Update: Kendrick Lamar opened his Super Bowl halftime show performance with a freestyle rap before transitioning to "Squabble Up." He performed 10 songs along with two freestyles, so some books by grade the total number of songs as Over 10.5. Kendrick closed his show with "TV Off."
There is no shortage of storylines and betting narratives when the Eagles face the Chiefs tonight in Super Bowl 59 — a Super Bowl rematch from two years ago — but one additional storyline to watch is the Super Bowl Halftime Show odds.
With Kendrick Lamar as the headlining act, sportsbooks cooked up a number of Super Bowl props for the halftime show performance — and betting markets saw some wild movement and swings in prices.
With the Super Bowl kicking off tonight, the majority of Kendrick's markets are off the board... but we have the latest halftime show odds for what is still available.
Super Bowl halftime show odds for Kendrick Lamar in 2025
Odds hit the board for Lamar's performance in January. These odds are only available to bet in Ontario, Canada. In the United States, users can use prediction markets like Kalshi to wager on the outcome of the Super Bowl halftime show.
Super Bowl halftime markets at Kalshi
What songs will be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
- Not Like Us: 91%
- HUMBLE: 91%
- All the Stars: 91%
- tv off: 90%
- Luther: 86%
- DNA: 83%
- Alright: 37%
- 30 For 30: 31%
- Money Trees: 23%
- m.A.A.d city: 23%
- King Kunta: 17%
Who will be part of Kendrick's halftime show?
- SZA: 99%
- Mustard: 71%
- Future: 38%
- Doechii: 30%
- Travis Scott: 29%
- Baby Keem: 27%
- Jay Rock: 23%
- Metro Boomin 20%
- Taylor Swift: 12%
- Beyonce: 11%
- Jay-Z: 10%
- lil' Wayne: 9%
- J. Cole: 9%
- Rihanna: 9%
Kalshi probabilities as of 2-9
Odds for celebrity guest to appear with Kendrick Lamar
SZA was already confirmed, but the biggest movement throughout the week has been Baby Keem, who is Kendrick's cousin and collaborated with the star rapper on several songs, including the hit "Family Ties."
- Baby Keem: -142
- Future: +184
- Metro Boomin: +184
- Jay Rock: +205
- Doechii: +210
- Travis Scott: +250
- The Weeknd: +310
- Taylor Swift: +440
- Lefty gunplay: +440
- Stormzy: +440
- Janet Jackson: +490
- Schoolboy Q: +600
- Rihanna: +600
- A$AP Rocky: +750
- Eminem: +750
- DeMar DeRozan: +790
- Beyonce: +900
- Anderson .Paak: +1120
- Sia: +1500
- U2: +1500
- Jay-Z: +1800
- Imagine Dragons: +2400
- Maroon 5: +2400
- Drake: +3500
FanDuel Canada odds as of 2-9
Odds for will Drake release a song on Super Bowl Sunday
- Yes: +340
- No: -550
FanDuel Canada odds as of 2-9
Odds for if Kendrick Lamar will wear a hoodie for his first song
- Yes: -128
- No: -102
FanDuel Canada odds as of 2-9
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Kendrick Lamar odds that have closed
The following markets were taken off the board heading into (or during) the weekend — these were the final closing odds.
Odds for Kendrick Lamar's first song performed
This has gone off the board at all operators as of Saturday night.
- HUMBLE: +150
- Not Like Us: +375
- King Kunta: +400
- Squabble Up: +450
- Euphoria: +600
- Like That: +750
- Bitch, Don't Kill My Vibe: +800
- United in Grief: +800
- Swimming Pools (Drank): +900
- Money Trees: +900
- m.A.A.d City: +900
- All the Stars: +1000
- Alright: +1400
- ELEMENT: +2000
BetMGM odds as of 2-8
Prediction: Squabble Up +380
This will be a highly-debated topic, with the current favorite being "Not Like Us," arguably the biggest hip-hop song of 2024 as a Drake diss track that went gangbusters across every club (and radio) worldwide.
