Josh Allen Odds and TNF Props: Bills Turn to Air Ball vs Bucs

Tonight’s Thursday Night Football sees the Buffalo Bills hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with the 4-3 Bills looking to get their season back on track after that shock loss to the Patriots in Week 7. The Bucs are 3-3 and chasing the Falcons in the NFC South and need the W too.

With one of the league’s best quarterbacks under center, I’ve been tasked with looking at the best ways to bet Josh Allen props. I’ve taken a long look at Allen-specific markets at various sportsbooks to find the very best TNF odds for you to get involved with the Bills QB on Thursday Night Football.

While getting your NFL picks set for Week 8 odds, don't forget to take a gander at our Bills vs. Buccaneers props as part of our Bills vs. Buccaneers predictions.

Josh Allen TNF prop picks

• Over 255.5 passing yds
• Allen 250+ passing yds/Allen Over 1.5 pass TDs/Kincaid anytime TD

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Josh Allen TNF prop pick

Allen Over 255.5 passing yards (-114)

It’s been an interesting season for Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen. He’s been among the favorites in NFL MVP odds even after the Bills aren’t top of their division. And even after slipping to their third defeat on Sunday, he is still ranked fifth in the hunt for the hardware. We know Allen can put in some truly sensational performances but he hasn’t been consistent this year. 

His passing yards line for this game sits at 255.5, a number he’s exceeded in just four of seven games this season but one we’re attacking here in a cushy matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers secondary.

The Buccaneers boast a Top-10 defense against the run, which should limit the Bills' ability to attack on the ground, but when it comes to passing yards, they have the sixth-worst mark in the NFL, allowing 246.7 yards per game. 

Allen's attempted 246 passes this year, over 35 per game with an average of 24.8 completions. While the Bucs have been reasonably good at not giving up a lot of passing touchdowns, they have been getting carved up consistently, allowing teams to move the chains with relative ease through the air.

If the playcalling is simple and allows Allen to make repeated gains up the field, then he should have a fantastic chance of clearing the 255.5 passing yard mark. With the Bucs’ defensive strength coming against the run, it should force the team’s hand slightly and ensure Buffalo looks to take Tampa apart with the pass.

FanDuel US also has a 50% profit boost available for one bet on this game, which if applied would increase this bet to +136!

Prop: Josh Allen Over 255.5 passing yards (-114 at FanDuel) 50% boost available

Josh Allen TNF same-game parlay

Josh Allen 250+ passing yards

Josh Allen Over 1.5 passing TDs

Dalton Kincaid anytime TD

50% boost available

+400 +600 at bet365

Since the exact line from our best bet wasn’t available in the SGP, we are taking a marginally lower prop of Over 250 passing yards. The Bucs have allowed just a few yards fewer than that on average this season and Allen’s aerial abilities are an upgrade on those of any quarterback they’ve faced this season. And remember, Kirk Cousins threw for 344 yards against this defense.

Next, we’ll be backing  Allen to throw Over 1.5 passing touchdowns. This is an area the Bucs have done well in, allowing an average of just one per game this season, but Allen should be able to throw at least two with the game script — and offensive injuries — calling for more passing. We’ve seen the Bills QB throw 15 through seven games and with the Bucs being dominant against the run, it’s likely we see him take plenty of shots at the end zone.

Finally, we are backing Dalton Kincaid to find the end zone. He’s yet to score his first touchdown for the team but it’s coming. Last week he returned after a concussion and posted his best line of the season, catching eight passes for 75 yards. The team is clearly looking to get him the ball more often and we’re only going to see his role continue to grow as he becomes the team’s top receiving option behind Diggs. We’re going to see him score sooner or later and I believe it comes on TNF.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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