The Florida Panthers return home to FLA Live Arena tonight. This is bad news for the visiting Nashville Predators as the Panthers are 23-3 SU at home this season, which is the best mark in hockey. Making things worse for Nashville is a current four-game losing skid that has seen the team concede 18 total goals.
Can the Predators slow down the league’s best offense on home ice? Can the Panthers extend their home winning streak to 10 games? Find out in our free NHL betting picks and predictions for Predators vs. Panthers.
Predators vs Panthers odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Panthers opened at -200 on the moneyline with a total of 6.5 leaning to the Over. This ML has now moved to -235 and is teetering on a total of 7. These two teams have not met this season.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until puck drop and be sure to check out the full NHL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Predators vs Panthers predictions
Predictions made on 2/22/2022 at 2:22 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Predators vs Panthers game info
• Location: FLA Live Arena, Sunrise, FL
• Date: Tuesday, February 22, 2022
• Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
• TV: Bally Sports Florida, Bally Sports South
Predators vs Panthers betting preview
Key injuries
Predators: Nick Cousins F (Out), Mark Borowiecki D (Questionable).
Panthers: Joe Thornton F (Out).
Find our latest NHL injury reports.
Predators vs Panthers head-to-head record since 2019-20
Predators: 3-7 SU, 25 goals for.
Panthers: 7-3 SU, 35 goals for.
Betting trend to know
The Predators are 0-5 SU in their last five vs. a team with a winning record. Find more NHL betting trends for Predators vs. Panthers.
Predators vs Panthers picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Puck line analysis
The Florida Panthers return home Tuesday night after a five-game road trip that saw them go 4-1 SU while scoring 24 goals in the process. Now they’ll be back in the comfortable confines of FLA Live Arena where they have lost just three games over 26 matches and have a single-game goal differential of plus-2.04. Their play on home ice has been spectacular and likely the reason the line has moved 35 points since opening.
The Predators would likely prefer to be coming into this tough matchup in better form. The sixth-place club is in a battle in the Western Conference and comes into tonight’s meeting having dropped four straight and have seen too many games slip away late. Nashville sits in the Bottom-10 in third-period goals allowed and faces a Florida team that scores more third-period goals on home ice than any other team in hockey and has five wins when trailing after two periods. Beating this team at home is nearly impossible.
Juuse Saros has taken the loss in all four games and has surrendered 15 goals over that stretch. When Saros is on, Nashville is a great team to back but if he doesn’t steal games, this top-heavy, league-average offense is hard to trust.
Nashville has also been getting killed on the penalty kill of late. The visitors have been shorthanded an incredible 22 times over the last four games and have surrendered a total of eight power-play goals. No team in hockey takes more penalties than the Preds and giving this elite Florida offense any more chances to score is a quick way to lose a game.
Florida hasn’t played a home game since January 29 but closed as -335 favorites versus the Sharks while the biggest win as an underdog the Preds have pulled off over the last three months was at +130. The line might seem long but with how Florida is playing at home, almost every team that comes in should be a +185ish dog.
With an average goal differential of plus-2.04, we aren’t afraid to hit the home side on the puck line here. During their current nine-game home-ice winning streak, the Panthers are 7-2 ATS.
Prediction: Panthers -1.5 (+110)
Over/Under analysis
The Panthers are 7-3 to the Over across their last 10 games and haven’t scored fewer than four goals at home in nine straight. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky is 16-1 SU at home this year, but his 2.45 GAA at FLA Live Arena isn’t much different than his 2.58 GAA on the road. Bob gets a ton of offensive support at home as the Panthers average a league-best 4.73 goals per game while that number drops substantially to 3.46 per game on the road.
Florida has been rolling four lines of late and with the last change, they can get whatever matchup they want. Florida leads the league in goal%, goals for, and xgoals for at even strength and will get a great opportunity to add some power-play goals to this already elite 5-on-5 offense.
Florida sits 15th in the league in power-play success but ranks fifth since January 1. They'll have plenty of opportunities to get the PP rolling as the Predators take 4.79 penalties per game, which paces the league. With all the practice on the penalty kill, one would think that Nashville would be decent at killing penalties but this unit has fallen on hard times. The Hurricanes sniped two tallies on the PP versus the Preds on Friday while the Capitals, Jets, and Stars combined for six PP goals in the three games before that. In all, this PK has killed just 14 of its last 22 penalties.
With a total of 6.5, we’re going to need some help from the Preds and we think they can contribute Tuesday night. Even during the four-game losing streak, this offense has still managed at least three goals in two of those losses. With the Florida team total sitting at 4.5, we might just need two goals from the visitors to hit the Over 6.5.
The Predators are scoring 3.04 goals per game on the road this season and are running a Top-10 power play as well. Bobrovsky has won six straight starts but has allowed at least two goals in each of those games and 17 in total. He has a sub-.900 save percentage over his last seven starts, which should give the Preds some confidence offensively.
Neither goalie has been shutting teams down, the Panthers are the best 5-on-5 team in hockey, and Nashville's disciplinary problems should give Florida plenty of solid opportunities to run up the score. We wouldn’t be surprised if this total hit 7.
Prediction: Over 6.5 (-125)
Best bet
Betting on games in Florida gives you two options: goals or the Panthers on the PL and we’re taking the latter. We love goals here but the Panthers play too well at home not to take them on the PL. They’ve lost just three times across 26 home games this season while Bobrovsky is 16-1 SU at home.
The Predators have been getting killed on the PK of late and Florida is a team that buries you with offense quickly. The Panthers could cover without the PP assistance but if Nashville is going to continue to give away games with penalties and poor penalty killing we’re fine with fading them. Saros is not looking good and we’re struggling to find any angle to support the visitors outside of a ML price that might be 10 points too high. We aren’t letting a little inflation get us off the Cats at home and we’re riding the PL for plus money.
Pick: Panthers -1.5 (+110)
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