The last time the Miami Hurricanes took the field, they were upset by Georgia Tech. This time around, Cam Ward & Co. should hang plenty of points on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Hard Rock Stadium.
Thanks to Ward and this explosive offense taking on a Demon Deacons defense that’s non-existent, my Wake Forest vs. Miami predictions and college football picks for Saturday, November 23 expect this matchup to be all about the offensive fireworks.
Wake Forest vs Miami prediction and best bet
My best bet
Over 64.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
My analysis
One of these offenses is arguably the best in the country, and the other is led by former Boise State and Louisiana Tech starting QB Hank Bachmeier. While the 25-year-old Bachmeier should probably be more focused on working on his LinkedIn rather than trying to upset the Miami Hurricanes, he is in position to lead the Wake Forest Demon Deacons to another Over.
Wake Forest has hit the game total Over in seven of its last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI), and for as bad the team is this season, the offense has had a few moments. Wake is just 83rd in SP+, but its offense is 59th and has scored 23-plus points in eight of 10 games.
The Demon Deacons have a few playmakers for Bachmeier to lean on too in running back Demond Claiborne and wide receiver Taylor Morin. Those three have Wake ranked Top 80 in both EPA per rush and dropback.
Wake is capable of doing enough on offense for Over bettors with Miami set to do the heavy lifting in one of the most lopsided matchups of the season in the ACC.
The Hurricanes are the No. 1 offense by SP+ and are averaging the most points per game in the country this season (45.0). They’ve scored 36-plus points in nine of 10 games and 40-plus in six of them.
That’s because Ward has Mario Cristobal’s team No. 5 in EPA per dropback and poised to expose a Wake Forest defense that’s 107th in EPA per dropback. Wake is 114th in points allowed (32.5) and allowing the fifth-most yards per game in the Power 4 (437.9).
And it’s not as if Miami’s run game isn’t equally as competent — it’s fifth in EPA per rush. So between Ward, Damien Martinez, Xavier Restrepo, and several other future NFL playmakers, Miami is set to score 40-plus again and cash this Over.
Wake Forest vs Miami same-game parlay (SGP)
Over 64.5
Cam Ward Over 324.5 passing yards
Xavier Restrepo Over 89.5 receiving yards
Ward can still get back into the Heisman odds race, and Wake Forest is the perfect team to do it against. The Demon Deacons are allowing the fifth-most passing yards per game in the nation (281.9) and Ward has thrown for 325+ in seven of 10 games.
He’s first in college football in passing yards (3,494) and fourth in big-time throws (24), per PFF. With a room of pass-catchers that will be playing on Sundays, he should once again fly past this line.
It helps that he has one of the best receivers in the country in Restrepo, too. Restrepo has gone Over 89.5 receiving yards in six games this season.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Wake Forest vs Miami odds
Wake Forest vs Miami live odds
Wake Forest vs Miami opening odds
- Wake Forest vs. Miami spread: Miami -23.5
- Wake Forest vs. Miami moneyline: Wake Forest +1,200 | Miami -3,000
- Wake Forest vs. Miami Over/Under: 65.5
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Wake Forest vs Miami spread and Over/Under analysis
- Miami opened between a 23.5 and 24-point favorite with most books now offering the Hurricanes between -24.5 and -25.5.
- Miami is 5-5 ATS this season while Wake Forest is just 3-5-2.
- The Over/Under opened as high as 67.5 with most books coming down to 64.5.
- The Hurricanes are among the best Over teams in the country at 7-2-1 and the Demon Deacons are 5-5.
Wake Forest vs Miami betting trend to know
Miami has hit the game total Over in nine of its last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 51% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Wake Forest vs Miami.
Wake Forest vs Miami game info
| Location: | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL |
| Date: | Saturday, 11-23-2024 |
| Kickoff: | 12:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN |
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