Fulham vs Arsenal Predictions and Picks: Gunners Continue Title Chase

Despite winning just two of their last five, Arsenal is still within arm's reach of Liverpool at the top of the EPL table and can get right back on track with a win against Fulham this weekend. Read more in our EPL betting picks below.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Dec 29, 2023 • 16:09 ET • 4 min read
Bukayo Saka Arsenal EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We’ve got two Premier League games on Sunday and we’re going to hone in on Fulham vs. Arsenal.

The away side came into this weekend second in the Premier League and face a trip across London to play a Fulham team who are just six points off relegation and have lost three games in a row.

Can Fulham pull off a shock and get anything from this game or will Arsenal grab three points? Don’t miss our free betting picks for Fulham vs. Arsenal to find out.

Fulham vs Arsenal best odds

EPL predictions for Fulham vs Arsenal

There are two big Premier League games this Sunday with the pick being an all-London affair with Fulham hosting Arsenal at Craven Cottage.

Both teams come into this on the back of a defeat but that’s where the similarities end. We’ve got Arsenal who are firmly in the title race as they chase Liverpool down. They came into this weekend in second place and will look to get back to winning ways here. 

Arsenal’s form has been patchy. They’ve won just two of their last five and have been beaten twice, losing to Aston Villa and West Ham. Keep in mind they’ve only lost three times all season.

That’s quite different to Fulham, who have lost each of their last three games. It’s concerning fans given they’ve lost heavily, giving up eight goals to Bournemouth, Burnley, and Newcastle and not managing to find the back of the net themselves. 

For Fulham vs. Arsenal, we’re going to back Over 2.5 goals at -130. It’s a good price for a game that has all the hallmarks of a high-scoring game. What's strange about Fulham’s recent form is they’ve given up eight goals in three games but scored none, but in the two games before, they won each encounter 5-0. 

If you look back at Fulham’s season, they’ve gone Over 2.5 in 57.9% of games, with three of their last four games at home hitting the Over and seven of their last eight games in total seeing Over 2.5 goals, with a total of 34 goals across those eight matches. 

Arsenal welcome Kai Havertz back to the team following suspension and the German has slowly become important to the team's play after a patchy start to the season. The front three of Gabriel Martinelli, Gabriel Jesus, and Bukayo Saka is one of the better attacks in England and they have excellent movement to complement their great speed.

Arsenal have gone Over 2.5 in 52.6% of their league games this season, with the scoring slowing down in recent weeks but they have the attacking talent to score and some injuries at the back with Takehiro Tomiyasu out of this game.

When these two teams met at the Emirates earlier in the season, the game finished 2-2. I’m expecting another high total in this game with the Gunners primed to take advantage of this Fulham team. 

My best bet: Over 2.5 (-130 at TonyBet)

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Fulham vs Arsenal same-game parlay

Over 2.5

Arsenal to win

Bukayo Saka to score or assist

On top of the Over 2.5, we're backing Arsenal to win. They may be the away side but after defeat to West Ham, they need to win to continue their push towards the summit of the Premier League.

Another defeat wouldn’t put them out of the title race but it would give Liverpool the advantage. This Fulham team has lost three games in a row and appears to be in freefall. It’s an easy get-right game for the Gunners and they should be able to get back into the mix here.

Finally, we’re going to back Arsenal’s Bukayo Saka to either score or assist. He’s been one of Arenal’s best performers this season and is certainly their best in attacking positions.

Across 18 games he’s tied for the most Premier League goals on the team along with Eddie Nketiah and leads the club in assists with six. He’s a difference-maker and has a great chance to add more numbers to his impressive stats against Fulham.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Fulham vs Arsenal side and Over/Under analysis

You can see from the SGP that I think Arsenal will win. We’re seeing a Fulham team who are going through a really difficult spell and looks like they might be in real trouble. That said, I can't recommend betting on them at -182.

My best bet for this game is for Over 2.5 goals so I won’t go into the total goals market much further but given Fulham’s recent performances and the quality in Arsenal’s attack, we should see 3+ goals.

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Fulham vs Arsenal game info

Location: Craven Cottage, London, England
Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023
Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: Peacock
Weather: Temp: 48F, POP: 0%, Wind: 18 mph, Conditions: A wet morning should mean a slick pitch but it’ll be dry and windy at kickoff.

Fulham vs Arsenal key injuries

Fulham: Adam Traore FWR (Out), Tim Ream CB (Out)
Arsenal: Jurrien Timber DEF (Out), Thomas Partey CDM (Out), Fabio Vieira CAM (Out), Takehiro Tomiyasu RB (Out).

Fulham vs Arsenal recent league form

Teams Recent Premier League Form
Fulham Fulham L-L-L-W-W
Arsenal Arsenal D-W-L-W-W

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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