Monday Night Football odds round up a fascinating Week 5 in the NFL with the Green Bay Packers traveling to the Black Hole to clash with the Las Vegas Raiders.
Ahead of tonight’s big game at Allegiant Stadium, we’re going to be diving into the Jordan Love odds, a player who's really shone at points this season.
Will Love take his Packers to 3-2 or will the Raiders get their second win of the season? I break it all down in my free NFL picks for Jordan Love below; be sure to check out our Packers vs. Raiders predictions and our best Monday Night Football prop picks as well.
Jordan Love MNF prop picks
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Jordan Love MNF prop pick
Over 1.5 passing TDs (+114)
It’s been an interesting season thus far for Jordan Love. Out of the shadow of Aaron Rodgers, he was handed the keys to the Green Bay Packers offense and started the season well.
He threw six touchdowns in his first two games and had a passer rating of 123.3 and 113.5 in those two games. His most impressive performance was when he put the team on his back against the Bears and powered them to a win over their divisional rivals.
Since then, he’s dropped both his passer rating and number of passing touchdowns and hasn’t looked quite as assured as he’s thrown three picks.
A trip to the Allegiant Stadium on primetime feels like a good get-right spot for Love and it’s one that should allow him to showcase the reasons why people were so impressed with him early on.
The Las Vegas Raiders are relatively good at limiting quarterbacks to low-yardage games, choosing to bend rather than break and limit the possibility of splash plays. For that reason, I'd stay away from the passing yards line and would probably be tempted to play the Under if anything.
However, while they're able to stop QBs from putting up astronomical numbers, they haven't been able to keep them from finding their teammates in the endzone. Only five teams in the NFL have allowed more passing touchdowns than the Raiders and all five of those teams have already played this week.
They struggle to make a meaningful impact on quarterbacks, with only two teams having fewer sacks than the Raiders this season and no team having fewer interceptions than the Raiders (one).
In four games, the Raiders have allowed 2+ passing TDs in three of them, including against the likes of Russell Wilson and Kenny Pickett. While I’m not expecting Love to break 300 yards here, I do see him having a productive day in terms of finding his teammates in the endzone.
Prop: Over 1.5 passing TDs (+114 at FanDuel)
Jordan Love MNF same-game parlay
Jordan Love Over 1.5 passing TDs
Romeo Doubs Over 3.5 receptions
Luke Musgrave Over 32.5 receiving yards
As part of our spotlight series around big games such as Monday Night Football, we always have an SGP and this one — focused on Jordan Love — comes in at +450.
We're starting with Over 1.5 passing TDs but next up, we're backing Romeo Doubs to go Over 3.5 receptions. This is a guy who's currently the Packers’ highest-graded offensive player, per PFF, and also the second-highest-graded wideout from his draft class.
His relationship with Love has grown in the opening month of the season and his role in the team has risen. He’s gone from eight targets in the first two games to having 25 the last two weeks. With Christian Watson back and Aaron Jones likely too, I would expect to see those targets drop, however, it’s clear there’s chemistry and I expect Doubs to still get his fair share.
To finish off the SGP, we’re going to back Packers TE Luke Musgrave to go Over 32.5 receiving yards. He’s cleared protocol and will suit up on MNF.
He has 124 receiving yards in three games this season, topping the 32.5-yard line on two occasions. I’ve omitted Week 4 given he went off early in the game due to a concussion and it skews his numbers.
He faces a Raiders’ defense who have allowed an average of 39 yards per game to TEs this season and I’d expect Musgrave to top that, especially given that he’s one of Love’s preferred targets.
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