Jets vs Giants Preseason Picks and Predictions: Jets Make a Statement vs Big Brother

The NFL preseason doesn't mean much to most NFL teams, but this game for the Jets is the start of a new era. Aaron Rodgers will see his first action as a Jets player and our NFL betting picks expect the Jets to have a bit more giddy-up than usual.

Ed Scimia - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst
Aug 25, 2023 • 18:21 ET • 4 min read
Aaron Rodgers New York Jets NFL
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The New York Jets and the New York Giants will renew their annual preseason rivalry on Saturday as the two teams meet up at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.

The Jets have put in a strong defensive effort so far in the preseason, though the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were able to beat them 13-6 last weekend. The Giants are 1-1 so far, and are coming off of a 21-19 win over the Carolina Panthers.

Saturday’s game will get Jets fans their first chance to see Aaron Rodgers in action for New York. We’ll take a look at how that might impact the NFL Odds and give you a free NFL picks and predictions for Jets vs. Giants on August 26.

Jets vs Giants odds

Jets vs Giants predictions

The New York Jets made arguably the biggest splash of the last offseason by signing the 39-year-old Aaron Rodgers in an effort to solidify their quarterback position. It seemed likely that the Jets wouldn’t play Rodgers in the preseason, but that expectation changed with the team announced that their new acquisition would take some snaps in the preseason finale. 

Whether that’s designed to create excitement, get Rodgers just a little bit of in-game familiarity with his new teammates, or to give the Jets a better chance of beating their in-stadium rivals, the decision has created unusual buzz for this contest. It’s one of a number of factors that suggest the Jets will be taking this game more seriously than the New York Giants.

It’s unclear if Giants starter Daniel Jones will even play on Saturday, after he went 8-for-9 with a touchdown against Carolina last weekend. Saquon Barkley could also sit, and the Giants are likely to only play their younger offensive linemen in front of whoever is taking snaps behind center.

That could be a problem, as the Jets defensive front has been absolutely dominant during the preseason. Their backups have largely held opposing offenses in check, giving up just 11.3 points per game so far this season. If the Jets decide to unleash their starters on defense for any significant amount of time, the Giants may struggle to put together drives in this game.

I wouldn’t normally put a lot of stock into how a game “feels,” as I prefer to rely on data. But when we’re talking about a preseason contest, the way the teams are approaching the game can have an outsized impact on the final result.

For the Giants, this game is a learning experience. They want to see who will grab the last few roster spots, see what Isaiah Simmons can give them at different spots around the defense, and make sure everyone gets to the regular season without significant injuries.

The Jets, on the other hand, seem to want to make yet another statement. They have made a huge deal about the signing of Rodgers, have made themselves the subject of Hard Knocks this season, and want to make sure they’re taken seriously by the rest of the league as they try to ride an aging quarterback and an outstanding defense to a playoff berth. What better way make a statement then by taking it to big brother?

The Jets are a clear favorite in this game, and that seems more than justified. Not only are the Jets terrorizing opponents on defense in the preseason, but they’re going to take this game far more seriously than the Giants. The line is still well under a touchdown, so I’m comfortable taking the Jets and laying the points.

My best betJets -6 (-110 at PointsBet)

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Jets vs Giants spread and Over/Under analysis

The Jets opened as a -4 point favorite in this game. As it has become apparent that the Jets are going to approach this game far more aggressively than the Giants, that line has jumped to -6 at most books.

The Jets are 1-2 against the spread so far in this postseason. Meanwhile, the Giants have yet to cover, putting up an 0-2 ATS mark in 2023.

There’s a lot of hype surrounding the Jets heading into this game, and the team looks to be heading into Saturday with an unusual amount of fervor. The Giants don’t have anything in particular to play for, and seem a lot less interested in using this game as anything more than a glorified practice that will teach them something about their young players and backups. The Jets are the clear play here.

The total for Saturday’s matchup opened at 39 points. That number has held pretty firm, though you can also find some sites offering 38.5 points as the main line. Most books are offering -110 on both sides of the total at 39 points. 

The Jets have played excellent defense so far this preseason, and the Under is 2-1 in their three games. On the other side, the Over has gone 2-0 in the first two exhibition contests for the Giants. 

With the total being reasonably high for a preseason matchup, I’m leaning towards the Under. Sure, the Jets may be taking this game a bit too seriously, but they’re still only going to play Rodgers and their other key offensive players for a series or two. Meanwhile, the Giants will likely hold out most of their veteran stars. 

That should mean that the defenses dominate this game for the majority of the four quarters, particularly when it comes to the Jets defensive unit. The Under is the way to go if you’re looking to bet the total.

Jets vs Giants betting trend to know

The Giants are 0-5 against the spread in their last five preseason games. Find more NFL betting trends for Jets vs. Giants.

Jets vs Giants game info

Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Date: Saturday, August 26, 2023
Kickoff: 6:00 p.m. ET
TV: NFL Network
Opening odds: Giants +4, 39

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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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