However... I think Kendrick will hold off on his biggest jam, which feels much more like a finale to me, and instead will opt to go with a slow build for this performance, starting with "Squabble Up" — a song off his latest album, GNX.
This opening sample to this song also went viral, as it was first released as the opening segment for the "Not Like Us" music video, but has the perfect elements of an opening song; it's immediately identifiable (those deep, heavy breaths are unmistakable) and slowly builds the energy, easing everyone into the show.
I could see K.Dot also starting with "DNA," with its artistically jarring leap right into the song also immediately recognizable, and if you want to sprinkle on a longer shot: "All The Stars" (from the original Black Panther soundtrack) also has a slow, melodic start, is extremely well known, features his current touring partner SZA (also the favorite to appear on stage with him), and, I mean, all the stars... at the Super Bowl?
Prediction made 1-10
Odds for Kendrick Lamar's last song performed
This market saw a number of different songs flirt with the favorite, but ultimately "Not Like Us" steamed to odds-on favorite status before the market was taken down Friday night.
- Not Like Us: -167
- All the Stars: +120
- tv off: +150
- Savior: +400
- King Kunta: +450
- HUMBLE: +500
- LOVE.: +600
- Family Ties: +600
- Like That: +650
- Euphoria: +750
- Squabble Up: +800
- N95: +800
- Money Trees: +900
- Alright: +1100
- Rich Spirit: +1400
- Heart 5: +2400
- Mona Lisa: +2400
- m.A.A.d City: +3400
Betano odds as of 2-7
Prediction: Not Like Us +550
Looking at recent Super Bowl halftime shows, the artist generally finishes with their biggest banger:
- Usher: "Yeah!"
- Rihanna: "Diamonds"
- Dr. Dre/Snoop: "Still D.R.E."
- The Weeknd: "Blinding Lights"
- Maroon 5: "Moves Like Jagger"
- Justin Timberlake: "Can't Stop the Feeling!"
For Kendrick, there was no bigger song than "Not Like Us," the Drake diss that broke Spotify streaming records, is the longest-running No. 1 hip-hop song on Billboard and received five Grammy nominations, including Record of the Year and Song of the Year.
Beyond the critical acclaim, it went viral as a club hit and became the de facto anthem of the West Coast — and on sport's biggest stage, don't you think K.Dot would love to really stick it to Aubrey one more time?
I highly doubt much of the song will be allowed to be performed, but it's hard not to see this show ending with Kendrick dancing and screaming "They not like us!" and everybody — and I mean everybody — dancing along with him.
Prediction made 1-23
Odds for how many songs Kendrick Lamar will perform
Just like first song, then has come OTB at most operators except BetMGM, with a ton of steam hitting the Over throughout Super Bowl Week 2, before going off the board Saturday night.
- Over 10.5: -175
- Under 10.5: +125
BetMGM odds as of 2-8
Odds for what color Kendrick Lamar's hoodie will be when he begins the halftime show
- Black: +100
- Blue: +100
- White: +150
- Grey/Silver: +500
- Red: +700
- Yellow: +1900
- Pink: +1900
Betano odds as of 2-8
Odds for what color Kendrick Lamar's bandana will be when he begins the halftime show
- Black: +100
- Red: +600
- Blue: +600
- Purple: +900
- Yellow: +1100
- Gold: +1900
- White: +1900
- Grey/Silver: +2400
- Pink: +3400
- None: +300
Betano odds as of 2-8
Odds for what Kendrick Lamar's first shoes will be when he begins the halftime show
- Nike Cortez: -125
- Nike Shox: -111
- Nike Crazy 8: +400
- Nike Kobe: +600
- Timberland boots: +700
- Air Jordan: +1300
- Cowboy boots: +1900
- Adidas Samba: +2100
- Yeezys: +2400
Betano odds as of 2-8
Odds for how many times Kendrick Lamar will sing "Not Like Us"
The market for how many times "Not Like Us" — which just won Record of the Year at the Grammys and had the entire crowd singing Drake insults — would be performed saw some late movement that shortened the odds for once and saw zero removed as an option before going OTB Thursday night.
