Atlanta United vs New England Revolution Predictions, Picks & Odds for Today's MLS Match

There are goals aplenty when Atlanta United and New England meet, and our expert MLS predictions expect that trend to continue.

Jason Ence - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jason Ence • Betting Analyst
Apr 12, 2025 • 12:37 ET • 4 min read
Miguel Almiron of Atlanta United
Photo By - Imagn Images.

Atlanta United looks to pick up three valuable points this afternoon when they host the New England Revolution at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The Five Stripes sit outside a playoff spot with inconsistent form.

But a visit from the Revolution, who have been horrid away from home, presents a terrific chance to get a win ahead of an upcoming tough stretch of matches. 

Our Atlanta United vs. New England predictions and free MLS picks for Saturday, April 12 dive into the matchup and explain why a combo play is your best method of attack.

Atlanta United vs New England Revolution picks and predictions

My best bet: Atlanta United ML & Over 2.5 goals combo (+100 at TonyBet)

My analysis
Atlanta United is heavily favored to win on Saturday against a New England Revolution side that has struggled mightily away from home.

The Revs have taken just one point from a possible nine on the road this season and have lost eight of their last nine away matches dating back to last season.

Not only are the Revs not getting results, they’re not getting goals. They’ve scored just four times in that nine-match run and just once this season.

That lone goal came in a 2-1 loss to an NYCFC side that sits bottom-half in the Eastern Conference.

But much like NYCFC, Atlanta United is struggling to defend its goal.

The Five Stripes have conceded 12 times in their opening seven fixtures, having kept a clean sheet just once.

While their 11 goals are among the most in the league so far, the defensive issues have led to just two victories.

Saturday gives them a great chance to pick up all three points while also giving the Revs a chance to find the back of the net.

The Revolution has already underperformed their expected goals by 1.3. Their 1.83 SOT/90 is the worst mark in the league, and they’ll likely see more opportunities here.

When these two sides historically meet, there have been goals aplenty, with six straight matches seeing at least three goals scored.

With the defensive injuries on both sides, the likelihood of scoring goals is up. 

In fact, Atlanta is priced at -213 to score at least 1.5 goals, and the odds of both scoring are set at -162.

Given Atlanta’s price of -193 on the 3-way line, even odds are more than fair for this combo play and present a value line.

Back the Five Stripes to get the win while once again coughing up a goal, marking the fifth time in six meetings the home team has won a 3+ goal fixture.

Atlanta United vs New England Revolution same-game parlay (SGP)

Atlanta United moneyline

Over 2.5 goals

Miguel Almiron anytime goalscorer

We’re adding a Miguel Almiron goal to our best bet to comprise our same-game parlay.

He’s taken a bit to settle in since returning to the club following his transfer to Newcastle, but he’s now scored in consecutive matches following the international break.

While his goal against Dallas last week came from the penalty spot, he’s been getting into dangerous areas.

With New England focusing on slowing down the dangerous runs of Emmanuel Latte Lath, he should benefit from secondary runs. 

Throw in the fact that he’s taking penalties and free kicks, and I like his price to keep the scoring streak going

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Atlanta United vs New England Revolution odds

Atlanta United vs New England Revolution live odds

Atlanta United vs New England Revolution opening odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta United )-175) | New England Revolution (+400)
  • Draw: (+310)
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-175) | Under 2.5 (+125)

Atlanta United vs New England Revolution side and Over/Under analysis

  • Atlanta is -193 on the 3-way line, with the draw at +340. New England is priced at +420 to get the upset win.
  • The home side has won four of the last five meetings between these clubs, and New England hasn’t won an away match since last August.
  • The total is sitting at an even 3.0 goals, with the Over priced at -127 and the Under at -110.
  • Four of New England’s last six have gone Under 3.0 goals, with two pushes. Atlanta’s last three matches have featured two outings with 4+ goals

Atlanta United vs New England Revolution game info

Location Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Date Saturday, 4-12-2025
Time 2:45 p.m. ET
TV Fox Sports
Weather Match played Indoors

Atlanta United vs New England Revolution key injuries

Atlanta United: Edwin Mosquera F (Out), Derrick Williams D (Out), Pedro Amador D (Out).

New England Revolution: Leonardo Campana F (Out), Andrew Farrell D (Out), Wyatt Omsberg D (Out).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Ence - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jason has been hooked on soccer since watching Real Madrid and Manchester United in the 2003 Champions League, and has been betting on the sport for nearly 15 years. He has given soccer gambling and fantasy advice for nearly a decade, writing for sites including Rotowire, SB Nation, and The TwinSpires Edge.

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