Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final could be the last. The Florida Panthers have taken a 3-0 series lead over the Edmonton Oilers, and the Cats will look to pull off the sweep with a win on Saturday.
Edmonton hasn’t had an answer for Florida. The Panthers won the first two games while allowing just a single goal, and then they won 4-3 in the high-scoring Game 3 at Rogers Place on Thursday.
Can the Oilers send the series back to Sunrise, or will the Panthers end it Saturday night? Find out with our free NHL picks and Panthers vs. Oilers predictions for Game 4.
Panthers vs Oilers prediction
My best bet
Both teams to score 2+ goals (-133 at Sports Interaction)
My analysis
The Edmonton Oilers finally solved Florida Panthers goalie Sergei Bobrovsky with three goals in Game 3. Unfortunately, the Oil haven’t solved their defensive shortcomings or figured out how to combat the scoring depth of the Panthers.
As a result, I’m going right back to this prop as my best bet for Game 4.
Edmonton starter Stuart Skinner sports a .868 save percentage and 3.13 GAA through three starts in the finals, and Florida has scored at least three goals in each game. At the other end of the rink, Bobrovsky has continued his sensational stretch with a .953 SV% and 1.33 GAA in the series, but the Oilers beat him three times in Game 3 and still have positive regression ahead of their 4.6 team shooting percentage at five-on-five.
I’m expecting Edmonton to have another solid offensive showing in Game 4, too. The Oilers have averaged 3.9 goals per game at Rogers Place compared to 2.55 on the road during the postseason, and Edmonton also finished with 3.73 expected goals in Game 3. Of course, the Oil are also still without a power-play goal in the series.
Finally, I also value head coach Kris Knoblauch leaning on his top scorers for big minutes, with Oilers stars Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Zach Hyman and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins all topping 22 minutes in Game 3.
Panthers vs Oilers same-game parlay (SGP)
Panthers moneyline
Oilers Over 1.5 goals
Under 2.5 first-period goals
While It’s hard to quantify the impact of failing to pull off the third-period comeback in Game 3 will have on Edmonton on Saturday, I think it will prove to be the final blow for the Oil. Florida has weathered the fleeting storms from Edmonton, and the Cats have outscored the Oilers 11-4.
Additionally, Edmonton scoring three times in Game 3 was just the second time Bobrovsky had allowed more than two goals across his past 14 starts. He’s been far better than Skinner, and Florida's team defense has also been superior.
Finally, I expect another slow start in Game 4, with just 26 first-period goals through 20 Florida games this postseason.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Panthers vs Oilers odds
Panthers vs Oilers live odds
Panthers vs Oilers opening odds
- Puck line: Florida +1.5 (-250) | Edmonton -1.5 (+200)
- Moneyline: Florida +105 | Edmonton -118
- Over/Under: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5
Panthers vs Oilers moneyline and Over/Under analysis
- There hasn’t been a major adjustment to this moneyline. Pinnacle opened with the Oilers a -118 home favorite, and the Oilers are -120 as of Friday morning.
- I would be surprised if there wasn’t support for the Panthers leading into puck drop Saturday night, but it might not impact the odds.
- This total is a consensus 5.5 for the fourth consecutive game, and the series has played 1-2 to the Over.
- As a result, the Under is carrying the higher vig again ahead of Game 4. It isn’t shocking given how well Bobrovsky has played.
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Panthers vs Oilers trend
Florida is 7-2 on the road during the playoffs. Find more NHL betting trends for Panthers vs. Oilers.
Panthers vs Oilers game info
| Location: | Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB |
| Date: | Saturday, 6-15-2024 |
| Puck drop: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN, Sportsnet |
Panthers vs Oilers latest injuries
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