Tottenham vs Everton Picks and Predictions: Both Teams Tread Carefully

Both Tottenham and Everton have been wildly inconsistent but need to come away from Monday's matchup with something — for wildly different reasons. Our EPL picks expect both sides to tread carefully, which opens some interesting betting value.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Mar 6, 2022 • 14:09 ET • 4 min read
Dele Alli Everton EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Monday’s sole Premier League betting opportunity sees Tottenham Hotspur welcome Everton to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, with 10 spots separating the teams in the league.

Spurs come into this after following a humiliating FA Cup loss last week and could face a tough ask against Everton, which has started to show signs of improvement under new manager Frank Lampard.

Adding to the intrigue is the potential of seeing Dele Alli face his former club, which is a massive home favorite, but does our Tottenham vs. Everton tips and predictions see Everton pulling off the upset?

Tottenham vs Everton match odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare EPL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Tottenham vs Everton betting tips

Predictions made on 3/6/2022 at 1:03 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Tottenham vs Everton game info

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
Date: Monday, March 7, 2022
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: USA Network, DAZN

Tottenham vs Everton betting preview

Weather

It will be a cool, partly clouded afternoon in Tottenham, with temperatures sitting in the mid-40s and wind coming from the Southeast at around 9 mph with gusts up to 27 mph. There is no expected precipitation expected at kick off.

Injuries

Tottenham: Japhet Tanganga D (Out), Oliver Skipp CM (Out).
Everton: Dominic Calvert-Lewin ST (Questionable), Fabian Delph CM (Out), Yerry Mina CB (Out).

Tottenham vs Everton predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Side analysis

Both sets of supporters have been feeling some frustration with their team's Premier League campaigns, despite 20 points — and 10 positions — separating these two clubs in the table.

Spurs have aspirations of European club competition next season, preferably in the Champions League but they're currently at risk of not even clinching a Europa League spot, while Everton has aspirations of simply staying in the Premier League next year with the team worryingly close to the relegation zone, just one point ahead of 18th-place Burnley.

It wasn’t supposed to be like this for Spurs. When the board sacked Nuno Espirito Santo (and replaced him with Antonio Conte) it was supposed to get the club back in amongst the big boys. The Italian’s resume is littered with success and he’s forged triumphant sides in the past... but it hasn’t quite gone to plan.

Under Conte, Spurs have been arguably the most frustrating team in the Premiership League, flashing moments of both brilliance and extreme ineptitude. That was visible just last month when the team managed to beat Man City 3-2 with a thrilling performance... only to go and lose their next game 1-0 to relegation-threat Burnley.

It looks like Conte’s business in the January transfer window was good, however. Rodrigo Bentancur is an upgrade in the heart of the midfield and Dejan Kulusevski has been a revelation. The Swede has two goals and an assist and already looks like he’s already wrapped up the spot as the third of Tottenham’s attacking trio alongside Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min. Both of those January signings should face Everton on Monday with Spurs almost certainly playing Conte’s favored 3-4-3 formation. 

Frank Lampard’s tenure at Everton has also had some mixed performances so far. They beat Boreham Wood 2-0 last Thursday to progress to the next round of the FA Cup but the performance itself was poor against a team far inferior to them. Last weekend’s 1-0 loss to Man City was the opposite, as they left with no points but were superb against City and really tested them — and if it wasn’t for arguably one of the worst refereeing decisions of the season, they’d likely have taken a point from that contest.

That said, there have been real signs of improvement at Everton under Lampard, which has me confident that the results will soon begin to turn and they should have enough about them to avoid relegation. There's a large number of injuries for Everton, mostly for squad players, although the fitness of Dominic Calvert-Lewin is particularly worrying as Lampard hopes to have the striker available.

If the Spurs squad that we saw against Manchester City show up Monday... they’ll win this game. But the reality is that we just can’t be confident about that: This is a team with no consistency week-to-week at odds in the -200 range I can’t justify backing them. Those odds imply around a 66.7% chance that they win, which just doesn’t sit quite right with me, especially with Everton showing signs of improvement.

Instead, I’d rather have a smaller wager on the draw at +353.

Prediction: Draw (+353)

Over/Under analysis

Realistically, this should be a very tight game to start. I’m not sure that Lampard has it in him to set up defensively but he will be issuing his players a strong demand to play it safe. For Everton, it’s crucial that they start picking up points and they’re going to be fairly risk-averse. 

There have been fewer than 2.5 goals in each of Everton’s past three games (across all competitions) with the team not quite showing the same swashbuckling style that we saw from Lampard’s Chelsea squads in his early days with the club.

Facing another 2.5-goal total, there are good odds available on the Under — and I’d lean toward that.

Prediction: Under 2.5 (+110)

Best bet

Considering we're keen on the possibility of a draw, a low-scoring game, and both teams not going full throttle out of the gate, backing a 0-0 score at halftime currently is priced at +225, which I think offers value based on a number of things.

As mentioned before, these two clubs have been inconsistent as of late and have managers that know they need to come out of this game with something. I’d expect that to impact how their teams play and for both teams — at least in the first half — to manage the game, keep things tight, and then look to win it in the second half. 

Two of Spurs' past three games (across all competitions) have been 0-0 at the half, with the only exception being their 4-0 rout over a dreadful Leeds team that has provided little resistance on defense overall as of late.

In addition to finishing Under 2.5, each of Everton's last three games have also gone into halftime with a 0-0 score. Keeping things close early in the game has been a key aspect of their strategy against a wide variety of teams, from Boreham Wood all the way to the best team on the planet in Man City.

Given recent results and what both managers need from the game, I’m all-in on the value of +225 for another uneventful first half.

Pick: Halftime Correct Score 0-0 (+225)

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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