The AFC North is under the prime-time lights in Week 10, with the Baltimore Ravens hosting the Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday Night Football.
Baltimore is off and running after a stumble out of the blocks, picking up wins in six of its last seven games. But my Bengals vs. Ravens predictions anticipate Cincinnati to do its best to stay within striking distance of its divisional rival.
Read on as I give my best NFL picks on November 6 with kick-off set for 8:15 p.m. ET at M&T Bank Stadium.
For more, check out Sam Farley's Lamar Jackson odds spotlight.
Bengals vs Ravens TNF prediction
My best bet
Bengals +6.5 (-120 at FanDuel)
My analysis
When all sides are healthy, most AFC North matchups come with a spread around a field goal. But, bookies believe the Baltimore Ravens are above and beyond their divisional foes in Week 10, pegging them as a near touchdown fave at home tonight.
While the standings say one thing, sizing up these teams says another. The Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals have great quarterbacks, explosive offenses, and “meh” defenses.
We saw just that on display in Week 5 when Baltimore edged Cincinnati in a wild 41-38 overtime thriller at Paycor Stadium. The Ravens won with a field goal in the extra frame, which was just enough to cover the -2.5 on the road.
That result was a rare cover for the favorite in these grudge matches. Going back to 2015, underdogs cover at a 56% clip in AFC North divisional games. And when you take the bad-news Cleveland Browns out of the equation, the three remaining members are a collective 68% against the spread as a pup in divisional dances.
Baltimore’s defense has sputtered in recent games and is far from the historic highs of Mike Macdonald’s stop unit in 2023. The Ravens rank 29th in EPA allowed per dropback and 23rd in opponent success rate per pass and face a Cincy air attack ranked Top 3 in the offensive flip of those advanced measurements.
What’s more, the Ravens’ second-half letdowns have burned bettors in 2024. Baltimore has taken its foot off the gas in the fourth quarter, giving up 42% of its total points allowed in the final 15 minutes. That’s a troublesome trend when laying a spread as big as Thursdays.
While the Ravens covered as 9-point chalk against Denver last Sunday, John Harbaugh’s team is just 5-14-1 ATS (27%) when laying six or more points since 2021. The Bengals, with Joe Burrow as a massive step up in QB competition (he hung almost 400 yards and five TDs on them in Week 5), are 11-7 ATS as a dog in that same span including 4-1 ATS when getting six or more points.
Bengals vs Ravens TNF same-game parlay
Bengals +6.5
Over 52.5
Ja’Marr Chase anytime touchdown
This line is way too big for a divisional rivalry like this, especially when you consider the Ravens’ weakness vs. the pass.
These teams put up almost 80 points in Week 5 and I don’t see why they can’t top this total, given the firepower on the field.
Chase faces a Ravens secondary ranked in the Bottom 10 in most advanced defensive metrics. He scored twice in the Week 5 shootout.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Best Bengals vs Ravens bonus
Get $150 in bonus bets when you win with FanDuel!
New users can create an account at FanDuel and place your first bet of $5+ on the NFL, and get $150 in bonus bets if your first bet wins — PLUS a free three-month trial of NBA League Pass!
Sign up now at FanDuel Sportsbook, or learn more with our comprehensive FanDuel review.
Bengals vs Ravens odds
Bengals vs Ravens live odds
Bengals vs Ravens opening odds
- Spread: Cincinnati +6 | Baltimore -6
- Moneyline: Cincinnati +225 | Baltimore -275
- Over/Under: Over 51.5 (-110) | Under 51.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of FanDuel
Bengals vs Ravens spread and Over/Under analysis
• After Week 9, oddsmakers opened Baltimore as a 6.5-point home favorite for Thursday Night Football. We saw this spread dip to as low as -5.5 at some sharper books and we’re seeing books between -6 and -6.5 on Wednesday.
• The Over/Under total opened as short as 51.5 points and instantly took money on the Over, driving this number to as high as 53 points. These rivals combined for almost 1,000 yards and 79 points in Week 5, blowing away the closing total of 48.5 O/U.
• Injuries to watch for Cincinnati are WR Tee Higgins and OL Orlando Brown. Baltimore added WR Diontae Johnson and CB Tre'Davious White at the trade deadline. Their involvement on the short week is unknown.
Bengals vs Ravens betting trend to know
Excluding the horrible Browns, underdogs are 47-22-2 ATS (68%) in AFC North divisional matchups since 2015. Find more NFL betting trends for Bengals vs. Ravens.
Bengals vs Ravens game info
| Location: | M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD |
| Date: | Thursday, 11-7, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Amazon Prime |
Bengals vs Ravens latest injuries
Bengals vs Ravens weather
Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
See FanDuel T&Cs
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).
21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).
