There's one game on the college football betting board for Thursday night, a Mountain West showdown between the Colorado State Rams and the Boise State Broncos.
Boise State is coming off a brutal 51-17 defeat at home against BYU last Friday, but the Broncos are installed as 13.5-point favorites against a Colorado State squad fresh off a 34-24 win over Wyoming.
We break down the college football odds with our best free picks and predictions for Colorado State vs. Boise State on Thursday, November 12, with kickoff at 8 p.m. ET
Colorado State Rams at Boise State Broncos betting preview
Weather
It's expected to be a cool but clear evening at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho with temperatures from 22 to 42 degrees and breezes reaching up to 7.5 mph. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Key Injuries
Colorado State: Keevan Bailey CB (Questionable), Warren Jackson WR (Out), Cameron Butler TE (Out)
Boise State: Hank Bachmeier QB (Questionable), Jack Sears QB (Questionable), George Holani RB (Questionable), Tyric LeBeauf CB (Questionable), Demitri Washington LB (Questionable), Brock Miller LB (Questionable), Jonny Messina K (Questionable), Joel Velazquez K (Questionable).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 11-2 in Colorado State's last 13 conference games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Colorado State vs. Boise State.
Against the spread (ATS) pick
Boise State is a Group of Five powerhouse that has finished in the Top 25 of the AP and coaches polls in 13 of the last 18 years, but they could be in a tough spot on Thursday night. After a promising freshman year in 2019, Boise State quarterback Hank Bachmeier was poised for a huge season but has missed the last two games due to an undisclosed injury.
Thankfully for Broncos bettors, they had a backup named Jack Sears who transferred from a little school called USC (you may have heard of it). Sears was outstanding for Boise State against Air Force and was off to a sizzling start against BYU before being knocked out in the first quarter with a concussion—then everything fell apart for the Broncos.
Third-string freshman QB Cade Fennegan wasn't terrible, but he was an obvious downgrade and their defense surrendered 573 yards and 51 points. While the Rams offense isn't on BYU's level, they are a competent group led by veteran passer Patrick O'Brien.
Boise State head coach Bryan Harsin is notoriously vague about the status of his injured players, which makes this a tough line to bet, but if neither Bachmeier nor Sears is ready to go consider fading the Broncos. Keep in mind that Colorado State covered as a 13.5-point underdog against Boise State last November, so we could experience some deja vu on Thursday.
PREDICTION: Colorado State +13.5 (-110)
Over/Under pick
Colorado State's offense was efficient last week but it was hardly explosive, totaling just 344 yards of offense after putting up 372 yards the previous week against Fresno State.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Rams surrendered 348 passing yards to Fresno State and 321 to Wyoming. However, the Broncos could have a difficult time taking advantage of that porous secondary with Fennegan throwing the ball.
With the Under going 25-11 in Boise State's last 36 home games and the Under cashing in five of Colorado State's previous six contests overall, we're leaning towards this game going Under the high total of 62.5.
PREDICTION: Under 62.5 (-110)
First Quarter Bet
Boise State allowed BYU to score on the first drive of the game in their previous contest, and also got off to a slow start against Air Force in their second game of the season, surrendering 14 points in the first quarter.
Colorado State jumped out to a quick lead against Wyoming last week, leading 14-0 after 15 minutes. Take the underdogs on the first-quarter spread.
PREDICTION: First Quarter Colorado State +6 (-110)
Colorado State vs Boise State betting card
- Colorado State +13.5 (-110)
- Under 62.5 (-110)
- First Quarter Colorado State +6 (-110)
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Where can I bet on college football?
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