It’s been another difficult week for the Las Vegas Raiders and yet again they have to dust themselves down to face the New York Giants in East Rutherford this Sunday.
Despite a rocky season off the field, Las Vegas surprisingly sits atop the AFC West and is a 2.5-point NFL betting road favorite over the Giants, who sit at rock bottom of the NFC East.
The Giants nearly beat the Chiefs last week — could this be a tighter clash than people think? Find out in our free NFL picks and predictions Raiders vs. Giants on Sunday, November 7.
Raiders vs Giants odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Due to the developing story around Henry Ruggs III, both the spread and the total were taken off the board, but at the time of writing Raiders -2.5, with a total of 46.5, has reappeared at most books. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full NFL odds before placing your bets.
Raiders vs Giants picks
Picks made on 11/3/2021 at 6:15 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Raiders vs Giants game info
• Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
• Date: Sunday, November 7, 2021
• Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS
Raiders at Giants betting preview
Weather
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Key injuries
Raiders: Peyton Barber RB (Out), Trayvon Mullen CB (Out), Damon Arnette CB (Out), Richie Incognito G (Out), Gerald McCoy DT (Out).
Giants: Saquon Barkley RB (Out), Lorenzo Carter LB (Out), Nate Ebner S (Out), Sterling Shepard WR (Out), Jabrill Peppers S (Out), Quincy Wilson CB (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Giants are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning record. Find more NFL betting trends for Raiders vs. Giants.
Raiders vs Giants predictions
Raiders -2.5 (-110)
It has not been an easy season for the Las Vegas Raiders. On the field, everything has been going right, as they lead the division at 5-2, ahead of both the Chargers and Chiefs. But off the field?
Everything has been falling apart.
Former head coach Jon Gruden resigned last month after leaked emails showed him using a number of slurs and offensive language, and now the 12th-overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, Henry Ruggs III, has been released after being in a car crash earlier this week — resulting in him being charged with a DUI resulting in death.
This isn’t the bye week that interim coach Rich Bisaccia has been expected but despite that, he and his team travel to MetLife Stadium on Sunday favored to beat the Giants.
New York is fresh off a 20-17 defeat to Raiders' divisional rival Kansas City and has spent most of the year in injury hell. Throughout the season the Giants have had pieces of their defense missing, star running back Saquon Barkley returned slowly from a torn ACL before getting reinjured, and the wide receiver room has been riddled with more injuries.
That’s left them at the bottom of the NFC East with a 2-6 record but they have — at times — looked quite good and quarterback Daniel Jones has improved from what we’ve seen in previous seasons. He still might not be the long-term QB for the Giants but they are capable of winning games with him under center.
Sunday could see some minor issues working against the Raiders. Obviously, they are now without Ruggs and although he hadn’t really lived up to his billing as the first receiver drafted last year, he did do a good job of stretching the field. The Raiders also have to deal with traveling cross-country and facing chilly East Coast weather — something they don’t have to deal with anymore inside the comfort of Allegiant Stadium.
We've doubted the Raiders throughout the season, but not this week. Defensive coordinator Gus Bradley has done a great job of improving the stop unit: It's not stacked with elite talent but is currently the 15th-ranked DVOA defense, per Football Outsiders. There has been real improvement in the Raiders' ability to stop the pass, allowing just 222.7 yards per game through the air, the ninth-best mark in the league. Las Vegas' pass rush is dynamic enough to create pressure on Jones and force him into the bad decisions that have become all-too-common for the Giants QB.
The Raiders' other big improvement this season has been Derek Carr. There has been question marks surrounding Carr since he was drafted in the second round of the 2014 draft but he’s playing the best football of his career, throwing for 2,269 yards this season (fifth in the league) and reinforcing an incredible connection with tight end Darren Waller.
With injuries concerns still surrounding the Giants and the advantage that the Raiders have had with a bye week to prepare, we’re confident that the Raiders cover the spread here. Grab those 2.5 points early.
Over 46.5 (-110)
It’s a very simple choice to back the Over here. The total has gone Over in four straight Raiders games against teams with a losing record and when you look at these clubs, it’s hard to not see points being scored.
The Raiders have scored 67 points in their past two games while the Giants, despite major injuries, have managed to score 42 points over their last two contests.
We've mentioned that the Raiders defense has improved this year but Daniel Jones still has the ability to hurt teams and score points. We can see the Giants getting two or three touchdowns at least — especially if some of their playmakers actually take the field — while the Las Vegas offense continues to hum along.
Kadarius Toney Over 55.5 receiving yards (-114)
Kadarius Toney is already one of the most electric players in the NFL. The rookie from Florida, taken 20th overall in this year's draft, started the season in the doghouse and saw limited snaps but he already looks like a future star for Big Blue.
Toney got his first real look at game action in Week 4, playing 66 percent of snaps and turning nine targets into six catches and 78 yards. That gave us a flash of his potential before he broke out in Week 5, putting up a ridiculous 189 yards on 10 receptions. His blazing speed, quick feet, and rapid change of direction make him difficult to corral.
He left early in New York's Week 6 game (after catching all three of his targets for 36 yards) and sat out Week 7 before returning last week, when he was carefully managed.
He barely played in the game but eventually managed to put up 26 yards on four receptions, numbers we fully expect him to eclipse now that he’s another week healthier and gets more involved in the game plan again.
Back the Over on Toney's receiving yards, then sit back and enjoy the show.
