FOX

Tampa Bay @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Harold Ramirez Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

H. Ramirez
designated hitter DH • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Petco Park projects as the #23 field in the league for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Harold Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Harold Ramirez has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .373 figure is a good deal higher than his .322 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Harold Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Petco Park projects as the #23 field in the league for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Harold Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Harold Ramirez has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .373 figure is a good deal higher than his .322 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Jose Siri will have the handedness advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Jose Siri has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.3% rate last season to 18.2% this year. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 25%.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Jose Siri will have the handedness advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Jose Siri has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.3% rate last season to 18.2% this year. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 25%.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, according to THE BAT X. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin today. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, according to THE BAT X. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin today. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Wander Franco Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

W. Franco
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

Petco Park projects as the #23 field in the league for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Wander Franco will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Wander Franco's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86.3-mph over the past two weeks.

Wander Franco

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Petco Park projects as the #23 field in the league for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Wander Franco will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Wander Franco's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86.3-mph over the past two weeks.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin today. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Trent Grisham has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 17.8% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 14 days. Trent Grisham has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 96.9-mph.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin today. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Trent Grisham has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 17.8% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 14 days. Trent Grisham has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 96.9-mph.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-172
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-172
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Randy Arozarena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Randy Arozarena has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 7.9% rate last year to 16.3% this year.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Randy Arozarena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Randy Arozarena has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 7.9% rate last year to 16.3% this year.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last season's 90.7-mph figure. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 37.8% on the season to 62.5% in the last week.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last season's 90.7-mph figure. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 37.8% on the season to 62.5% in the last week.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91-mph. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (21.2°) is considerably better than his 15.5° mark last season.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91-mph. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (21.2°) is considerably better than his 15.5° mark last season.

Francisco Mejia Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

F. Mejia
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The switch-hitting Francisco Mejia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Blake Snell.

Francisco Mejia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The switch-hitting Francisco Mejia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Blake Snell.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 15.2% on the season to 31.6% in the past week's worth of games.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 15.2% on the season to 31.6% in the past week's worth of games.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Diaz
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Yandy Diaz as the 10th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average ability. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Yandy Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95.1-mph average to last year's 92-mph average. Yandy Diaz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 95.1-mph mark.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Yandy Diaz as the 10th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average ability. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Yandy Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95.1-mph average to last year's 92-mph average. Yandy Diaz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 95.1-mph mark.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Carpenter
designated hitter DH • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Matt Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Carpenter generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Zach Eflin. Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Matt Carpenter has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph mark. Matt Carpenter's launch angle in recent games (32.1° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 22.5° seasonal figure.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Matt Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Carpenter generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Zach Eflin. Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Matt Carpenter has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph mark. Matt Carpenter's launch angle in recent games (32.1° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 22.5° seasonal figure.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Blake Snell. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (20.2°) is a considerable increase over his 16.4° figure last season.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Blake Snell. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (20.2°) is a considerable increase over his 16.4° figure last season.

Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • San Diego

G. Sanchez
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Gary Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 92.1-mph. Gary Sanchez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 37.5% to 43.6%.

Gary Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Gary Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 92.1-mph. Gary Sanchez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 37.5% to 43.6%.

Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

M. Margot
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Manuel Margot will have the handedness advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup. Manuel Margot hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (42.4% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manuel Margot has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph average. Manuel Margot's launch angle lately (25.9° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 10.1° seasonal angle.

Manuel Margot

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Manuel Margot will have the handedness advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup. Manuel Margot hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (42.4% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manuel Margot has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph average. Manuel Margot's launch angle lately (25.9° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 10.1° seasonal angle.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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