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Kansas City @ Cleveland props

Progressive Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nick Pratto Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Pratto
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Nick Pratto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Nick Pratto will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today's game. Nick Pratto has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days. Nick Pratto has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 91.4-mph in the last week.

Nick Pratto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nick Pratto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Nick Pratto will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today's game. Nick Pratto has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days. Nick Pratto has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 91.4-mph in the last week.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Rosario
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. This year, Amed Rosario's 2.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 6th percentile among his peers. Sporting a .290 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Amed Rosario is positioned in the 16th percentile.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. This year, Amed Rosario's 2.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 6th percentile among his peers. Sporting a .290 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Amed Rosario is positioned in the 16th percentile.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Daniel Lynch will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Kwan today. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 85.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 79.2-mph over the last week. Steven Kwan's 0.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 0th percentile this year.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Daniel Lynch will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Kwan today. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 85.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 79.2-mph over the last week. Steven Kwan's 0.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 0th percentile this year.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Civale in today's matchup. MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. MJ Melendez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph mark.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Civale in today's matchup. MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. MJ Melendez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph mark.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-161
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-161
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Drew Waters is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Drew Waters has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 91.7-mph over the past 14 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Drew Waters has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 33.3° angle in the past week.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Drew Waters is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Drew Waters has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 91.7-mph over the past 14 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Drew Waters has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 33.3° angle in the past week.

Nicky Lopez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Lopez
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Nicky Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. In the past 14 days, Nicky Lopez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.8-mph over the course of the season to 92.8-mph lately. Nicky Lopez has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 90th percentile with a 1.49 K/BB rate.

Nicky Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Nicky Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. In the past 14 days, Nicky Lopez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.8-mph over the course of the season to 92.8-mph lately. Nicky Lopez has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 90th percentile with a 1.49 K/BB rate.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Maikel Garcia has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.3-mph. Maikel Garcia has notched a .369 BABIP this year, checking in at the 95th percentile.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Maikel Garcia has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.3-mph. Maikel Garcia has notched a .369 BABIP this year, checking in at the 95th percentile.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Andres Gimenez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 22.2%.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Andres Gimenez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 22.2%.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.5% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Ramirez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.5% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Ramirez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Josh Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Naylor
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Naylor stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Josh Naylor will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Josh Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Naylor stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Josh Naylor will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Myles Straw Total Hits Props • Cleveland

M. Straw
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Myles Straw will have the handedness advantage over Daniel Lynch in today's matchup. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (48%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Myles Straw will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Myles Straw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Myles Straw will have the handedness advantage over Daniel Lynch in today's matchup. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (48%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Myles Straw will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Bell
designated hitter DH • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 3rd-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's game.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 3rd-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's game.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The 3rd-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. In the past 7 days, Salvador Perez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 15.4%.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The 3rd-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. In the past 7 days, Salvador Perez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 15.4%.

Cam Gallagher Total Hits Props • Cleveland

C. Gallagher
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The 3rd-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Cam Gallagher will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cam Gallagher will hold that advantage today. Cam Gallagher's speed has gotten better this year. His 24.88 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.4 ft/sec now.

Cam Gallagher

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The 3rd-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Cam Gallagher will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cam Gallagher will hold that advantage today. Cam Gallagher's speed has gotten better this year. His 24.88 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.4 ft/sec now.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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