Virginia Tech Bowl Game Projections: VT Takes on Fenway

After prevailing over their in-state rivals in the regular season finale, our bowl game projections believe the Hokies secure a spot in the Fenway Bowl vs. an AAC opponent.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Dec 3, 2024 • 18:37 ET • 4 min read
Virginia Tech Hokies running back Bhayshul Tuten
Photo By - Imagn Images.

Virginia Tech ended its season with a 37-17 win over Virginia at Lane Stadium this past weekend, not only continuing its three-game winning streak in this rivalry but knocking Virginia out of the postseason entirely.

The Commonwealth Cup had enough at stake, and now it's time to examine the Hokies bowl game odds following the conclusion of Week 14. 

Virginia Tech Hokies season to date

Virginia Tech failed to emphasize quarterback Kyron Drones’s dual-threat abilities early in the season. In the first two games of the year, he rushed for 81 yards on 23 attempts, 3.5 yards per carry (sacks adjusted). Not getting him into space played a key part in Virginia Tech losing at Vanderbilt in August.

Once he was cut loose, life got much easier. A four-game stretch averaging 8.2 yards per Drones carry was the best part of the Hokies’ season, a stretch that then played into a three-game winning streak to reach 5-3 before the junior suffered the first of a few injuries. 

Drones has been limited or sidelined in each of the last four games. For the first time without him, Virginia Tech won in its regular-season finale, topping Virginia in the Commonwealth Cup to keep its biggest rival out of a bowl.

Virginia Tech Hokies bowl game projection

Fenway Bowl

At 6-6 overall and 4-4 in the ACC, tied for No. 8 in the conference, the Hokies are within one game of No. 4. Bowls are allowed to reach conference standings by one game in the ACC.

Virginia Tech has been in both the Miltary Bowl (2023) and the Pinstripe Bowl (2021) recently enough to reduce options for the Hokies in the ACC’s second tier, so I will project them to play in the Fenway Bowl against someone from the American Athletic Conference.

Projected bowl game opponent:

The most likely AAC opponent would be Memphis. The Tigers have never played in the Fenway Bowl, do not have the inherent ties to the Armed Forces Bowl or the Military Bowl that Army and Navy obviously do, and are within the AAC’s top-four, setting them up for either the Fenway Bowl or the Independence Bowl.

Memphis entered the season with lofty Playoff hopes, only to have those quickly dashed in a shootout at Navy in September. A strong rushing offense sets up Memphis’s passing game, while the defense is below average in most regards.

Fenway Bowl info

  • Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
  • Time: 11:30 a.m. ET
  • Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
  • Network: ESPN

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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