It’s been a season to forget for both the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys, and the two storied NFC East rivals will meet at AT&T Stadium for their second meeting of the year in a Thanksgiving showdown on Thursday, November 28.
My early Giants vs. Cowboys predictions and NFL picks expect Dallas to make it two wins in a row while handing New York its seventh consecutive loss.
Giants vs Cowboys predictions
Early spread lean
Cowboys -3.5 (-115 at FanDuel)
My analysis
Despite the Dallas Cowboys being run over at home all season with an 0-5 record while allowing 37.4 points per game, I still prefer them over the reeling and seemingly increasingly more dysfunctional New York Giants on the short week.
The G-men have dropped six straight and were only able to pressure Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield four times Sunday. Mayfield completed 80% of his passes for 9.8 yards per attempt, and the Bucs ran for 156 yards (4.9 per tote) during the 30-7 win.
Of course, New York was also coming off its bye week and was down 23-0 at the half. The game was never competitive.
It was far from a flawless showing from Dallas in Week 12 but the defense showed life, and quarterback Cooper Rush improved to 6-3 both straight-up and against the spread as a starter. He completed 75% of his passes for 7.7 YPA, and Dallas ranks third in dropback success rate this week ahead of the Monday Night Football game between the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers.
The Dallas stop unit also allowed the fifth-lowest EPA per dropback and third-lowest dropback success rate with a game remaining in Week 12, and the Cowboys were able to rack up five sacks and 10 QB hits.
Plus, Giants QB Tommy DeVito has an underwhelming 64.4 completion percentage for just 6.1 YPA across his seven career starts, which includes even worse 61.7% and 5.2 marks over his past three.
Early Over/Under lean
Over 38.5 (-115 at FanDuel)
My analysis
This is the lowest total of the season for Dallas, and they’ve played to a 7-4 Over/Under record this season. New York has had a shorter number twice. The Giants split those games and sport a 3-8 record for the year.
Early betting action has moved this total multiple times.
The number opened 39.5 at FanDuel last week, and it dropped all the way to 37.5 following Sunday’s games. There was buyback on the Over on Monday morning to move the total to 38.5.
While I’m not a big believer in either offense, this number is low for a Cowboys tilt. New York has surrendered an average of 24.7 points per game during its six-game losing streak, and Dallas has been a mess defensively at AT&T Stadium.
As a result, my early lean is Over 38.5 points.
Best Giants vs Cowboys bonus
Get $150 in bonus bets when you win with FanDuel!
New users can create an account at FanDuel and place your first bet of $5+ on the NFL, and get $150 in bonus bets if your first bet wins!
Sign up now at FanDuel Sportsbook, or learn more with our comprehensive FanDuel review.
Giants vs Cowboys live odds
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
See FanDuel T&Cs
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).
21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).