- Once: -400
- Twice: +410
- Three or more: +790
FanDuel Canada odds as of 2-6
Odds for how many diss tracks Kendrick Lamar will sing about Drake
How many of "Not Like Us", "Euphoria", "Meet the Grahams", and "6:16 in LA" would be performed also saw strong late movement, with 2+ going from a favorite to a near certainty (coinciding with "Euphoria" gaining traction as a song to be performed) before the market came off the board Thursday night.
- 2+ diss tracks: -420
- 3+ diss tracks: +210
- 4+ diss tracks: +750
FanDuel Canada odds as of 2-6
Odds for Kendrick Lamar songs to be performed
Want to see wild swings? This market was posted Thursday afternoon and within 12 hours we saw:
- "tv off" go from +200 to -1250
- "Euphoria" go from +250 to -1000
- "Poetic Justice" go from -167 to +1900
There wasn't much else in terms of big changes before the market was taken off the board Saturday morning.
- tv off: -1250
- Squabble Up: -100
- HUMBLE: -1000
- Euphoria: -1000
- All the Stars: -500
- DNA: -333
- Luther: -333
- Swimming Pools (Drank): -200
- Money Trees: -167
- Family Ties: -143
- King Kunta: -133
- Man at the garden: +100
- Backseat Freestyle: +110
- m.A.A.d City: +200
- ELEMENT: +200
- Alright: +200
- N95: +200
- 6:16 in LA: +250
- Loyalty: +250
- LOVE.: +250
- Die Hard: +250
- Count Me Out: +250
- United in Grief: +300
- Savior: +300
- Poetic Justice: +1900
Betano odds as of 2-7
Prediction: tv off +200
MUSTARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRD!
Seriously though: You don't think he's going to yell that? Or perform arguably the second-biggest song off of GNX?
I'll take that chance at 2/1, thank you very much.
Prediction made 2-6
Kendrick Lamar announced for Super Bowl 59
News broke just before the regular season began that Kendrick Lamar would be the headlining act for the Super Bowl 59 Halftime Show. It's safe to say that after a spicy, yet very successful feud with Drake, the 17-time Grammy Award winner has come out on top. Lamar continues to take the aftermath of the beef to new heights after releasing his sixth studio album "GNX," which may preview a portion of his set list for his halftime performance, plus an upcoming tour with SZA.
How is the Super Bowl Halftime Show performer chosen?
A lot goes into choosing the performer for each Super Bowl. Chief NFL Spokesperson Brian McCarthy says, "The NFL’s partner, Roc Nation, works closely with the league to select the entertainment for the Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show. The local host committee is not involved in the process."
With Jay-Z at the helm for Roc Nation, it wouldn't come as a surprise that Kendrick Lamar's relationship with the Carters made it an even easier decision for him to be chosen for this season's halftime show. A few collaborations with Beyoncé in the past couldn't have hurt either.
Where can you bet on the Super Bowl halftime show?
Betting on the Super Bowl halftime show is not an option on regulated sportsbooks in the United States in states where sports betting is legal. It is, however, available at Super Bowl betting sites in Ontario and the rest of Canada.
When it comes to these non-game-related novelty props, oddsmakers don’t want to expose themselves to markets that are predetermined or could be leaked ahead of time for the benefit of bettors in the know.
Other Super Bowl halftime prop bets
Depending on the performer, sportsbooks offer odds on aspects of the performers' attire, censorship, and more.
When it comes to exotic markets at the Super Bowl, there is always wild line movement in some markets leading up to the event. The first song performed at the halftime show is usually one of those as rumors begin to fly about leaked setlists.
