France vs USA Player Props: Olympic Men's Basketball Gold Medal Game

LeBron James has been as good a leader on Team USA as there's ever been, and our Olympic betting picks expect him to continue flexing his basketball IQ vs. France.

Eric Rosales - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Aug 10, 2024 • 08:34 ET • 4 min read
LeBron James Team USA Olympic men's basketball
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Man, what a basketball tournament at the Paris 2024 Olympic Games. After a semifinal win over Serbia for the ages, the Americans seek gold when they battle the host French.

It’s definitely appointment viewing, and there are a bevy of player prop bets that have our eye in the finale.

Here are three of my favorite France vs. USA player props, starting with the head of the USA snake, King James.

France vs USA props for August 10

  • LeBron James Over 8.5 assists (+112)
  • Stephen Curry Over 3.5 made 3s (+126)
  • Victor Wembanyama Under 17.5 points (-120)

Today’s best France vs USA props

Prop bet #1: LeBron James Over 8.5 assists

(+112)

LeBron James has been Team USA’s maestro, keeping the team’s best scorers well-fed all while taking on lead post defense duties and filling in the scoring gaps where necessary. He’s averaging under nine shots per game through five contests but has been an impact player throughout, averaging 14.2 points, seven rebounds and 8.2 assists.

Considering that playmaking has been the best part of his game in the knockout stage, James’ line of 8.5 dimes seems very makeable. He’s topped that in both win-or-go-home games, including a Paris-best 10 assists in the thriller over Serbia.

It helps that he’s now going to be feeding an awakened beast in Stephen Curry (more on him below), on top of all those potent weapons he can tinker with any time down the floor.

With France’s interior defense expected to pack the paint, James should be well-positioned to find the open man more often than not, and it should be with much success.

Prop bet #2: Stephen Curry Over 3.5 made 3s

+126

What a time for basketball’s all-time best shooter to rediscover his stroke. After scoring just 29 points through the United States' first four games, Curry erupted for 36 in the semifinal against Serbia. That included a blistering 8-for-13 mark from distance after he had hit just 5 of 20 all tournament long.

Now the books respond by setting his 3-point make total to 3.5 (up from 2.5 last game), but they're still giving plus odds to hit the Over and I can't pass that up. Curry is a weapon that just got unlocked, and Steve Kerr would be wise to use Steph in all actions to get the offense cooking. 

France’s 3-point defense has been a key to their run to the gold medal game, holding Canada and Germany to a combined 15-for-55 effort from distance, a 27.2% clip. But their perimeter defense is going from running at average shooters to the real-life cheat code. Look for Curry to end this Paris run still cooking from deep.

Prop bet #3: Victor Wembanyama Under 17.5 points

-120

Let’s end with reigning NBA Rookie of the Year Victor Wembanyama, who’s been underwhelming at best as France has moved through the knockout stage.

An exceptional effort from his supporting cast – and a whopping 42 free-throw attempts – lifted France to a win over Canada as Wemby finished with seven points on 2-for-10 shooting. It went from bad to worse in the semifinal win over Germany, with Wembanyama shooting a dismal 4-for-17 from the field, including 1-for-8 from downtown, finishing with 11 points.

Now Wemby gets the Americans, who have the athletes and live bodies to give the rook all kinds of problems.

LeBron can be physical, while Kevin Durant and Anthony Davis can hold their own with help defenders in tow. There’s also a bench that includes Bam Adebayo, Anthony Edwards and, if Kerr chooses to dust him off, Jayson Tatum.

The kid is just figuring things out, and taking his lumps this tournament is one of those times. After those last two performances, there’s nowhere to go but up, just not past this total.

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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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