Two teams chasing a bowl game will meet Friday night in a Big Ten matchup. Washington hosts UCLA.
The Bruins certainly have had an up-and-down season but will be coming into this game with the most momentum they've had all season after three straight wins. The last one came against Iowa and marked the third consecutive game in which they scored 20+ points. Washington's offense has sputtered recently in the previous few weeks, as it's won just once in its last three games. There's value in both Overs and Unders in the market for this one.
Here are my UCLA vs. Washington player props for Friday, November 15.
UCLA vs Washington props for FOX Friday Night Football
Ethan Garbers Under 33.5 pass attempts (-105 at bet365) 
Denzel Boston Over 55.5 receiving yards (-120 at BetMGM) - / Defensive/Special Teams TD (+220 at bet365)
Picks made on 11-14
Read full analysis of each pick.
College football player props this week
Prop bet #1: Ethan Garbers Under 33.5 pass attempts
Best odds: -105 at bet365
The Ethan Garbers experience has been something. Here are his last three games:
- 32 for 38 on 383 yards passing at Rutgers with four touchdowns
- 17 for 25 on 219 passing at Nebraska with two touchdowns
- 21 for 34 on 204 passing vs. Iowa with two touchdowns and two interceptions
Those three games capture the season of ups and downs for him. In this game, there should be quite a few reasons for UCLA to pull back the passing, at least some, given the matchup. This is a number that Garbers has gone Under in just three of his games, but there's a rare combo of things that should help this stay Under.
This is the best pass defense that UCLA has played this season. By the numbers, it's impossible to argue. Washington comes into this one ranking third in the nation in EPA per dropback. Not only that, but they've created a lot of havoc this season, which is a worry for a pass-caller who has been extremely careless with the ball. In addition to that, you can run on Washington, especially up the gut. They've been pretty terrible this season against the rush, ranking 97th overall in EPA and the 100s in stuff rate.
While UCLA's playing-from-behind game flow in this one is a concern, my UCLA vs. Washington prediction is that it benefits the visitors by keeping the ball on the ground as much as possible.
Prop bet #2: Denzel Boston Over 55.5 receiving yards
Best odds: -120 at BetMGM
You can pick any passing defensive stat, and UCLA is going to rank at the bottom of college football in it. They've been that bad in the secondary and haven't really improved or gotten worse in that regard; they've just stayed the same. For this exercise, let's use pass success allowed.
UCLA ranks 117th in this category at 46.3%. That means that 46% of the time, an opposing team passes the ball against UCLA, and it's successful. It's the worst team in this metric that Washington has faced this season.
The previous team was USC, the only team Washington had beaten in about a month. In that one, Denzel Boston had one of his better games of the season, with nine receptions and 99 yards. My college football picks expect him to perform similarly against a defense with the same struggles in the intermediate passing game – where Boston thrives. This number is too low, and I'd take it to 65.5.
Prop bet #3: Defensive/Special Teams TD
Best odds: +220 at bet365
I wanted to ensure I did with my final prop to capture how erratic each pass thrower was. This does a pretty good job of doing that.
Washington QB Will Rogers only has five interceptions during the season, but he has three over his last three games. While bad, this UCLA secondary has been opportunistic during this season. They have eight interceptions in 9 games, which is sixth in the Big Ten but nationally ranks just outside the Top 50. They've been able to tally up some decent runs after those picks, too, as they'll enter this game with 157 return yards, which is 29th overall in the nation.
On the other hand, we've already chronicled Garbers's struggles this season. He's more than likely to toss one up against the best defense he faces because that's what he's done all season. Washington hasn't scored a touchdown off an interception this season, but given that they have eight of them on the year, it feels like a statistical anomaly that they haven't. Several good athletes in that secondary are more than able to do so.
We also get a fumble return or special teams score priced on this, but this is a decent value even on the interception aspect return alone.
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