Super Bowl halftime prop bets explained
The Super Bowl halftime show is must-watch TV, even for casual football fans. The midway mark of the NFL championship game is a spectacle just begging to be bet on, from the performer’s first song to the color of their outfits.
What is the Super Bowl halftime show?
The halftime show is a celebration as old as the Super Bowl itself. The original shows were planned around a theme; however, organizers ditched that method in the early 1990s and instead went with a notable headliner for the show, with guest appearances by other musical acts.
The halftime show extravaganza has gotten bigger and bigger every year, with complex sets and lighting, multiple guest appearances, and the occasional controversial moment. The Super Bowl XXXVIII halftime performance by Janet Jackson is one of the most memorable shows following her notorious “wardrobe malfunction.”
Super Bowl halftime prop bets
Super Bowl halftime prop bets have picked up in popularity, thanks to the online sports betting boom in the late 1990s. These novelty odds have grown each Super Bowl, limited only by the imagination of oddsmakers and fueled by bettors' appetite for Super Bowl props.
Halftime show props join the coin toss, the national anthem length, and the color of the Gatorade bath as some of the more popular Super Bowl novelty odds available. The most common halftime show prop markets are centered around the first song performed, the color of the performer’s outfit, and possible guest appearances on stage during the performance.
How to bet on Super Bowl halftime
Along with other Super Bowl odds, bettors need to know how to bet on Super Bowl prop markets. The list of Super Bowl halftime show props varies from sportsbook to sportsbook. However, you will see similar markets at most places, especially when it comes to markets on the performer’s outfit, as well as the first song performed.
These types of props are often presented in a long list with odds for each option based on their probability. An artist’s most popular songs or newest songs often find themselves among the favorites to be the first song performed, while the colors of the teams playing in the Super Bowl can also influence potential performer outfit colors.
Another method for betting halftime props is Yes/No propositions, asking bettors to choose if something will occur or not. Both the Yes and No options will have attached odds, such as “Will a football be used as a prop?”: Yes +300/No -500.
Here are some other fun Yes/No props for this year's Super Bowl:
- Will Kendrick Lamar wear a hoodie during his first song?
- Will Drake release a new song on Super Bowl Sunday?
Super Bowl halftime betting history
Super Bowl halftime show prop betting was ushered in by the advances in online sports betting in the late 1990s, and as the shows grew bigger, so did the odds offerings.
However, it wasn’t until Janet Jackson’s revealing Super Bowl XXXVIII performance that oddsmakers went wild with the prop odds. Thanks to that controversial moment, a possible “wardrobe malfunction” is always included in the Super Bowl halftime show prop mix.
These fun and exotic Super Bowl odds garner plenty of media attention as well, as they have a huge mainstream appeal beyond the Super Bowl, football, and sports in general.
Instant replay: Super Bowl halftime show prop bets
Super Bowl halftime props are an entertaining way to keep your wagering going while the on-field action is on pause:
- Halftime props are betting markets centered around the Super Bowl halftime show.
- Bets range from which songs will be played to what the performer will be wearing.
- These bets are usually only available at online sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Halftime Show Odds FAQs
Yes, but only at online sportsbooks outside of the United States. Land-based sportsbooks in the U.S. don't offer betting on the Super Bowl halftime show.
The most common Super Bowl halftime props bets you can make are “First song performed” as well as “Color of the performer’s outfit.” However, prop options will vary from book to book.
While some odds are out in the fall, most Super Bowl halftime props release during the bye week before Super Sunday and the options grow the closer it gets to kickoff.
Kendrick Lamar was just announced as the headlining act for the Super Bowl 59 Halftime Show.
Usher performed for the Super Bowl 58 halftime show in 2024.
According to Chief NFL Spokesperson, Brian McCarthy Roc Nation, in partnership with the NFL, takes the lead in picking the act for the Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show.
