Jets vs Raiders SNF Prop Bets: Jacobs Finds Paydirt in Prime-Time

With new HC Antonio Pierce adamant about Josh Jacobs being more heavily involved in the offensive plan, Shawn Wronka is backing the Las Vegas star RB to shine against New York on Sunday night. Read more in our latest SNF prop picks for Jets vs. Raiders.

Shawn Wronka - Contributor at Covers.com
Shawn Wronka • Betting Analyst
Nov 12, 2023 • 17:52 ET • 4 min read

The Aaron Rodgers-less New York Jets have been on a roll as of late when it comes to NFL odds, winning three straight before dropping a game last week on Monday Night Football. They will play in primetime once again this week as they travel to take on a Las Vegas Raiders that team is coming off an emphatic win following the firing of Josh McDaniels.

Who can step up for the Jets and help them get above .500, and will anyone on the newly invigorated Raiders rise to the occasion in Week 10 odds to help Las Vegas get back to .500?

Continue reading as we dissect the SNF odds and our favorite props in our NFL picks for Jets vs. Raiders on November 12th.

Be sure to also check out our Jets vs. Raiders betting preview alongside our Davante Adams odds analysis!

Jets vs Raiders SNF props

Picks made on November 11 at 5:00 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.

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Jets vs Raiders SNF props

Prop bet #1: Jolly Jacobs

The New York Jets are well known for their stout defense over the years, but this year they have struggled quite notably in the run game. Gang Green's 103.3 yards allowed to opposing running backs ranks eighth-worst in the league, and they've allowed four rushing touchdowns in the last three games.

And after some disappointing results earlier in the season, Josh Jacobs has found fresh and more plentiful opportunities in the game plan. In his first game under interim head coach Antonio Pierce, Jacobs rushed 26 times — a mark that is now his season high.

As a result, Jacobs hit paydirt twice last week and helped the Las Vegas Raiders secure a convincing 30-6 win to snap their two-game losing streak. Pierce went out of his way to call Jacobs the "heart and soul of the team" and added that "nothing happens unless it comes through [him] first" and that he believed the Raiders "can't throw the ball if [he's] not running good".

Expect heavy involvement from Jacobs in this prime-time matchup.

Josh Jacobs prop: Anytime touchdown (+105 at DraftKings)

Prop bet #2: Not Jakobi's day

Jakobi Meyers has quietly been one of the league's most consistently productive receivers for several years now, and his move to the Raiders went largely unnoticed. Nevertheless, Meyers has tallied 40 receptions for 442 yards this year and has been a bright spot for an offense that has otherwise had few sparks.

Despite his underappreciated production, he actually is someone to fade moving forward. Meyers had better results with both Jimmy Garoppolo and Brian Hoyer under center, and Aidan O'Connell has looked Meyers' way much less.

In O'Connell's two starts, Meyers has failed to tally more than two receptions in a game — including last week's game during which the Raiders put up 30 on the porous Giants defense.

Hunter Renfrow has also seen an uptick in usage as of late (but is still playing a small role), tallying more targets in his last three games (10) than he had in the prior six games combined, and he could continue to eat into Meyers' ability to command targets.

Jakobi Meyers prop: Under 3.5 receptions (+130 at DraftKings)

Prop bet #3: Calling on Conklin

Tyler Conklin isn't exactly the sexiest name across both of these two teams, but his market certainly is for keen-eyed bettors. Conklin has quietly been very productive this year relative to his prop market, and Sunday Night Football is no different.

Conklin has regularly been one of Zach Wilson's favorite pass catchers and when ignoring Week 1 during which Wilson came in unexpectedly, Conklin has now gone over his reception prop in six of his seven other games.

In fact, in most cases, he has tended to breeze past his reception prop (for those who like to look at alternative reception props). In six of those overs, he has beaten his prop by 2+ receptions in four of those contests. 

Conklin should beat his market again, and for the more daring bettors, his alt reception props are worth a look as well.

Tyler Conklin prop: Over 2.5 receptions (-122 at FanDuel)

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Shawn Wronka - Covers
Betting Analyst

Shawn Wronka is an analytics-based sports bettor who was drawn to analytics at an early age via the stats on the back of sports cards. He began sports betting in 2016, and took an immediate interest in UFC before finding his way towards other major sports.

After years of casual betting, he took an interest in the numbers-based approach and specialized in learning and applying those techniques to niche markets such as player props, the NFL and NBA drafts, and F1. Shawn finds writing a good way to balance the time he spends on numbers, giving him an outlet to paint quantitative edges into qualitative narratives.

A graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison, his work has been seen in dozens of publications including the National Post, Financial Post, Calgary Herald, Vancouver Sun, and The Province.

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