Jayden Daniels Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Commanders vs Eagles

Jayden Daniels has had a big year for the Commanders, and our expert NFL predictions expect the rookie signal-caller to continue his stellar play at Philly.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Jan 26, 2025 • 09:17 ET • 4 min read
Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The NFC Conference Championship Game takes place this Sunday with the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Washington Commanders. 

These divisional rivals have met twice this season but with Commanders Jayden Daniels’ impressive playoff performances, there’s a belief that he and his team can shock the favorites. 

If you’re looking to bet on the rookie, here are our best Jayden Daniels props for Sunday, January 26.

Jayden Daniels player prop picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Jayden Daniels prop pick

My best bet
Jayden Daniels Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+120 at Caesars)

My analysis
It’s no longer a matter of if but when Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels will be confirmed as the Offensive Rookie of the Year. 

The 24-year-old has really excelled since being drafted second overall from LSU. Daniels arrived in Washington at the perfect time, coinciding with organizational change and raising expectations for the first time in a long time. 

When it comes to Sunday, there are a number of ways to bet on Daniels. He’s been a great rusher all season and in the playoffs, we’ve seen him being very effective. 

However, this Philadelphia Eagles’ run defense has been good this season, and it feels like a potential risk when other wagers offer a better return.

With that in mind, we’re taking Daniels to throw Over 1.5 passing touchdowns, which you can grab at plus money. As much as this is a very impressive defense, you can’t turn down this wager, given how well he’s performed in recent months.

Daniels has thrown 29 touchdown passes across the season but we’ve seen his numbers steadily improve as he’s developed through this rookie year. Since Week 12, he’s scored two or more touchdowns in seven of eight games played. 

That’s in comparison to just three games with two or more TDs in the preceding 11 games. It’s also worth flagging that the only game in which he didn’t throw multiple touchdown passes was in the season finale, which saw him getting rested after initial snaps. 

There are three games there to really focus on. Firstly, the two playoff games. In two big playoff games, with the season on the line and one against a good Lions’ defense, we saw Daniels play faultlessly, throwing two touchdowns in each without an interception. 

He was hugely efficient. We also need to consider the Week 16 game against this Philadelphia defense, in which Daniels through a season-high five touchdowns.

We’ve already seen in his short career that Daniels has the x-factor, he’s a special player who turns up for his team when it’s needed. 

How many times have we seen him pull off something special at the end of games? The team trusts Daniels, and he’ll put them on his back and try to get them over the line this Sunday.


More Commanders vs Eagles picks from Covers


Jayden Daniels same-game parlay

Jayden Daniels Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Terry McLaurin Anytime Touchdown

Austin Ekeler Over 25.5 Receiving Yards

Time for a Jayden Daniels Same-Game Parlay to set you up for the Conference Championship Game.

As detailed above, we’re starting with our best bet for the game.

Following that, we’re adding Terry McLaurin as one of the players catching a touchdown pass from Daniels. It’s been a breakout season and the former Buckeye has scored 15 times this season. 

He’s scored in seven of his past eight games, including one in Week 16 against this same Eagles’ defense.

Our final leg in the Same-Game Parlay is for Austin Ekeler to have Over 25.5 Receiving Yards. Ekeler is far better than Brian Robinson in the passing game, and the Commanders will continue to use him in those situations. 

He’s played three times since missing five weeks with injury. He’s had Over 25.5 receiving yards in two of those three games, with the only exception being his first game back, in which he had half the targets of the following two games. 

When the Commanders last played in Philadelphia back in Week 11, he caught a season-high eight of nine passes for 89 yards.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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