Arsenal vs Tottenham Predictions & Picks for Wednesday's EPL Matchup

The North London Derby hits on Wednesday, and we're targeting Arsenal to score between one and two goals vs Tottenham. The Gunners are the superior team but are also dealing with enough injuries that scoring more than two will be a tall order.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Jan 14, 2025 • 11:00 ET • 4 min read
Riccardo Calafiori Arsenal EPL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

Midweek Premier League action gives us a huge North London Derby between Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur.

Arsenal have struggled to be at their best, especially in attack, but face a struggling Tottenham defense, which is why our Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur predictions have The Gunners scoring between one and two goals.

Read on for my Premier League soccer picks for Wednesday, January 15 with kickoff at 3:00 p.m. ET on Peacock Premium.

EPL predictions for Arsenal vs Tottenham

My best bet:
Arsenal to score 1-2 goals (-122 at TonyBet)

My analysis

The North London Derby between Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur is always one of the Premier League’s standout games.

For both teams, it’s a game that gives them a chance to end a bad spell. The hosts got knocked out of the FA Cup on Sunday and haven’t won any of their past three. While Spurs toiled in their FA Cup victory over non-league Tamworth, the Premier League has been less kind, with Tottenham managing one draw and three defeats in their past four, leaving manager Ange Postecoglou under real pressure.

Taking Arsenal to score 1-2 goals is quite a specific wager, but it makes sense for several reasons. 

The majority of Arsenal games in the Premier League have seen the team scoring either one or two goals, doing so 11 times in 20 games, and that number sits at five in nine at home.

Two of the past three games in all competitions have seen Arsenal score a solitary goal. The only exception was a 2-0 Carabao Cup defeat to Newcastle but Eddie Howe’s team are far better defensively than Spurs, as evidenced by conceding eight fewer goals in the league this season.

Injuries also play a role when it comes to capping the scoring output at two. 

They’re missing Ben White at right back and are likely to play Riccardo Calafiori and Jurrien Timber at fullback. Calafiori is good on the ball but has yet to show the playmaking we saw in Italy, while Timber isn’t an attacking fullback. 

Star Bukayo Saka is out and they simply don’t look like the same team without him on the pitch. Missing Gabriel Jesus and youngster Ethan Nwaneri also deprives them of attacking potential.

While the Gunners will score against an inconsistent Tottenham defense also missing bodies, we’re not going to see a vintage Arsenal performance thanks to recent form and the medical report. With that in mind, it’s a relatively safe bet for the Gunners to finish the game with either one or two tallies.

Arsenal vs Tottenham same-game parlay (SGP)

Arsenal team total Under 2.5

Both teams to score - Yes

Arsenal Over 5.5 corners

We can’t use our best bet for this SGP, so we’re going for something comparable at Under Arsenal's team total of 2.5.

Arsenal have only seen the opposition scoring in four of nine home games in the Premier League. However, they allowed Manchester United to score in the FA Cup this past Sunday, and with Spurs being the second-highest-scoring team in the Premier League, we can expect the away team to find the back of the net.

Arsenal have averaged 6.25 corners per game in the Premier League season and that rises to 8.44 in their home games. Arsenal are well above the line of 5.5 corners here, especially on home soil, so it should be covered.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Arsenal vs Tottenham odds

Arsenal vs Tottenham live odds

Arsenal vs Tottenham opening odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal -227 | Tottenham +520
  • Draw: +370
  • Over/Under: Over 3 (-115) | Under 3 (-110)

Arsenal vs Tottenham side and Over/Under analysis

  • Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 10 Premier League games.
  • Spurs have just one point in their past four Premier League games.
  • There have been Over 2.5 goals in the past five games between these teams at the Emirates in all competitions.
  • 70% of Tottenham’s Premier League games have had Over 2.5 goals.

Arsenal vs Tottenham game info

Location: Emirates Stadium, London, England
Date: Wednesday, 1-15-2025
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: Peacock
Weather: Cloudy, 1.8 mph winds, 46 degrees
Nottingham ForestArsenal recent EPL form D-W-W-W-D
Liverpool Tottenham  recent EPL form W-L-L-D-L

Arsenal vs Tottenham key injuries

Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus FWR (Out), Ethan Nwaneri FWR (Out), Ben White RB (Out), Takehiro Tomiyasu DEF (Out), Bukayo Saka RW (Out).
Tottenham: Micky van de Ven (DEF (Out), Richarlison STR (Out), Guglielmo Vicario GK (Out), Ben Davies DEF (Out), Cristian Romero CB (Out), Wilson Odobert FWR (Out), Destiny Udogie LB (Out), Rodrigo Bentancur CM (Out), Fraser Forster GK (Questionable).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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