Tottenham vs Man City Predictions & Picks for Wednesday’s Carabao Cup Match

Tottenham comes into this clash with the classy Man City in a bad way, and even if we see second-stringers galore in this non-EPL affair, the Citizens should do enough to walk away with the win.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Oct 28, 2024 • 14:40 ET • 4 min read
Phil Foden Man City
Photo By - Imagn Images

The Carabao Cup continues on Wednesday, October 30 with Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester City. 

Both teams will be hoping they can make their way to the next round, but neither side is likely to play a full starting lineup of strikers. 

See how that will play into the Citizens' hands as I make my Tottenham vs. Man City predictions and free betting picks.

Tottenham vs Man City picks and predictions

My best bet:
Man City moneyline (+135 at TonyBet)

My analysis

Man City are top of the Premier League and have won three on the spin. Not only that, but they’re unbeaten this season, managing to avoid defeat in all 14 of their games across all competitions.

Meanwhile, Tottenham lost 1-0 to Crystal Palace this past week, a humiliating defeat that now means they’ve lost two of their past three games. They’re already 10 points behind City in the league.

The one thing to note with the Carabao Cup is that both teams are very likely to rest players. Last time out, Spurs played a lineup that was predominantly their second string, with Timo Werner and Wilson Odobert alongside Dominic Solanke, who was working his way back from injury. It’s likely that Richarlison will take his place alongside Werner and Odobert here. We’re also likely to see Ben Davies and Radu Dragusin at the heart of defense too. 

City are almost certain to rest Erling Haaland and the likes of Josko Gvardiol and Bernardo Silva. Last time out in the Carabao Cup, we saw Pep Guardiola choose to start Phil Foden as a false nine. It also means we’re likely to see some of the best youngsters at the club play, with James McAtee and Nico O’Reilly amongst those numbers.

It’s hard to predict a winner using recent league form, given that we’re not seeing either team at full strength, but we can look at how both teams usually do in this competition.

The League Cup is a competition that Guardiola has historically taken very seriously. We haven’t seen Man City win it in the past three years, but they won it for four years in a row between 2018 and 2021. They’re also very familiar with knockout competitions and have become used to winning games and reaching the latter stages in the FA Cup and Champions League, far more than we’ve seen from Spurs.

We can also look back to 2021, when there teams met in the League Cup, a game which was won 1-0 by Man City.  

This will be a heavily-rotated Man City team, but their second string team is still full of internationals and youngsters with the world at their feet. It’s not often you get City at plus money, so it’s worth taking against a Spurs team who are struggling right now.

Tottenham vs Man City same-game parlay (SGP)

Man City moneyline

Man City team total Over 0.5 1H

Man City Under 29.5 booking points

In addition to my best bet, I'm also going to back Man City to score Over 0.5 goals. Spurs have seen their opposition score in the first half in their past two Premier League games. Not only that, but Man City have scored first-half goals in each of their past eight games across all competitions.

I'm also going to back Man City to have Under 29.5 booking points. You get 10 points for a yellow card, and 25 for a red card. Man City have averaged just 2.1 yellow cards per game and are unlikely to have a lot of bookings given it’s a cup game and has less riding on it.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Tottenham vs Man City odds

Tottenham Tottenham Manchester City Man City
+175 Moneyline +135
+270 Draw +270
Over 2.5 (-209) Total Under 2.5 (+160)

Odds courtesy of TonyBet.

Tottenham vs Man City opening odds

  • Moneyline: Tottenham +175 | Man City +135
  • Draw: +270
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 | Under 2.5

Tottenham vs Man City side and Over/Under analysis

  • Man City beat Watford 2-1 in their third round game, while Spurs beat Coventry by the same scoreline.
  • Man City have won their past away two games against Spurs.
  • Tottenham and Man City have both seen Over 2.5 goals in 66.7% of league games this season.

Tottenham vs Man City game info

Location: Tottenham Stadium, London, England
Date: Wednesday, 10-30-2024
Time: 4:15 p.m. ET
TV: Paramount+
Weather: 60F, 4 mph winds, 10% PoP.

Tottenham vs Man City key injuries

Tottenham: Djed Spence RB (Out), Son Heung-Min STR (Out).
Man City: Kyle Walker RB (Out), Jack Grealish LW (Out), Rodri DM (Out), Oscar Bobb FWR (Out), Kevin De Bruyne CAM (Out), Jeremy Doku LW (Out).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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