Already one of the title favorites before the season, Georgia’s dominant 10-3 win against Clemson cemented those odds and moved the Bulldogs to +400 in the championship futures market, behind only Alabama. In that season-long pursuit, UAB should be nothing but a speed bump.
Georgia owns the biggest win in college football so far this year, its defensive line leading the way in holding Clemson to just 180 total yards last weekend. The Bulldogs’ offense was not all that much better in the 10-3 slugfest, but it should be able to open up a bit against UAB.
Here are our free college football picks and predictions for UAB at Georgia on September 11, with kickoff set for 3:30 ET.
UAB vs Georgia odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Rumors coming out of Athens have moved this line plenty since opening at Georgia -26.5. It has dropped as low as 22.5 in some books, but 23.5 is the most common number. Despite those questions, the Over/Under has not moved from its opening number of 44.5. Be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets, and also view the full line movement for this game.
UAB vs Georgia picks
Picks made on 9/10/2021 at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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UAB vs Georgia game info
• Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
• Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021
• Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN 2
UAB vs Georgia betting preview
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Key injuries
UAB: No key injuries to report.
Georgia: JT Daniels QB (Questionable), Arik Gilbert WR (Questionable), Dominick Blaylock WR (Questionable), Tykee Smith DB (Questionable), George Pickens WR (Out), Darnell Washington TE (Out), Tate Ratledge OL (Out).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
UAB is 0-4 ATS as a road underdog in non-conference games since returning to competition in 2017. Find more NCAA betting trends for UAB vs. Georgia.
UAB vs Georgia predictions
Georgia -23.5 (-110)
Rumors about quarterback JT Daniels’ availability have impacted this line more than Georgia’s five cases of coronavirus announced on Monday. With nearly the entire team vaccinated, there is little worry of those cases leading to an outbreak, but the entire world saw how much the Bulldogs’ offense can struggle without Daniels when he was not yet cleared last September.
Knocking the number below 24, though, changes this entire conversation.
Georgia may well score on defense, if not twice. No matter how limited Daniels is or isn’t, that cushion will become insurmountable for UAB against the Bulldogs rabid front seven. It has made 15 tackles in the last two games, against competition far superior to UAB.
If the Blazers could run for only 151 yards (sacks adjusted) against an FCS opponent, they will be lucky to crack 50 against Georgia’s front that held Clemson to 48 yards (sacks adjusted), and a one-dimensional offense will not produce enough against Kirby Smart’s defense to stay within a moderate day from Georgia’s offense, particularly with those possible defensive tallies.
Under 44.5 (-110)
If Daniels is limited at all, Smart is likely to protect his offensive catalyst. Once the Bulldogs go up three scores, they will choke this game away.
UAB quarterback Tyler Johnston III is a quality passer — 319 yards and two touchdowns on 17-of-21 passing against Jacksonville State — but he will struggle to find downfield openings when the Georgia defensive line can get into the backfield before his receivers have the time to get just 10 yards off the line of scrimmage.
A shutout would not be shocking. What would be shocking is if the Bulldogs run up the score, given their general roster concerns this week.
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