Northern Illinois vs Ball State predictions for November 18

Ball State has come jumped out of the gate with guns blazing, averaging 507 yards a game going into Wednesday's matchup against the Northern Illinois Huskies.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 16, 2020 • 14:38 ET
Ball State Caleb Huntley NCAA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The college football betting board for Wednesday night features a trio of MACtion games including a matchup between the Northern Illinois Huskies and the Ball State Cardinals.  

The Huskies are off to a rough start to the year, falling to Buffalo in their season-opener and getting stomped 40-10 by Central Michigan last week.

Ball State is 1-1 following a 38-31 win over Eastern Michigan and college football odds have them installed as 14.5-point favorites versus NIU.

We break down the NCAA odds with our best free Northern Illinois vs. Ball State picks and predictions for Wednesday, November 18, with kickoff at 7 p.m. ET. 

Northern Illinois Huskies at Ball State Cardinals Betting Preview

Weather

It's expected to be a cool and clear evening at Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, Indiana, with temperatures between 26 and 50 degrees and breezes reaching up to 9 mph. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key Injuries

Northern Illinois: Lance Deveaux Jr. LB (Questionable), Jeyvon Ducker RB (Out).
Ball State: Luke Martin G (Quesitonable). 
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

Ball State is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games against teams with a losing record. Find more NCAA betting trends for Northern Illinois vs. Ball State.

 

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

When these conference foes met up last year, Ball State came away with a 27-20 victory, snapping a 10-game losing streak against Northern Illinois. That was a close game with the score tied going into the fourth quarter.

The Cardinals have made a habit out of close games recently, with both of their contests this season coming down to game-winning touchdowns in the final minute of play. As a matter of fact, only one of their last six games has been decided by more than seven points.

Ball State had a brutal defense in 2019 and look just as bad so far in 2020, surrendering 449.5 yards and 34.5 points per game. 

While turnovers – including a whopping eight fumbles – have plagued NIU's offense through the first two games of the year, they managed 397 yards and 26 first downs against Buffalo's stout defense two weeks ago and should be able to do enough against Ball State to cover this big spread. 

PREDICTION: Northern Illinois +14.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

We're going out on a limb by assuming that the Huskies will improve their ball security, but 4.0 fumbles per game simply isn't a sustainable number and Ball State's defense has only two takeaways this year.

Thankfully for the Cardinals, they haven't needed to force many turnovers with how well their offense has been playing. Ball State averages 507 yards per game and features a balanced attack led by a pair of seniors in quarterback Drew Plitt and running back Caleb Huntley.

The Over has gone 7-2 in the Huskies last nine games while going a perfect 6-0 in the Cardinals previous six contests. Back the Over again on Wednesday night. 

PREDICTION: Over 62.5 (-110)

First Quarter Bet

While we think the Huskies will cover the full game spread we're less confident in them covering the first-quarter number. Northern Illinois has gotten off to awful starts in games this season, ranking near the bottom of the country in both first-quarter points scored (1.5 ppg) and first-quarter points allowed (10.5 ppg).

Take the home favorites on the first-quarter spread.

PREDICTION: First quarter Ball State -6.0 (-126)

Northern Illinois vs Ball State Betting Card

  • Northern Illinois +14.5 (-110)
  • Over 62.5 (-110)
  • First quarter Ball State -6.0 (-126)
NCAA Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Northern Illinois vs. Ball State picks, you could win $55.37 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on College Football?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NCAA football point spreads, Over/Under totals, derivative bets and even prop plays as well. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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