We have Champions League quarterfinal action from Paris with PSG and Aston Villa meeting at the Parc des Princes.
PSG enter this fixture in flying form and my PSG vs. Aston Villa predictions have them continuing their march with a commanding victory.
Be sure to read my Champions League picks for Wednesday, April 9, with kickoff at 3:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.
PSG vs Aston Villa picks and predictions
My best bet: PSG -1 (+105 at FanDuel)
My analysis
For reasons I'm about to detail, I'm going to back PSG, but there’s no value on the moneyline, so instead I'm taking PSG -1 on the handicap spread.
Before we break down PSG, we need to understand this Aston Villa team. First up, their group stage performance. Finishing eighth was a real achievement but Bayern Munich were the only true S-tier team that they faced with Juventus, currently fifth in Serie A, the next best. They were fortunate to play the likes of Young Boys, Bologna, Celtic, and Club Brugge, who they then met again in the Round of 16. That’s a real dip in quality compared with who PSG faced in the group stages, Arsenal, Atletico Madrid, Bayern Munich and Man City, before beating Liverpool in the Round of 16.
Unai Emery has a fantastic record in European competition and knows how to progress in these tournaments but this Villa side doesn’t look as set up for Europe as his Sevilla team did. Villa are conceding nearly 1.5 goals per game in the Premier League, and while they’ve had four clean sheets in their past five, they’re still not elite at the back.
A look at Villa’s current seven-game winning streak shows two games against Championship clubs in the FA Cup, two against Club Brugge in this competition and just one win against a top-eight Premier League team.
Meanwhile, PSG have swept all before them domestically and are unbeaten in Ligue 1 as they march their way to the title. In 28 Ligue 1 games, they’ve conceded just 26 and scored a staggering 80 goals. Their attack is terrifying and with the pace and guile of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola, and Ousmane Dembele, they’re going to be able to get at Villa.
That front three is as good as any in world soccer right now and we saw them tear Liverpool apart home and away in the last round. The ability they have to hit teams on the counter is undeniable given the breakaway speed that they possess, but they are also all intelligent players, who have displayed great awareness of space and have the talent to find their teammates.
The much-praised attack is also built on a good backline with two excellent fullbacks, and a truly exceptional midfield. Joao Neves, Vitinha, and Fabian Ruiz have been impossible to play against at times this season and Liverpool simply weren’t able to contain them in the last round. They are top-class at keeping possession of the ball, as well as knowing exactly when to get it forward to their attackers.
We have two excellent Spanish coaches in Luis Enrique and Emery, but it’s going to be PSG who come out on top, by multiple goals. They have an elite front three and a midfield that can dictate play and keep Villa from finding their rhythm. On home soil in front of a loud and passionate fanbase, they’ll dice the visitors apart and win by a margin of at least two, and it wouldn’t be a shock if they ended up winning by three or four.
PSG vs Aston Villa same-game parlay (SGP)
PSG to win by 2+ goals
Ousmane Dembele to score or assist
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score or assist
We’re going to back two PSG players to either score or assist in the game. The first up is Ousmane Dembele, a player who is having a truly incredible season. He’s scored 32 goals for PSG across all competitions and added a further six assists. In the Champions League, he’s been very effective, scoring seven and setting up one, in just 10 games.
The final leg sees another PSG player, this time Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, either scoring or assisting. He’s been integral for PSG since arriving in Paris in the January transfer window, where he’s scoring three and setting up four goals. In four Champions League appearances, he’s scored one and set up one, but has been very dangerous, averaging three shots per game in the competition. He comes into this game in electric form, scoring two and setting up a further two goals in his past three games for club and country.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
PSG vs Aston Villa odds
PSG vs Aston Villa live odds
PSG vs Aston Villa side and Over/Under analysis
- PSG are top of Ligue 1, have won nine league games in a row and haven’t lost once all season.
- PSG’s only four defeats this season all came in the Champions League. They’ve drawn one and then won the remaining seven UCL games.
- Aston Villa have won their past seven games in all competitions.
- Villa won seven of their 10 UCL games, losing two and drawing one.
- Six of PSG’s 12 UCL games have had Over 2.5 goals.
- Five of Villa’s 10 UCL games have had Over 2.5 goals.
How to watch PSG vs Aston Villa
| Location | Parc des Princes, Paris, France |
| Date | Wednesday, 4-9-2025 |
| Time | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Paramount+, DAZN |
| Weather | Sunny and dry conditions. |
PSG vs Aston Villa key injuries
PSG: Lee Kang-In FWR (Out), Marquinhos CB (Out).
Aston Villa: Donyell Malen FWR (Out), Andres Garcia RB (Out), Ross Barkley CM (Questionable), Leon Bailey FWR (Questionable).
Not intended for use in MA.
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