NFL Week 6 Total Bets: Points Will Be Scarce in Drake Maye's Debut

Over/Under bet #1: Jaguars vs Bears o44.5

The Jacksonville Jaguars offense was simply too talented to keep playing like garbage, and they finally played up to their potential last week in a 37-34 victory against the Colts. Franchise QB Trevor Lawrence threw for 371 yards, while rookie WR Brian Thomas broke out with 122 yards on five receptions.

While the Chicago Bears' stingy pass defense isn't easy to crack, that task gets easier with safety Jaquan Brisker ruled out and cornerback Tyrique Stevenson doubtful. The loss of Stevenson would really hurt since his backup, Terrell Smith, is also sidelined by an injury, so the Bears could be digging deep into their bench to find a replacement. 

On the other side of the ball, Chicago's offense has made huge strides lately. While they were 30th in the league in EPA/play (-0.234) through the first two weeks, they are 13th (.033) over the last three.

Caleb Williams is finding his groove at QB, receivers Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze are healthy, and the young offensive line is doing a solid job in pass protection. They should be able to move the ball against a Jags defense last in the league in dropback EPA and missing its top cornerback and best linebacker. 

With both offenses trending in the right direction and both defenses missing key players, back the Over in London.

Over/Under bet #2: Texans vs Patriots u37.5

Drake Maye makes his highly-anticipated NFL debut this week against a Houston Texans defense fourth in pass rush win rate and allows just 5.2 yards per pass attempt. You've got to feel bad for the third pick overall who is practically being set up for failure, with the New England Patriots having arguably the worst offensive line and WR corps in the NFL. 

The best player on New England's offense was running back Rhamondre Stevenson and he's out with a calf injury. Even without Stevenson, the Pats will lean on their ground game with Antonio Gibson to chew up the clock. 

New England's defense doesn't have big-name players but is a well-coached unit continuing to outperform expectations. C.J. Stroud is one of the best QBs around, but the league's leading receiver, Nico Collins, just hit the IR, and Houston's offensive line has struggled.  

With the total for this game sitting just above that key number of 37, play the Under here.

Over/Under bet #3: Colts vs Titans u43

The Tennessee Titans lead the league in defensive success rate and allow the fewest yards per game (243.8). They should have no problem slowing down an Indianapolis Colts attack plagued with problems.

Anthony Richardson ranks dead-last among qualifying quarterbacks in EPA+CPOE and will be a game-time decision. Richardson and backup Joe Flacco like to throw deep, which will be hindered by sustained winds hovering around 14 mph at Nissan Stadium.

Indy could also be missing multiple playmakers with Pro Bowl RB Jonathan Taylor sidelined by an ankle injury and receivers Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs questionable. 

The Colts allow a league-worst 419.2 yards per game, but they are 14th in defensive success rate, so the situation isn't nearly as dire as it might appear. Tennessee's anemic offense might not be able to take advantage since they rank just 30th in EPA/play.

The Titans were held to 17 points or fewer in their first three games of the year, and while they scored 31 points in their last contest, they threw for just 102 yards.