but 84 percent of dollars bet on the point spread.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This line is seeing some back-and-forth at DraftKings, opening Southern Cal -14.5 and moving to -16.5 Monday, then back to -14.5 Tuesday. Seventy-percent of bets and 65 percent of dollars are on the Trojans. The total is up to 67.5 from 63.5, with a 4/1 ticket count and almost all the money on the Over.

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The Trojans are already up to -14.5 at FanDuel, where practically every early ticket and dollar are on USC. The total also made a significant jump to 67.5 by Monday night, though FanDuel's betting splits aren't yet available.

Opening line

Washington State +7.5, Over/Under 60.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 6:25 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Ducks began the week at -7.5 and stretched to -10.5 by Wednesday at FanDuel, then dialed down a notch today to -9.5. Still, it's all Oregon on the point spread, with 86 percent of bets and 88 percent of dollars on the Ducks. The total has pivoted around a bit, from 60.5 to 56.5 to 58.5, and it's now 57.5, with ticket count 9/1 and money 5/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SATURDAY: PointsBet USA opened Oregon -7.5 and is up to -10.5, with the Ducks drawing 88 percent of spread bets and 78 percent of spread money. The total tumbled from 60.5 to 56 early in the week, then crept to 58 and is now 57.5, with tickets and money running 9/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Oregon started at -7.5 and stretched to -10.5 by this morning at William Hill US, with the action all Ducks, at 86 percent of tickets and 94 percent of money.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Oregon is up to -9.5 from a -7.5 opener at DraftKings, with tickets and money both running more than 9/1 on the Ducks. The total opened 60.5 and ticked up to 61.5, then dialed down to 57.5 on some wild betting splits, with 81 percent of early tickets on the Over, but 92 percent of early money on the Under.

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The Ducks rolled over Stanford 35-14 in their season opener, then went up at -7.5 and quickly moved to -9.5 at FanDuel for Saturday's road game against the Cougars. Sixty-nine percent of bets and 61 percent of dollars are on Oregon through Monday night. The total tumbled from 60.5 to 56.5 through 24 hours, with ticket count 2/1 and money more than 6/1 on the Under.

Opening line

Tulsa -1.5, Over/Under 63.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 6:25 P.M. ET SATURDAY: FanDuel pegged Tulsa a 1.5-point favorite and moved to -2.5 early this week, but the late play has been on SMU, with the line jumping the fence to Mustangs -1.5. Southern Methodist is attracting 69 percent of bets and 56 percent of money on the spread. The total bounced from 63.5 to 64.5 to 62.5, then returned to 64.5, with ticket count 8/1 and money more than 9/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Tulsa opened -2, peaked at -2.5, and this line has since jumped the fence to SMU -1 at PointsBet USA, with ticket count 2/1 and money 3/1 on the Mustangs. The total opened at 64 and dropped to 62.5, climbed to 64.5 and is now 64, with 78 percent of bets and 85 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Tulsa opened -2 and got to -2.5 early in the week at William Hill US, but this game is now down to pick 'em, with ticket count dead even and SMU taking 68 percent of money on the spread.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: FanDuel remained at Tulsa -2.5, where the line has been since Monday after opening -1.5 Sunday. SMU is garnering 55 percent of bets, while Tulsa is taking 58 percent of money on the spread. The total has been at 63.5 since Monday, with ticket count 3/1 on the Over and still pretty much every dollar on the Over, as well.

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Tulsa is up a point to -2.5 at FanDuel, thanks to early point-spread money running 2/1 on the Golden Hurricane, while the early ticket count is 2/1 on No. 19 SMU. The total moved from 63.5 to 64.5 to 62.5, then back to the opener of 63.5, with 62 percent of bets and practically every dollar going to the Over.

Opening line

LSU +22.5, Over/Under 74.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET TUESDAY: This afternoon, this game was postponed due to growing COVID-19 issues within LSU's program. The Southeastern Conference hopes to reschedule the game, but that will be difficult, since these teams don't have a common bye week. The SEC previously allotted Dec. 12 in the event of postponed games, but the LSU-Florida game is already in that slot, after being postponed last month.

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Preseason, the date for this game likely had a huge red circle around it. Now, Alabama is 6-0 SU and defending national champion LSU is a meager 2-3, and the Tigers have COVID issues that could end up postponing this game. Alabama jumped up to -27.5 by Monday afternoon before FanDuel took the game off the board, due to the COVID situation. At that point, tickets were 5/1 and money more than 9/1 on the Crimson Tide. 

Where can I bet on college football?

Whether it’s in Las Vegas or online, every sportsbook under the sun offers college football point spreads, plus a cornucopia of other NCAA odds. College football lines tend to be posted shortly after the previous week's schedule is completed, so check out the college football odds at the best sportsbooks available where you live.

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